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Forums - Nintendo - Do people honestly think that Hyrule Warriors will do well? Like at all?

spemanig said:
RealGamingExpert said:

Well we could argue about the max. install base, but lets just take the 15 mio. you said.

Why is it so unrealistic that every 15th Wii U owner buys that game? You gotta keep in mind that we're talking about the next few years and not just this year, so price cuts for the game will most likely impact the sales as well.

The Zelda name will carry it to higher sales than normal Warriors games and this releases in a time where people are hungry for new games. This will be the perfect game to fill the gap untill Smash Bros. U imo. Again, i think the name will carry it to a million, not the game itself.


Less than one in every 15 Wii owners bought Skyward Sword and Metroid Prime 3. That's why.

Are you serious?

You know very well that a big portion of Wii's does not care about core games. The Wii U's percentage of core gamers is a lot higher. But again, you know that.



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benji232 said:
drake_tolu said:

Nha... I do not want to wait the end of generation. (I do not want to wait other 5 years...)

Expect the the end of year, is better, do you think.

I predict that for the end of year:

Call of Duty Ghost will passed 200K.

Mass Effect 3 will passed 200K.

Rayman Legend will passed 420K.

And AC IV Black Flag will passed 250K.

This by 31 December of 2014.

If less of 2 of this 4 game don't passed this number by end of year (31 December 2014), you win, and i will be permaban.

But if i win, and more of 2 game passed this number, you will be my slave for one month.

Accept?

Nah, your original predictions still make no sense. These predictions make a bit more sense, however, if you ever want to bet on your original lifetime sales predictions for these 4 games, just send me a PM.

Yeah, my original prediction is 500K for AC, but you have said that AC IV don't passed NEVER 250K.

So, What are you afraid?

You really believe that AC 4 don't passed 250K lifetime?

Ok, i said that will passed only in 2014...

Come on, make this beth, much you're sure of your predictions no?

You win if AC IV don't passed 250K this year.



I'm picking it up. It is one of the only things I plan on getting on the WiiU for the rest of the year.



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Dynasty warriors never really sold well in the west but with Zelda in there. It just might especially due to the fact that we are not burned out on dynasty warrior games. I think it will do well, not fantastic and be like 10 million copies but I am going to guess somewhere in the 1-2 million range.



It a spin off Zelda so it not need to sell like main one to consider the game sold well.But it seem many will be disappointed by it sale since in the COMG thread people waiting the game to enter in the chart every day



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m

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AZWification said:
RealGamingExpert said:
Links Crossbow Training sold 5 million copies.
If that shit can sell 5 mio., im pretty sure Hyrule Warriors will atleast get to 1 mio.

'That shit' came bundled with the Wii Zapper and it came out during the Wii's glory days..

It was also only $20. The game was pack-in, not actual software.



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Nintendo has never done anything quite like this with one of their franchises, it's an experiment of sorts. I see people trying to use statistics of previously released games to set some sort of a bar or measuring stick but it's not going to work like that. Look at the facts.

The Wii U's install base is around 6.6 million. If it continues selling around 60,000 units a week, it'll be around 7 million units when Hyrule Warriors hits. This isn't Wii numbers, but you have to take into account the type of customers that own the Wii U. These are NOT casuals, these are NINTENDO fans. So even if the install base isn't 100 million, Hyrule Warriors will still sell relatively well because of who it's being aimed at.

Hyrule Warriors release date is fantastic. It'll release a few months after the Wii U's biggest franchise (Mario Kart) has been pushing consoles and the new install base is hungry for games. Also, it's close enough to the holidays get more sustained sales down the line when the Wii U gets the holiday bump. This game couldn't have better timing.

For a large majority of Nintendo Fans, this game is NEW and exciting. There are Zelda fans that have never played a Dynasty Warrior's game and seeing the Zelda formula shaken up and looking more action packed is enticing. Also I'm sure some Dynasty Warriors fans will be intrigued by the LOZ mythos being injected into their favorite franchise.

I don't see a scenario where this game sells under 1 million units.



a) Maybe selling 500k is more than what they need to make a few million dollars in profit
b) Nintendo die-hard fans still exist and buy anything with the Nintendo or Zelda sticker on it

I predict 200k minimum for Hyrule Warriors. I also think it will suck just as much as other "Warriors" games, except the Nintendo die-hards that never cared for or played those "Warriors" games will be defending it as a great game, and will still never play any of the other "Warriors" games.



vivster said:

Are you serious?

You know very well that a big portion of Wii's does not care about core games. The Wii U's percentage of core gamers is a lot higher. But again, you know that.


Doesn't matter. A big portion of the PS3's library was core gamers. Dynasty Warriors, to my knowledge, never hit 1m barring One Piece. And those same hardcore fans know the difference between a Zelda game and DW game.



RealGamingExpert said:

Yeah but thats not how it works and you know that yourself.

Mario Galaxy sold 11 Mio. so thats around 1 in 10 Wii owners, Mario Sunshine sold 6 Mio. on the 22mio. Gamecube, so around 1 in 4 owners.

I dont think i need to explain why your sentence doesnt make sense in this context.


Yeah, I absolutely agree, but this is not Mario Sunshine. This is a spinoff based off of an unpopular hack n slash game sales wise. The GCN Fire Emblem sold about 500K. I can see it selling that much.