Squeezol said:
In what way would you portray this 'crisis'? I can honestly see it happening in one way or another. AAA game budgets are getting ridiculous by the way. Image what could go wrong if it gets worse.. |
I don't particulary see a major reason for a crash, but there are a lot of signs already (AAA games that can't get half of their costs and bankrupt studios, mobile gaming growing as fast and with poor quality as the market before 83, overuse of IPs new and old alike, too many machines competing, major investors deciding on abandoning the videogame market for safer and more profitable business, overreliance on practices like free to pay or pay to win, growing costs of games, companies like King or Zynga being the rol model for new studios...).
If the economy suffers a crysis for some reason (I bet on the prices of oil, with all the problems on Middle East it's going to happen) in an environment already fragile (all the reasons stated above) one of the console manufacturers will stop producing machines. My money is on Microsoft, Playstation is too profitable to Sony and Nintendo has a good money reserve, and there were rumors of MS investors talking about selling the XBox brand. Most tablets and phones manufacturers will go out as well, that market is also crowded, but no before most mobile developers start absorbing each other, until a big mobile company stands above the rest and practically monopolizes the market. Investors will abandon giant publishers like EA or Activision and, with hundreds of game developers without job and a very reduced market, other companies will panic too, and the snowball will get bigger and bigger.
PC gaming will be able to survive thanks to low prices, but physical releases will be a thing of the past. No AAA and no giant franchises, just cheap small-medium games.
I don't know what will happen to the handheld market. It has shrunk a lot already, but when the tablet and phone bubble burst it could see an improvement. Only one handheld console on the market though.











