With the Wii U install base being as low as it is I don't think that's really going to be a factor. Particularly not if it's a simultaneous launch.

I don't know. If UC4 manages to sell over 8m, Zelda U will have a tough act to follow. TP managed to sell 8.88m  copies (Wii+GC), and that with the Wii being a massive hit. I don't know if Zelda U can pull off TP numbers, specially with the WiiU's low installbase and the NX being an enigma.

I didn't participate in this thread when it was new, but back then before the disastrous first few months of the Master Chief Collection's life, I would have been confident of predicting 3-3.5M for Halo 5's first week, and about that for October NPD. The main series games were very consistent in launch performance, with launch month sales in the U.S. for Halo 2, 3, Reach, and 4 all being north of 3 million copies. But after the MCC, I knew some damage had to have been done to the series and to 343i's reputation, but I would have never guessed Halo 5 would have sold only about 850k launch month in the U.S.

Meanwhile, Uncharted 4 has surpassed expectations with 2.7M first week globally. It will almost certainly pass the one million mark for the month of May in the U.S. ND's "realistic" games have become steadily more popular over time, with TLOU selling nearly 1M already in the U.S. in its launch month. I would've maybe guessed somewhere between 1.5-2M first week globally for UC4, but 2.7M is amazing. Unless Halo 6 gives its series a massive rebound, UC4 could very well become the best-selling non-Nintendo first-party game this generation. Uncharted surpassing Halo is definitely one of the biggest surprises so far this gen.

Why would you say that? You think millions of people will buy the game twice? Cross gen, especially simultaneous release, does not guarantee more sales, especially when you are selling to the same fanbase. It will all come down to how NX performs, if it sells at Wii / PS4 levels then sure Zelda U can win. But if it sells at more typical Nintendo home console levels then I don't see it selling better than the original OoT, which should be a little short of the UC4 LTD.

Yeah. I forgot about that, too. A couple of friends of mine from back in the Halo CE LAN days of the early to mid 00s decided against getting Halo 5 purely because it lacked any form of split-screen support.

Yeah. I forgot about that, too. A couple of friends of mine from back in the Halo CE LAN days of the early to mid 00s decided against getting Halo 5 purely because it lacked any form of split-screen support.