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Shadow1980 said:
I didn't participate in this thread when it was new, but back then before the disastrous first few months of the Master Chief Collection's life, I would have been confident of predicting 3-3.5M for Halo 5's first week, and about that for October NPD. The main series games were very consistent in launch performance, with launch month sales in the U.S. for Halo 2, 3, Reach, and 4 all being north of 3 million copies. But after the MCC, I knew some damage had to have been done to the series and to 343i's reputation, but I would have never guessed Halo 5 would have sold only about 850k launch month.

Meanwhile, Uncharted 4 has surpassed expectations with 2.7M first week globally. It will almost certainly pass the one million mark for the month of May in the U.S. ND's "realistic" games have become steadily more popular over time, with TLOU selling nearly 1M already in the U.S. in its launch month. I would've maybe guessed somewhere between 1.5-2M first week globally for UC4, but 2.7M is amazing. Unless Halo 6 gives its series a massive rebound, UC4 could very well become the best-selling non-Nintendo first-party game this generation. Uncharted surpassing Halo is definitely one of the biggest surprises so far this gen.

850k? It did 1.7 million FW WW.



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).