That game has to come :)

Ont: Depending on how fast PS4 drop i would say.. But i expect WiiU to stay around 100.000 for minimum, and when the other big titles hit mayby (if all go well) it will go up to 150.000 - 200.000 every week..

And like me sig says.. I fully believe WiiU will be back as leading console in 2015..

You think the Wii U will be at ~130k this week? Or do you actually mean next week? Either way, wow.

OT: No. It's not at the top and never will be at the top. However, if Nintendo plans out their game releases well (better than you have in your OP) and have a good/great E3 showing then I can definitely see a nice looking baseline for the Wii U. 

However, Nintendo isn't smart right now, so don't expect them to magically change.

It didn't give Wii U total domination, and for a major Mario title it's quite unusual and disappointing not being WW absolute top seller in its launch week, but nethertheless MK8 had an excellent effect on Wii U sales, it should definitely help keeping their baseline, after the boost fades, above 50k, so timing succcessive launches wisely and considering the usual huge Xmas boost, Ninty could achieve keeping Wii U yearly sales above 6.5M worst case, but even above 8M if things go as planned, and for a few years. Managing to do it for 4 years could grant Wii U to sell at least 40M lifetime, but in the best case, and adding a few more years after the top ones (and the final age would be longer in the best case), over 50M lifetime would be feasible.
Naturally nothing prevents Ninty from boosting sales even further, but this first prediction is the best it could do in the current state and if this boost doesn't die off too quickly, to make higher predictions we'll need Ninty to achieve progressive boosts of the baseline first.

I never said it would beat the PS4. I don't agree with the OP, but one game and a few announcements do have that kind of power if it's the right game and the right announcements. Mario Kart isn't just any game. Mario Kart was a game that turned a systems sales from 31k to 187k in mostly two days. Mario Kart 8 created opportunity. Whether Nintendo capitolizes on that opportunity is another thing, but like I said, MK8 releasing the week before E3 is no coincidence. Not when the game was 100% complete over a month before the release. They were waiting. I think it's entirely realistic for the Wii U to stay consistantly in the 100K range with the right games between now and Super Smash Bros, and E3 it the perfect place to announce what those games could be.

I think it would be ignorant to think we aren't getting unannounced game reveals at E3 slated for the second half of the year. Last year's E3 gave us Super Mario 3D World and Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze. The DKC: TF delay was obviously because the Wii U had nothing else lined up for the first half of 2014. If Nintendo reveals two games like that, and keeps the current games they've revealed slated for 2014, no matter how small those other games are by comparison to Smash or Kart, there will be just too many games consistantly released for it to lose that momentum started by Mario Kart 8.

They already had Shin Megami Tensei x Fire Emblem, Bayonetta 2, X, that stupid Yoshi game, Sonic Boom, Hyrule Warriors, and Super Smash Bros. slated for a 2014 release. Just because some of them havent been brought up, doesn't mean that they've been delayed. None but Smash have a chance to sell like MK8 did, but they don't have to. They only need to carry momentum through out the year. That along with one or two new games revealed to release this year would absolutely be able to solidify a consistent 100k range through out the year.

All that goes up, Must come DOWN....................................... I think everyone that was waiting for Mario Kart 8 to release, bought it on opening week. It will not be a pretty sight come next weeks numbers.

MK8 barely managed to push it beyond 180k, B2 will manage to take it to 120k? Why? Arent you a bit to optimistic?

yes.......especially since its a one year adversting programme they are doing. I expect the big sales to carry on for 5 weeks.

then stay lower but still on the chart for most of the rest of the year.

first of all, "barely managed to push it beyond 180k", as if they were a few...second, the Wii U was almost 190,000...

Tree: Wii U has passed from 31,000 at 187,000, +500%... when Bayonetta 2 resaled, i think Wii U will stay on 80,000, so, the increase will be of 50%... the game have 31,000 only in USA, so, for me isn't impossible.

it will be top 10 that's for sure

80k? On what basis... do you really think that in 4 or 5 weeks the WiiU will be able to stay at 80k on a constatnt basis trough the summer? How can that even be a seriosu possibility? Lets say that from this point on the sales drop ~30% on a weekly basis (they will drop more, but just for the ideas sake): Week 1: ~190k  Week 2: ~140k Week 3: ~100k  Week 4: 70k  Week 5: ~50k.

Best case the WiiU will managae to ride in the 40-50k region trough the summer, that is if nothing drastic is announced at e3. From that point it could drop waaay below or stay somewhat higher,