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Forums - Gaming - My prediction; Xbox ONE will finish last this Gen.

Jizz_Beard_thePirate said:
jlmurph2 said:
Jizz_Beard_thePirate said:
jlmurph2 said:
Jizz_Beard_thePirate said:

To be fair, there were no games but platformers and niche games as well as no ads and the list goes on... 2014 has system selling games and has ads and the list goes on for that too


That doesn't take away from the unpopularity. That 1st year is supposed to at least give people an idea of what the future looks like for the console. The Wii U is a Christmas present and that's about it. Not really the type of console you'll spend your tax return on.

Well, all I am saying is that there are clear mistakes that they made on 2013 that made the system very unpopular and to be fair, it does cost less than both the ps4 and xbox one so if money is an issue, they would choose the wiiU if they are on tight budget... Now, I am not saying it will sell zomfg but I am saying that it will see a lot better than what it did in 2013... There were no ads that it was a new console, there were no games like Mario Kart and Smash Bros (as well as many others), they didn't show up at e3 in terms of a proper press conference which distroyed any hype people had even more, the day 1 update was terrible and the console was very slow at launch and etc which they are fixing so I think with games like MK8 and SSB come out, it will sell a lot more than it did in 2013 just cause they aren't repeating the same mistakes (although they are making some other ones but those are minor)


There's no 3rd party support.

Obviously the wiiU is targetting people that like Nintendo games... and third party isn't exactly in Nintendo's hands unless they pay a shit ton of money

That doesn't warrant a $300 price tag when I can get so many more options than just "Nintendo games" from either one of the other 2 home consoles. The Wii had the casuals in the palm of their hands, there's no way the Wii U can get that same appeal. (As you can see from Wii U Fit/Just Dance 2014 numbers)



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jlmurph2 said:
Jizz_Beard_thePirate said:
jlmurph2 said:
Jizz_Beard_thePirate said:

Well, all I am saying is that there are clear mistakes that they made on 2013 that made the system very unpopular and to be fair, it does cost less than both the ps4 and xbox one so if money is an issue, they would choose the wiiU if they are on tight budget... Now, I am not saying it will sell zomfg but I am saying that it will see a lot better than what it did in 2013... There were no ads that it was a new console, there were no games like Mario Kart and Smash Bros (as well as many others), they didn't show up at e3 in terms of a proper press conference which distroyed any hype people had even more, the day 1 update was terrible and the console was very slow at launch and etc which they are fixing so I think with games like MK8 and SSB come out, it will sell a lot more than it did in 2013 just cause they aren't repeating the same mistakes (although they are making some other ones but those are minor)


There's no 3rd party support.

Obviously the wiiU is targetting people that like Nintendo games... and third party isn't exactly in Nintendo's hands unless they pay a shit ton of money

That doesn't warrant a $300 price tag when I can get so many more options than just "Nintendo games" from either one of the other 2 home consoles. The Wii had the casuals in the palm of their hands, there's no way the Wii U can get that same appeal. (As you can see from Wii U Fit/Just Dance 2014 numbers)

Well, the wii sold 100 million consoles and I am not saying they will sell even remotely close to that... I am just saying that they will do better in 2014 than they did in 2013... Pachter says that there are 30 million Nintendo fans and I think they are just waiting for the really good games to come out



                  

PC Specs: CPU: 7800X3D || GPU: Strix 4090 || RAM: 32GB DDR5 6000 || Main SSD: WD 2TB SN850

Unlikely, the WiiU is really struggling to find it's footing and time is not on it's side.



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Miguel_Zorro said:
lt_dan_27 said:
I'm pretty sure the xbox one is going to beat the ps4 by a very large margin.


That's the worst prediction so far in the thread, but I do think the XBox One will outsell the WiiU.  The PS4 will outsell both of them.


Oh God. I meant to say the wiiU instead of ps4. I combined two thoughts. Looks like I'm going to be getting a lot of attacks for that comment...



lt_dan_27 said:
Miguel_Zorro said:
lt_dan_27 said:
I'm pretty sure the xbox one is going to beat the ps4 by a very large margin.


That's the worst prediction so far in the thread, but I do think the XBox One will outsell the WiiU.  The PS4 will outsell both of them.


Oh God. I meant to say the wiiU instead of ps4. I combined two thoughts. Looks like I'm going to be getting a lot of attacks for that comment...

There is an edit button in case u didn't notice, or you can just type Edit: blah blah blah



                  

PC Specs: CPU: 7800X3D || GPU: Strix 4090 || RAM: 32GB DDR5 6000 || Main SSD: WD 2TB SN850

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Jizz_Beard_thePirate said:
lt_dan_27 said:
Miguel_Zorro said:
lt_dan_27 said:
I'm pretty sure the xbox one is going to beat the ps4 by a very large margin.


That's the worst prediction so far in the thread, but I do think the XBox One will outsell the WiiU.  The PS4 will outsell both of them.


Oh God. I meant to say the wiiU instead of ps4. I combined two thoughts. Looks like I'm going to be getting a lot of attacks for that comment...

There is an edit button in case u didn't notice, or you can just type Edit: blah blah blah

I edited it the second I saw the error. 



3DS>PS4>XBone>WiiU>Vita



I tend to agree. I don't see an excessive number of sales on the cards for anyone really, but effectively what we have is a repeat of the 6th generation of consoles. PS4 will screech ahead much like PS2 did, and the Xbone/Wii U will wind up with similar numbers, much like the Xbox/GameCube did. Again Microsoft will rely largely on one or two ungodly popular games like they did with the first Xbox and the release of Halo, while Nintendo will fall back on it's 1st party titles.

The question is, where will the sales figures land lifetime wise. That depends, if world economy improves, they could all see reasonable sales, with PS4 possibly topping 150 million worldwide, with the other two hitting between 30-40 million (which is not too shabby), if the economy doesn't improve however the PS4 will struggle to top 80 million, and the other two will struggle to top 20 million.

I see this being quite an obvious spread it'll be as follows
PS4>3DS>Vita>WiiU>XBO

The media will naturally present the XBO as far more successful than the Wii U, but that's because USA struggles to see past it's own borders and hasn't realised that outside of USA there are maybe three blokes who gave a shit long enough to buy an XBO and one of them was pissed out of his skull when he did it. As such, the Wii U simply has a larger audience to appeal to. It won't be a massive lead, but when it comes down to it, when everyone already has a PS4, it'll be Nintendo that gets picked for obligatory second console because "Well, I never did play that new 3D Mario game or that Donkey Kong game that came out two years ago, and people have been talking about that new Zelda game. May as well, it's pretty cheap now".

The Vita will become more and more desirable as the PS4 does better, plus people underestimate the appeal of handhelds in Japan. They sell REALLY well over there. Vita just needs one "sensation" game, anything that can become a fad, and it'll sell an additional 10 million practically overnight. It's happened for PSP, GBA, DS, and 3DS, I see no reason it won't happen again for Vita.

My predictions for lifetime sales; optimistic estimates.

PS4 - 165 million
3DS - 120 million
Vita - 60 million
Wii U - 40 million
XBO - 32 million

If the banks shit themselves again though (or simply fail to wipe their arse after the banging shit they started having 5 fucking years ago), or if the industry crash keeps going and takes more than just THQ for a merry trip to dev-heaven, Well in that case it'll likely go more like this.

PS4 - 80 million
3DS - 50 million
Vita - 25 million
Wii U - 18 million
XBO - 15 million

I'd like to be an optimist and claim the above is going to happen, but a part of me is cautious of such a prediction. The latter spread would certainly be a bad thing for gaming though and that's no good thing. All in all the order and ratio changes very little I think.

This seems like the most likely spread... though who knows for sure. The PS3 looked dead in the water in it's second year, and it's not only overtaken the Xbox 360 but it's even been outselling the Xbox One in recent weeks... so who's to say what can change. I'll bet no-one would have considered the PS3 the strongest 7th gen console in 2007.



ps4>3ds>xboxone>psvita>wiiU>ouya



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m

Not gonna happen. MS won't let the X1 fail like that. If sales are constantly at WiiU levels then they will drop the price by at least $100.



    

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