By November it should be $200 naked, $250 with either Smash, Mario Kart, or 3D World. 3D World makes the most sense to me, meaning parents would then be picking up Mario Kart in addition to it.

There's no real point in dropping the price any sooner than that; they don't need the 'come and buy me' price until the holiday season and parents start shopping around for Christmas.

Dropping the price earlier than that won't turn the console around enough to justify the loss in revenue and doesn't give Nintendo any room to manoeuvre come holiday season.

It also depends, of course, on what affect Mario Kart and a (hopefully) fuller summer lineup has on sales. If Mario Kart ups the baseline by 10s of 000s on a week by week basis and no real droughts until next January then a price cut won't be necessary.

Not that I'm expecting that by any stretch.

Key thing is that any drastic action Nintendo makes before E3 could well be premature and do more harm than good.

$200 price is possible only at end of console life, 2016-2017,
I am not so sure for $250 price this year, probably will be 269-279$ for Mario Kart Bundle for holiday season.

And I think that $250 is very good price for Wii U, $199 is 2 cheap for Wii U vith game.

A price cut won´t have effect on sales right now and will only increase Nintendo losses.
USD $ 299 for a console with one or two games - depending of the bundle - is just fine.

What Nintendo need is a strong marketing campaign and give support to third parties on their marketing too. Announcing 3rd party games on its monthly Nintendo Direct could be a good start

It needs an X-factor. It needs a reason for being. As it stands, it's just a glorified handheld that can't leave the house. 3DS looks more appealing. Also, software isnt really there. You can't survive on 1st party alone. Look at where that got Dreamcast.