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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 Japan launch CELEBRATION (It's here!) - Predictions closed!

small44 on 20 February 2014
dsp333 said:
240k.

Wow at all these insanely high numbers.

wow at your low prediction



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m

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outlawauron on 20 February 2014
dsp333 said:
007BondAgent said:

meaning the time of year doesn't count.


Absolutely, positively not.

While your logic that launch is far less casual dependent than regular post launch window sales, holiday sales are still incredibly important and significant among the younger hardcore who don't have much money for themselves. 

A Wii U launch in February would've been lucky to break 210k, for instance.

People just don't share your pessismistic view of the market. If the PS4 doesn't outperform the Wii U, it'd be disaster for the Japanese industry.



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mr_capello on 20 February 2014

500k first 2 days
900-1mio by end of feb



Patty2720 on 20 February 2014

I'll go with 575k



dsp333 on 20 February 2014
outlawauron said:
dsp333 said:
007BondAgent said:

meaning the time of year doesn't count.


Absolutely, positively not.

While your logic that launch is far less casual dependent than regular post launch window sales, holiday sales are still incredibly important and significant among the younger hardcore who don't have much money for themselves. 

A Wii U launch in February would've been lucky to break 210k, for instance.

People just don't share your pessismistic view of the market. If the PS4 doesn't outperform the Wii U, it'd be disaster for the Japanese industry.


It's not pessism, I'm just being realistic now. The Japanese market for consoles died last gen, it IS incredibly unhealthy.

And again, comparing how the PS4 does in February to how the Wii U does during the holidays is unfair to the PS4.



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alrightiwill on 20 February 2014

Holidays? Japanese aren't Christian. They don't have big holiday sales like Europe and NA. While yes they do have increased sales, it's nothing like what exists here. It doesn't play as big a factor.



dsp333 on 20 February 2014
alrightiwill said:
Holidays? Japanese aren't Christian. They don't have big holiday sales like Europe and NA. While yes they do have increased sales, it's nothing like what exists here. It doesn't play as big a factor.

Please be joking. Christmas is hardly christian domain anymore.



wary-wallaroo on 20 February 2014

533k First week I'd say.



Vicuna on 20 February 2014

622.000 minimum. Godzilla will deliver.



benji232 on 20 February 2014

I will go with what I WANT it to sell. So 600k.

Realistically, I'd say 400-450k. But my official prediction is 600k :D.



Predictions for LT console sales:

PS4: 120M

XB1: 70M

WiiU: 14M

3DS: 60M

Vita: 13M