| ArnoldRimmer said: At first I was a bit surprised that the few users here saying to live in Venezuela pretty much all seem to be supporting the protests, as I've read an article quoting numbers that a private market research bureau just released. According to their survey, not even every fourth Venezuelan (23%) believes the current protests to be wise or that replacing Maduro would even bring positive change. And almost 75% believe that if even Maduro should be replaced, this should be done the "democratic way" - by public vote, not by violent protest from armed groups. I guess this can be explained by unrepresentative/small sample size. It seems that similar to the Iranian protests a few years ago, the protesters are not representative of the whole population, but usually belong to a more or less specific population group. In Iran for example, the protesters were almost exclusively from relatively wealthy urban (upper) middle class youths. The situation in Venezuela seems to be quite similar. So considering that video games are probably still too expensive for typical, relatively poor Venezuelan families, I assume that the Venezuelans posting here tend to be from relatively wealthy middle-class families as well, and are thus likely to feel similar to the protesters. Anyway, I hope this Capriles guy does not come to power. From what I've read, he seems to be a pretty bad politician who would do just about anything to come to power. |
The question is... is it credible?
Venezulian polling has been pretty gloomy for a while now... and the government has been releasing false propaganda from a variety of sources for a couple years now for such things as pretending their inflation rate is multiple times lower then reality. To my knowledge noone in the Venezulian press have reported the more accurate numbers.
Also, you've got to look at how the numbers are being presented to you.
For example, if you look at this
http://venezuelanalysis.com/news/10401
You see Hinterlaces numbers that are fairly similar... which, might actually be the poll your refrencing.
29% Support removing Maduro via street action
29% Support a referendum
43% Think he should serve his whole term.
(Percentage points obviously rounded up)
Somoene can present that as 29% of people support the protests.... 71% are against them.
However, someone could ALSO present it as to mean that 58% of the population supports the protests, with half that number wanting the official outcome to be a recall election.
Or more simply 58% of the people want Maduro out. (Despite the afore contested election he won.)
No actual question about support of the protests is mentioned anywhere in that poll. (Or any of the polls in that link.)
So, actual support can't really be measured by it.
Or even just outright Maduro support/disapproval.
