I'll divide your post in 2 seperate points.

1) How so? If it's performing better then 2013, HOW does that give any substantial credibility to your point? If it's perception went "far south" in the last yea, how is it performing better in 2014? 

2) WiiU is selling to Nintendo fans and ONLY to Nintendo fans. And as we saw in November, December and even now, in January, ps4 and xbox one had next to no effect at all on wiiU sales. In fact, wiiU sold more in december 2013 vs december 2012. 

Do you not remember the price cut?

The perception of the console as being a bit of a dud is true even if the sales are moderately up. 

Wii U has way more games (though still not a ton) than it did at this time last year, so people might think of it as a dud but still be more willing to pay for a CHEAPER console with MORE GAMES.

And come on, the sales have been so bad that being slightly up from this time last year is no huge victory. Are you seriously debating that the media and the gamer communities don't think of the Wii U as a flop at this point? I can point to dozens of articles demonstrating that the media think the Wii U is seriously underperforming.

As for point two, you are conceding that there is a small base of people who are interested in Wii U. This group has shrunk rather than grown since the GCN, and the Wii U is tracking under the trajectory for the GameCube. So there is no reason to expect it to sell well.

All I'm saying is that there is good reason to suspect the Wii U might dip below 20k weekly between now and Mario Kart. I

You're putting words in my mouth that I never even mentionned. I never argued that wiiU is a failure ( please copy paste where I was arguing that? I even pointed out multiple times in multiple threads on vgchartz how much of a disaster wiiU is in terms of sales) and again, where am I scream victory on wiiU sales lol??? Please, point that out for me, copy paste, quote me. 

On you're point 2, yea obviously. If the system is selling 35k units a week on a global basis, then it's selling HORRIBLY. The system IS a flop. And yes, I am aware that it's tracking below GC. Looking at you're arguments, you were simply assuming that I was a fanboy making a prediction without any proof. Selling below 40k a week globally is horrible. However, this does not prove you're point at all that it would dip below 20k. In fact, you brought up absolutely no arguments to prove that the system would dip below 20k. 

Last year, the system dipped once below 20k without ANY major releases for the first 6months of the year. This year, we have 1 major release and 1 big release for the first 6months. And the system is tracking above last year. It's safe to say that it won't dip below 20k.

Let me take some words you said.

"Paste." Okay. When did I ever mention paste? I didn't bring up paste! You can even find posts where I say I use tape as an adhesive!

You're trying to paint me as some glue fanboy!

I think I won't bother talking to you in the future.

You're putting words in my mouth that I never even mentionned. I never argued that wiiU is a failure ( please copy paste where I was arguing that? I even pointed out multiple times in multiple threads on vgchartz how much of a disaster wiiU is in terms of sales) and again, where am I scream victory on wiiU sales lol??? Please, point that out for me, copy paste, quote me. 

On you're point 2, yea obviously. If the system is selling 35k units a week on a global basis, then it's selling HORRIBLY. The system IS a flop. And yes, I am aware that it's tracking below GC. Looking at you're arguments, you were simply assuming that I was a fanboy making a prediction without any proof. Selling below 40k a week globally is horrible. However, this does not prove you're point at all that it would dip below 20k. In fact, you brought up absolutely no arguments to prove that the system would dip below 20k. 

Last year, the system dipped once below 20k without ANY major releases for the first 6months of the year. This year, we have 1 major release and 1 big release for the first 6months. And the system is tracking above last year. It's safe to say that it won't dip below 20k.