By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - My prediction! Xbox One won't reach 6 Million before June.

Tagged games:

 

Do you think the Xbox One can do it?

Yes! For sure! 11 14.67%
 
Maybe... 24 32.00%
 
Nope! No chance at all! 39 52.00%
 
Total:74
RenCutypoison said:
Anfebious said:
Seece said:

Who the hell does? What a pointless prediction.

It probably won't even reach 5m.


As I said to crissindahouse, didn't the Xbox One launch in only 13 countries? They still have to release the console in other countries!



Won't these countries wait for christmas to buy games and consoles, like every other countries ?

You have a point! But I'm pretty sure they can give the Xbox One a smal boost. I expect the big boost with the release of Titanfall. I think by the second half of June the Xbox One could be at 6M! Not before though.



"I've Underestimated the Horse Power from Mario Kart 8, I'll Never Doubt the WiiU's Engine Again"

Around the Network

It seems so far everyone agrees with my prediction that the Xbox One won't reach 6M before June. I'll make sure to bookmark this thread to see if I was right.



"I've Underestimated the Horse Power from Mario Kart 8, I'll Never Doubt the WiiU's Engine Again"

Anfebious said:

You have a point! But I'm pretty sure they can give the Xbox One a smal boost. I expect the big boost with the release of Titanfall. I think by the second half of June the Xbox One could be at 6M! Not before though.


I never saw a big boost on a cross-gen title, and i didnt even count in the pc version. If 1000 people have the choice between paying 50 dollars or 550 dollars for a game, and the only difference is the resolution, how many will pay 550 dollars ? (and how many will wait for steam sales ? /jk)



RenCutypoison said:
Anfebious said:

You have a point! But I'm pretty sure they can give the Xbox One a smal boost. I expect the big boost with the release of Titanfall. I think by the second half of June the Xbox One could be at 6M! Not before though.


I never saw a big boost on a cross-gen title, and i didnt even count in the pc version. If 1000 people have the choice between paying 50 dollars or 550 dollars for a game, and the only difference is the resolution, how many will pay 550 dollars ? (and how many will wait for steam sales ? /jk)

This week the Wii U outsold the Xbox 360... the WII U. It surely must mean that the Xbox 360 is dying. I'm pretty sure that the Xbox One version will be the version to go. So far it has 200k pre-orders. It's doing pretty good!



"I've Underestimated the Horse Power from Mario Kart 8, I'll Never Doubt the WiiU's Engine Again"

The poll options could stand to be a little more open. I went with maybe, simply because I don't have complete confidence in it not reach 6 million (though at this point I'd probably be willing to bet money on it not reaching that high)

There's 17-18 weeks before June hits (4 weeks in a month, 4 months, and one to two weeks thrown in at the end to make up for three of those months having more than just 28 days), which means it'd need to sell roughly 150K per week in order to reach 6 million by June. Weekly numbers for the X-Box One are already significantly below 100 K weekly (assuming VGChartz is to be trusted, which, to be fair, is a big assumption). Titanfall would have to be an absolutely massive boost in terms of pushing consoles for the One to reach 6 million.



Around the Network
Anfebious said:
RenCutypoison said:
Anfebious said:

You have a point! But I'm pretty sure they can give the Xbox One a smal boost. I expect the big boost with the release of Titanfall. I think by the second half of June the Xbox One could be at 6M! Not before though.


I never saw a big boost on a cross-gen title, and i didnt even count in the pc version. If 1000 people have the choice between paying 50 dollars or 550 dollars for a game, and the only difference is the resolution, how many will pay 550 dollars ? (and how many will wait for steam sales ? /jk)

This week the Wii U outsold the Xbox 360... the WII U. It surely must mean that the Xbox 360 is dying. I'm pretty sure that the Xbox One version will be the version to go. So far it has 200k pre-orders. It's doing pretty good!

The hardware sales are dying, software sales doesn't. COD:ghosts sold 5 times more on 360 than One.



MTZehvor said:
The poll options could stand to be a little more open. I went with maybe, simply because I don't have complete confidence in it not reach 6 million (though at this point I'd probably be willing to bet money on it not reaching that high)

There's 17-18 weeks before June hits (4 weeks in a month, 4 months, and one to two weeks thrown in at the end to make up for three of those months having more than just 28 days), which means it'd need to sell roughly 150K per week in order to reach 6 million by June. Weekly numbers for the X-Box One are already significantly below 100 K weekly (assuming VGChartz is to be trusted, which, to be fair, is a big assumption). Titanfall would have to be an absolutely massive boost in terms of pushing consoles for the One to reach 6 million.

Yup your analysis is pretty much spot on. I think there is a total of 19 weeks before June so yeah an average of 150K would be needed for the Xbox One to reach the goal. I'm not saying it possible but people seem to think it's a given! There are plenty of reasons why the console could reach 6 million before June. I think the most important one is Titanfall. Maybe we are understimating the impact the game will have. So far pre-orders seem high and I can bet it will have an excellent score. I could see Titanfall becoming the next Call of Duty. There is also other countries the Xbox One need to release on so there's also that.

My prediction is that it won't reach 6M before June but it's not a "given".



"I've Underestimated the Horse Power from Mario Kart 8, I'll Never Doubt the WiiU's Engine Again"

RenCutypoison said:
Anfebious said:

This week the Wii U outsold the Xbox 360... the WII U. It surely must mean that the Xbox 360 is dying. I'm pretty sure that the Xbox One version will be the version to go. So far it has 200k pre-orders. It's doing pretty good!

The hardware sales are dying, software sales doesn't. COD:ghosts sold 5 times more on 360 than One.


Also true but the Xbox One version of Titanfall has more pre-orders. It's pretty obvious that the Xbox One version is the one to get, and I can bet that's where most of it's sales will come from.



"I've Underestimated the Horse Power from Mario Kart 8, I'll Never Doubt the WiiU's Engine Again"