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Forums - Gaming - OFFICIAL Prediction Thread: Introductions, construction, and feedback (To be updated daily)

theprof00 on 10 January 2014
 
Bet
 Result Date made
     
Theprof00 TRUE 4/9/2009
3 months after dsi release, WW sales will be down 10% from the normal trend for the rest of the year data missing Sig control
TheProf00 - City17 vs Euphoria14 Vetteman94 Leonidas FALSE 4/9/2009
PS3 and Wii will not have a price drop until 2010 Both dropped price in final 3 months Sig control
TheProf00 vs BladeofGod - Trestres - Saicho FALSE 4/9/2009
Wii will not pass PS3 360 combined sales any week of 2009 (Japan only) 28th Jun significant >5% Sig control
Theprof00 vs Saicho FALSE  
FF13 will have the highest opening week sales of any game up to it's release date (Japan only) DQ was 2.48m vs 1.4m Sig control
Theprof00 vs Saicho FALSE 1/13/2010
ModNationRacers will sell 5 million units within 1st 52 weeks only sold 1m Sig control
Theprof00 vs Legend11 TRUE  10/20/10
 Kinect will be given away for free 2010 xmas through full-value gift-card accompaniment or console purchase or value equivalent games gift. Retail wide offer 100$ giftcard on Kinect purchase Sig control
Theprof00 vs Bamboleo, RedSpear TRUE 3/24/2010
Nintendo 3DS will be priced over 229$ at release. Priced at 249.99 Sig control
Alterego-X FALSE 4/9/2009
In the month after the release of motion plus , Wii will reach 700k weekly worldwide sales at least once. Highest was 189k  
Carl2291 - CGI-Quality vs Atma998 TRUE  
PS3 sales for the week ending 9/19/09 will be higher than Wii sales 291k vs 161k Sig control
Khuutra vs Naznatips TRUE 10-Mar
Mikami's new game, "VANQUISH," will not be a western-style shooter Was a hacknslash 10$ game
dsister44 vs Theprof00 TRUE  
Fable III will release in 2010 released Oct 26. Sig control
Snake612 vs Carl2291 TRUE  
GT5 would not sell 2.5M copies during each region week 1 2.39M first week no threads for 6 mos
Alterego-X FAIL 4/9/2009
OnLive will "work", I mean it won't crash and go bankrupt in the months following it's release,  and, it will reach 100.000 subscribers in 3 months. Declares bankruptcy (lol) Sig control
markers FALSE 10/22/2009
3D Dot Game Heroes will be a million seller .51m sales LTD Sig control
markers FALSE 10/12/2009
The PS3 will not fall under 200k a week WW for the rest of this generation data missing Sig control
BHR-3 FALSE 2010
Socom 4 will be Huge. 3 Million sold by year end data missing Sig control
Seece vs AntfromTashKent TRUE  03/27/09
Left4Dead sales on the 360 will be higher than Killzone 2 sales at end of 2009, adjustments count.  2.568m vs2.289m Sig control
Rainbowyoshi TRUE  10/22/10
SMG2 will surpass 5m in sales when 2010 ends. 
 5.8m Sig control
Darthdevidem01 FALSE 10/24/10 
A 3DS FF game will be announced on January 11th 2011  lulz Sig control
Darthdevidem01 OPEN  10/24/10
FF13Versus will outsell DQX    Sig control
yo_john117 TRUE 10/25/10 
Fable 3 will sell 3.4 million first 52 weeks   Sig control
bananaking FALSE  
LINK PS4 will outsell xb1 by 50% US DEC NPD 2014 xb1 outsold ps4 in US DEC NPD 2014  
bananaking FALSE  
LINK Sunset Overdrive: best rated x1 exclusive 2014 Titanfall: 86 vs SO: 81  
jabbamk TRUE  
LINK PS4 will have more than 17.5m shipped by Jan 1 2015 no figures, but over 17.5 sold through  
dialgamarine OPEN  
LINK Infamous:SS will be the best selling game of the franchise currently 2.19m vs 2.54m (infamous)  
Buckwheat OPEN  
LINK Infamous:SS will outsell Titanfall Infamous: 2.19m vs 2.56m  
FattyDingDong FALSE  
LINK by Q1 2015 xb1 will outsell ps4 in US and Europe Is outsold in all regions by ps4  
ToastBoy FALSE  
LINK 1.titanfall will sell 5m; sequel exclusive to xb1 LTD: 2.56m; sequel announced as multiplat  
Ryng_Tolu OPEN 03.18.15
LINK Call of Duty will die by 2017    
Teeqoz OPEN 03.05.15
LINK ps4 will outsell WiiU LTD in Japan currently ~1.112 vs 2.226m (wiiU lead)  


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theprof00 on 10 January 2014

TODAYS NEWS:

PREDICT this thread's official title!

bananaking PS4 will outsell xb1 1.5 to 1 ratio in December NPD (50% higher sales)
A bold prediction, I know, and one that I am not confident about. It's just a guess, but I'm calling it (anyway).

kirby007 Generation 8 LTD sales thread
Console Sales compilation thread

Jabbamk1: PlayStation 4 will SHIP over 17.5m units worldwide by December 31st 2014
Shipped:

Date Quarterly sales Total Sales
Quarter 4 (End Dec 31st 2013) 4.2m 4.2m
Quarter 1 (End March 31st 2014) 3.0m 7.2m
Quarter 2 (End June 30th 2014) 2.5m 9.7m
Quarter 3 (End Sep 31st 2014) 2.8m 12.5m
Quarter 4 (End Dec 31st 2014) 5.2m 17.7m


theprof00 on 14 January 2014

Dialgamarine Infamous.ss will be the best selling game of the series
"After following US preorders, I have come to the conclusion that inFamous: Second Son will be the best selling inFamous to date, and will potentially surpass the first by far. Looking at US preorders, inFamous 2 rested at 161K preorders it's release week, before selling 1.63 million units LTD. Second Son has already surpassed that at 166K, with 12 weeks still to go. (...) 3.5 - 4 million units lifetime, and potentially near 5 with good reviews and (console launch legs)"

Buckwheat Infamous.ss ps4 will outsell titanfall xb1
"I believe that Second Son will sell more copies on the PS4 than Titanfall does on the Xbox One. Still I feel that if the PS4 continues to broaden the gap in sales that this could definitely happen. This is the third installment of an Infamous game compared to a brand new IP.  These are US pre-order totals for the week ending 1/11. 

 

Bananaking: Sunset Overdrive to be highest rated XB1 exclusive in 2014
"...The game looks like it will be a very solid and interesting one, So my prediction is that it will top any xbox one exclusive that released in 2014. so yes, i think it will score higher than Halo 5, Quantum Break and the Black Tusk game. "

FattyDingDong: XBOX ONE will carry US and Europe
"I predict that by Q1 2015 Xbox One will outsell PS4 in US and in Europe. Not just in UK but also in France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Scandanavia etc. (...)it's $100 more than the PS4. That's why its losing terrority in the US and Europe right now. I predict that by the end 2014 Microsoft will cut the price to $399 without removing the Kinect.  (...)Thus the people will see that the Xbox is the better value so they will go with Xbox One. Plus by fall of 2014 Xbox will have so many great games to choose from such as, Dead Rising 3, Ryse, Forza, Titanfall, Quantum Break etc. "

Toastboy: (1) Titanfall will sell 5m on the xbox one. (2) sequel will be xb1 exclusive.
"I also predict the Xbox One version will outsell the Xbox 360 and PC version.
Xbox One version only. 500k-750k in its first week. 3 million this year, 1 million in 2015, 1 million in the rest of Xbox One's lifetime. Titanfall will have the sales of a Gears of War game (rea.)I reckon. Titanfall 2 will be an Xbox One exclusive and come in 2017(...)"

Kaizar: Next xbox and ps to be called PS5 and Xbox TWO
"So what do you think about the PS5 & Xbox TWO being release in 2023 after Nintendo's new Home Console in 2018 being more powerful then the PS4 & ONE, follow by Nintendo's New Home Console in 2024 being more powerful then the PS5 & TWO?
exp:Sony & Microsoft said they will be supporting the PS4 & Xbox ONE for 10 years.10 years plus 2013 = year 2K23"

Kaizar: 3ds will dominate and Nintendo will have epic sells?
"Nintendo will always have the majority of the Home Console Market Share during this new Gen, and the Nintendo 2DS sells will be soo bad to the point were Nintendo discontinues the 2DS. And the 3DS as well as 3DS XL will get a price cut that will bring in more sells, plus the announcement of Zone of the Enders 3DS and Mega Man 3DS and Assassin's Creed 3DS, plus the localization of a lot of Japanese games to the 3DS in the Rest of the world. And Nintendo releasing full 3D movies of every single Warner Bros. & Disney & Dreamworks 3D movies property on the 3DS and Netflix bringing 3D streaming to the 3DS Netflix App."



bananaking21 on 14 January 2014

i also have a prediction that i will most likely eat crow for. my NPD Dec prediction where i said PS4 will outsell XB1 1.5:1. ill fetch the thread for you

Edit : here you go http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=174855



kirby007 on 14 January 2014

the thread in my sig



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

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kirby007 on 15 January 2014

You could refer it as Kirby007 and a few predictors predicting Lifetime console sales for generation 8



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

Jabbamk1 on 15 January 2014

My prediction is as follows. 

PlayStation 4 will SHIP over 17.5m units worldwide by December 31st 2014. This is a prediction I made sometime last week and has been posted in another thread.

Jabbamk1 said:

My prediction is as follows.  Tbh i am talking shipped figures here rather than sold, but i've used 4.2m because it's the only figure we have. 

 

Date Quarterly sales Total Sales
Quarter 4 (End Dec 31st 2013) 4.2m 4.2m
Quarter 1 (End March 31st 2014) 3.0m 7.2m
Quarter 2 (End June 30th 2014) 2.5m 9.7m
Quarter 3 (End Sep 31st 2014) 2.8m 12.5m
Quarter 4 (End Dec 31st 2014) 5.2m 17.7m

 

Go on. Call me crazy. 


theprof00 on 15 January 2014
Preduktor Prediktion
bananaking
bananaking
jabbamk1
Dialgamarine
Buckwheat
FattyDingDong
Toastboy
Kaizar

 

Golden Saucer Link-up

Bet Result Date made Bounty  
Theprof00        
3 months after dsi release, WW sales will be down 10% from the normal trend for the rest of the year Win 4/9/2009 Sig control  
Alterego-X        
In the month after the release of motion plus , Wii will reach 700k weekly worldwide sales at least once. Fail 4/9/2009 Sig control Highest was 189k
TheProf00 - City17 vs Euphoria14 Vetteman94 Leonidas        
PS3 and Wii will not have a price drop until 2010 Fail 4/9/2009 Sig control Both drop price in last 3 months
TheProf00 vs BladeofGod - Trestres - Saicho        
Wii will not pass PS3 360 combined sales any week of 2009 (Japan only) Fail 4/9/2009 Sig control 28th Jun significant >5% 
Carl2291 - CGI-Quality vs Atma998        
PS3 sales for the week ending 9/19/09 will be higher than Wii sales Win   Sig control 291k vs 161k
Theprof00 vs Saicho        
FF13 will have the highest opening week sales of any game up to it's release date (Japan only) Fail   Sig control  
Khuutra vs Naznatips        
Mikami's new game, "VANQUISH," will not be a standard western-style shooter Win Mar-10 10$ Wiiware/
steam/vc game		 Was a hacknslash
dsister44 vs Theprof00        
Fable III will release in 2010 Win   Sig control released Oct 26.
Theprof00 vs Saicho        
ModNationRacers will sell 5 million units within the first year on sale (52 weeks) Fail 1/13/2010 Sig control  
Theprof00 vs Bamboleo, RedSpear        
Nintendo 3DS (LADYLOO) will be priced over 229$ at release. Win 3/24/2010 Sig control Priced at 249.99
Snake612 vs Carl2291        
GT5 would not sell 2.5M copies during week one (each region's week one totaled) Win N/A if lost, no threads
 for 6 months		 2.39M first week
Alterego-X        
OnLive will "work", I mean it won't crash and go bankrupt in the months following it's release,  and, it will reach 100.000 subscribers in 3 months. Fail 4/9/2009 Sig control Declares bankruptcy
markers        
3D Dot Game Heroes will be a million seller Fail 10/22/2009 Sig control .51m sales LTD
markers        
The PS3 will not fall under 200k a week WW for the rest of this generation Fail 10/12/2009 Sig control  
BHR-3        
Socom 4 will be Huge. 3 Million sold by year end Fail 2010 Sig control  
Theprof00 vs Legend11        
 Kinect will be given away for free 2010 xmas through full-value gift-card accompaniment or console purchase or value equivalent games gift. Win  10/20/10 Sig control Retail wide offer 100$
giftcard on Kinect purchase
Seece vs AntfromTashKent        
Left4Dead sales on the 360 will be higher than Killzone 2 sales at end of 2009, adjustments count.   WIN  03/27/09 Sig control 2.568m vs2.289m
Rainbowyoshi        
Super Mario Galaxy 2 will surpass 5m in sales when 2010 ends. 
 WIN  10/22/10 Sig control 5.8m
Darthdevidem01        
A 3DS Final Fantasy game will be announced on January 11th 2011  Fail 10/24/10  Sig control  
Darthdevidem01        
FF13Versus will outsell DQX   OPEN  10/24/10 Sig control  
yo_john117        
Fable 3 will sell 3.4 million by the end of its first year on the Xbox 360 from its release date  WIN 10/25/10  Sig control  


theprof00 on 18 March 2015

Time for a reintroduction!
Post your predictions!
Anyone have bets going on? Post em here!



Ryng on 18 March 2015

Very good prediction Jabbamk!