I'm not sure if SM3DW will move enough Wii U's or not. The game itself doesn't seem to be selling super well so far, it currently sits at 6th place on Amazon's bestseller chart right now, that plus the final preorder numbers suggest around 200,000 in first week sales in the US, not exactly on par with other major system sellers in their first week.
What incredibly scientific mathematical formula did you use to come up with that rather precise number?
I'm not going to say that it's precise, more like a ballpark (I did say around 200,000). It's based on a few things: SM3DW's preorder data and current placing on Amazon's charts; Knack's preorder data, 1st week sales data, and placing on Amzon's charts throughout it's 1st week; and the preoder data and current placing on Amazon's sales charts for Forza 5, Dead Rising 3, and Ryse. SM3DW's preorders placed above Knack, but below Forza 5, Ryse, and Dead Rising 3, however, it currently sits above Forza 5, Ryse, and Dead Rising 3 on Amazon's charts. We'll see next week just how accurate my prediction is, but I'll be highly suprised if SM3DW sells more than 200,000 week one in the US, but not quite as suprised if it sells under 200,000. My predictions are usually pretty accurate, and sometimes spot-on.