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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Can Wii maintain sales pace

CrashMan on 14 February 2008
Sqrl said:

@crashman,

How do you get 40m Wiis at 500k per week? With 5 weeks worth of sales data up right now there are 47 weeks remaining and at an average of 500k those 47 weeks would be 23.5m added to the current ~21.5m which is ~45m. Were you just aproximating or rounding or using a different calculation method? Elaborate please.


Well the numbers have been mid-upper 400s (hence the almost 500k) so that leaves it somewhere around 42 Mil by the end of the year on average, which I rounded conservatively to 40mil



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Avinash_Tyagi on 14 February 2008
Sullla said:
We won't be seeing 200k weekly in the Americas, that's for sure. This week was probably a bit higher than most non-holiday weeks will turn out to be (God help the other consoles if it isn't!) It's probably more realistic that we'll see in the range of 300-350k weekly in the slow months of the year. That's an increase of 100k/week over last year, when the Wii very consistently did 200-250k every week during the spring, summer, and early fall.

The holidays will spike numbers upwards, and raise the average weekly sales over the 400k range. All told, we should definitely see over 20m Wiis sold this year. I predicted sales of 23m (for 42m lifetime) in 2008, and I'm pretty happy with my prediction thus far.

 I think all that hinges on how much nintendo can supply



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

bigjon on 14 February 2008
Fastrabbit09 said:
kingofwale said:
But all this is pointless if Nintendo can't produce 2 million units per months like they PROMISED over 1 years ago.

isn't it a bannable offense to blatantly post lies on this forum?

 


he is a troll. ignore. it goes away.



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

Sqrl on 14 February 2008
CrashMan said:
Sqrl said:

@crashman,

How do you get 40m Wiis at 500k per week? With 5 weeks worth of sales data up right now there are 47 weeks remaining and at an average of 500k those 47 weeks would be 23.5m added to the current ~21.5m which is ~45m. Were you just aproximating or rounding or using a different calculation method? Elaborate please.


Well the numbers have been mid-upper 400s (hence the almost 500k) so that leaves it somewhere around 42 Mil by the end of the year on average, which I rounded conservatively to 40mil


 Fair enough. 

To be clear I didn't have a problem with your numbers, was just trying to figure out how you arrive there.  Actually my prediction for end of '08 last year was around 41m so the 40-42 range is around my mark....although I'm starting to think I may have aimed a bit low given the sales the last few weeks.. hopefully within a month we will have a clear trend we can look at. 
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