| WebMasterFlex said: 6 million. I'm happy inFamous Second Son is out in February : Killzone Shadow Fall will have no one to "battle" and probably will join the Uncharted/God Of War/LittleBigPlanet/The Last Of Us numbers' family. Gran Turismo is too high I think tho.. |
Isn't Killzone: Shadow Fall battling with Call of Duty: Ghosts and Battlefield 4 in the FPS genre?
I think Killzone: Shadow Fall has a decent chance to join the Uncharted & LittleBigPlanet family, i.e. 5m - 6m but only because of mass bundling. Anything from 4m -6m I reckon but it's hard to say, it depends on how long it remains the bundled AAA exclusive (until inFAMOUS: Second Son probably) and if it's actually a great game with extremely positive word of mouth. I think 4m - 5m is more likely, I voted for 4 million.
Without at least a year (2 holidays) of bundling I doubt it will come close to joining the 6m+ family with GoW3 and TLoU (it's inevitable) which are 2/4 of Sony's only 1st party PS3 exclusives that have achieved (GoW3/GT5) or will achieve (TLoU/GT6) this milestone with very little (TloU) to hardly any (GoW3) bundling. KZ:SF will have a strong launch period (if the PS4 sells very well this year, like 4m+ and KZ:SF has a 1:4 tie ratio) due to the holiday release & bundle but I think it will be a fairly front-loaded game and with similar but slightly better legs after 2014 than KZ2 & KZ3. I'd guess Killzone: Shadow Fall will sell ~1m in 2013, ~1.5m in 2014, ~0.7m in 2015, ~0.3m in 2016, ~0.2m in 2017 and another 0.3m until it stops selling = ~4m lifetime. I doubt any Sony exclusive will ever go near Gran Turismo sales, unless there's a HUGE new IP for the PS4 that joins the 10m+ family, that would be amazing.
