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Forums - Gaming Discussion - UNITY - Nintendo & Wii U Finish The REVOLUTION

Seece said:

I am discussing the OP, just not the part you want peopel to discuss, sorry but this isn't a dictatorship, can't tell people what to talk about.

@ Anfebious, won't need to come January! It'll be pretty obvious the state of things, anyone still believing in the OP is doing so for unknown reasons. If it just becomes JL and his fans talking about the impossible then it'll be locked.


It's your right to talk about anything you'd like. I'm not one to report people even if they stray completely off topic. Everyone has the right to speak their mind. And so I have a right to point out that what you are doing in this thread is pointless and not bringing anything to the discussion. I realize that you take some joy in pointing out poor Wii U sales, but I have to ask: Are there not enough threads where you can do that already? In this thread it just looks like you don't understand what the discussion is about.

Anyway, I am not an idiot, I know you're going to keep up your little number no matter what I say (unless of course by some miracle the prophetic Wii U turn around predicted comes to be), so just consider this a calling out of sorts.

Thank you for your time.



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Yakuzaice said:

I'm not sure why you (impertinence) are acting like Lucas' arguments are any better than his predictions.  I'd say the gist of at least his OP was that the Wii U would take off, the PS4 and XBO would languish and die, and third parties would be coming back home to Nintendo.  All of these things combined would lead to Nintendo unifying and dominating gaming. 

So how are those things going so far?  The Wii U is still doing terrible, even after a price cut, a bunch of bundles, and a somewhat decent flow of games.  While it is still early to say the fate of the PS4 and XBO, so far they are breaking records and looking to catch up to the Wii U in the west in very little time.  Third party games both multiplatform and exlusive have continued to do poorly on the Wii U.  I think pretty much all the series that saw a release in both 2012 and 2013 are tracking behind the ones from last year.

Lucas seems to confer upon Nintendo some sort of omniscient status.  The idea that it was all part of their master plan to kill off the Wii and replace it with a system that is losing them money and selling worse than the Dreamcast is just ludicrous.

I've said three times that I don't think the predictions he makes will come true. I am just calling some people out for completely failing to discuss the real topic of the thread.



Anfebious said:
Einsam_Delphin said:
I just wanna know how the Wii U is gonna start selling 1 million a week. :L


Supply man. Sony and Microsoft are going to sell 1 billion consoles this generation. If they have supply for that many consoles I'm sure Nintendo has supply for 1 million a week.



Err... what? No one's selling 1 billion consoles lol. Also, Wii U's problem is lack of demand. All the supply in the world means nothing if no one wants to buy. So basically my question is how are Nintendo gonna garner up enough demand to from selling 82k per week to selling +1m per week? The only card they have left this year is SM3DW, and while it will cause a boost, no way will it be big enough to reach John's prediction.

impertinence said:
Fusioncode said:
impertinence said:
Fusioncode said:

The entire argument Lucas made was to back up his sales prediction. I'm not sure why you don't understand that. If you actually looked at his first prediction then you'll realize that Lucas predicted the "meteoric rise and domination of the market" would have already begun. Why else would he predict 12 million in sales before the year's end. I'm not seeing Sony and Microsoft being forced out of the market, in fact, I see them breaking records while the WiiU clings to pathetic sales.  

You are wrong again. The point of the thread is not to make a prediction about life time Wii U sales, it's to predict the evolution of the videogame market to where it will be completely dominated by Nintendo.

It's a fair thing to disagree with this prediction, as I have said myself, I share your pessimism that Sony and Microsoft will continue grinding the market down to the lowest possible denominator and leave it as impotent and bland as the movie industry. However, don't pretend that the sales of the three systems through this holiday has much impact on the points in the OP. What you and others are doing in this thread is basically hacking away at a strawman, the funny thing is that the strawman was set up by John Lucas himself :D

Yes Sony and Microsoft are destroying gaming. Sigh, so you're one of those fans. Well I'm done arguing with you, not much point in it anymore. Last words, yes sales of a system does have an impact on it's success. The fact that the WiiU is completely bombing even with several high profile titles shows exactly why this system isn't going to dominate this gen. I look forward to this thread being bumped in a year or so when WiiU has fallen to a distant third place. 

No, Sony and Microsfot are not destroying gaming. They are vessels for Western Third parties to destroy gaming. At least I am somewhat concerned that they are. Of course, if you're one of those people who think Avatar is a step forward in movie history, we are on opposite sides of the fence. Don't worry, I am pretty sure that you and your ilk will get your way so you will be able to enjoy your Uncharted series/Grand Theft Auto/Beyond: Two Souls or whatever you enjoy playing.

Haha what!? You think Nintendo is taking a stand against third parties? They would KILL to have 3rd party support. And where did that Avatar comment come from? What does that have anything to do with what we're discussing? I do love Uncharted though, I guess that makes me a bad person. I should just go buy 2D Mario platformer #787332. Screw great game design. It has an M rating so it MUST be terrible. 



Sigs are dumb. And so are you!

impertinence said:
Seece said:

I am discussing the OP, just not the part you want peopel to discuss, sorry but this isn't a dictatorship, can't tell people what to talk about.

@ Anfebious, won't need to come January! It'll be pretty obvious the state of things, anyone still believing in the OP is doing so for unknown reasons. If it just becomes JL and his fans talking about the impossible then it'll be locked.


It's your right to talk about anything you'd like. I'm not one to report people even if they stray completely off topic. Everyone has the right to speak their mind. And so I have a right to point out that what you are doing in this thread is pointless and not bringing anything to the discussion. I realize that you take some joy in pointing out poor Wii U sales, but I have to ask: Are there not enough threads where you can do that already? In this thread it just looks like you don't understand what the discussion is about.

Anyway, I am not an idiot, I know you're going to keep up your little number no matter what I say (unless of course by some miracle the prophetic Wii U turn around predicted comes to be), so just consider this a calling out of sorts.

Thank you for your time.

Again, I'm not straying off topic, even mods have been in here talking about the same thing, the numbers at the end of the thread. You can think it's spam if you like, you're wrong though and nothing would get done if you reported me.

What discussion should there be exactly? A bunch of Nintendo fans talking about the impossible? Like I said, that would get locked, would be a pointless thread. No what me and others are talking about actually has some merit towards proving the OP wrong, unlike JL#s replies which are totally useless in that regard.

Well, I wouldn't quite say that, you can't seem to grasp that the predictions in the OP are a big part of the discussion, like I said it isn't hard to fathom. If the numbers don't add up, everything in the OP falls apart. Simples.



 

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impertinence said:
Fusioncode said:

I'm not sure how much more simple I could make this. The entire point of this thread is a sales prediction for the WiiU. Lucas was WRONG. If his prediction is wrong, then his argument does not hold up. If it did, the WiiU would be on fire right now. It's not. Lucas has ignored everyone asking him for an update and defending him isn't doing any good. It's his prediction and he should come defend it. Or at least acknowledge that he was wrong. 

You are WRONG. This thread is about how Nintendo will dominate the compatition and force unity to the market by forcing Microsoft and Sony out of the market. The predictions are over the top and frankly more of a homage to his original (and legendary) Wii predictions. In the post that started this whole thing he was completely off on the scale, while the argument he made was still proved to be correct 5, 6 or 7 years later. And yes, the original crazy prediction caught as much flack then as they do now, and yes, people failed to see the argument and argued about immaterial details then as they do now.

Here is how you need to approach the numbers John Lucas has presented:

They are not actual numbers, they represent a meteoric rise and domination of the market for the Wii U. The point of the thread is to show how Nintendo will force third parties to accept their hardware and force Sony and Microsoft out of the market. That's the point of the thread. Not seeing that is pretty unimpressive to be brutally honest.

As I said before, if Nintendo ends up completely dominating this generation and forces Sony and Microsoft out of the console business, will you still say that this thread has failed because the final numbers were off by 100 000 000 units or whatever the case might be?

Just curious, were you on VGChartz (lurking or posting under a different name) in 2007/2008, when Lucas made the original thread?



Einsam_Delphin said:
Anfebious said:


Supply man. Sony and Microsoft are going to sell 1 billion consoles this generation. If they have supply for that many consoles I'm sure Nintendo has supply for 1 million a week.



Err... what? No one's selling 1 billion consoles lol. Also, Wii U's problem is lack of demand. All the supply in the world means nothing if no one wants to buy. So basically my question is how are Nintendo gonna garner up enough demand to from selling 82k per week to selling +1m per week? The only card they have left this year is SM3DW, and while it will cause a boost, no way will it be big enough to reach John's prediction.

I should drop out my jokes. No one seems to get them anyway .



"I've Underestimated the Horse Power from Mario Kart 8, I'll Never Doubt the WiiU's Engine Again"

Anfebious said:
Einsam_Delphin said:
Anfebious said:


Supply man. Sony and Microsoft are going to sell 1 billion consoles this generation. If they have supply for that many consoles I'm sure Nintendo has supply for 1 million a week.



Err... what? No one's selling 1 billion consoles lol. Also, Wii U's problem is lack of demand. All the supply in the world means nothing if no one wants to buy. So basically my question is how are Nintendo gonna garner up enough demand to from selling 82k per week to selling +1m per week? The only card they have left this year is SM3DW, and while it will cause a boost, no way will it be big enough to reach John's prediction.

I should drop out my jokes. No one seems to get them anyway .



That would be a good idea!

impertinence said:

I've said three times that I don't think the predictions he makes will come true. I am just calling some people out for completely failing to discuss the real topic of the thread.

So which specific arguments of his do you think need to be addressed?  You mentioned that he was correct about many things such as Nintendo being the last gamemaker.  However the title of this thread wasn't "Nintendo: The Last Gamemaker", it is "Unity - Nintendo & Wii U Finish the Revolution".  Those ideas are very much focused around his prediction of the Wii U being a sales behemoth.  He begins his OP with his past sales predictions and caps it off with new ones.

Also we are over three months and 1600 posts into this thread.  I haven't really seen Lucas change his rhetoric significantly, so I'm not sure what new discussions can be had about his arguments.  We could have an endless back and forth like zod and final-fan, but you don't seem to want that.  What has changed is we have new sales data which continues to make his predictions less and less likely, and the arguments supporting those predictions less grounded in reality.



impertinence said:
Seece said:
Lucas has decided not to answer anyone's questions about how WiiU is going to start selling 1.5m weekly for the rest of the year, and is now stating this thread is here for the long haul not just 2013. How obvious, already changing the goal posts. Predictable.

You, and a few other people, are missing the point of the thread by chasing down a pretty irrelevant path. The premise in itself is interesting, it's a little annoying to constantly have a few people pop in with the same comparissons of how far off the first prediction is. In fairness, it's not as irritating as the Zod/FinalFan side show, but still pretty irritating. If I was one of the people who love to report users left and right for the smallest of triffles I'd report you for spamming the thread.

It's immaterial if the Wii U sells 12 million by the end of the year or not, that's not the point of the thread. I know you think that by discrediting that prediction, somehow the whole arrgument will be invalid, but of course that assumption is just a fallacy. The predictions themselves are nothing but window dressing anyway. Stop focusing on the hard numbers, start focusing on the argument. The argument of course being if Nintendo will dominate this current generation based on the strength of their gamemaking abilities and if this generation will be the final nail in the coffin for overspending third parties or not.

I don't think John Lucas is right in his prediction of this being the last console war, but he is correct in many of the things he says about Nintendo being the last gamemaker. I admire his optimism, but I think it's more likely that videogames will go the way of the movie and music industry and that true craftmansship will be forced into a niche of the market and shallow, easy to consume, content will rule the majority of the commercial market. Ironically, you see scores of self proclaimed 'gamers' cheering on as the industry is devoured by commercial interests that will destroy the creative elements that makes videogames fun to begin with.


And I suppose that the Wii U hitting about half of John Lucas' number is a sure sign that it will "dominate" the 8th generation? Do you actually believe that?