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Forums - General Discussion - Mafia Round 58: Avatar The Last Airbender

Vetteman94 said:
Yoshiya said:
Vetteman94 said:

Lets face it,  a mislynch right now puts us at MYLO/LYLO situation the next day, depending on how many deaths there is tonight.  Only way out of it is no deaths happen tonight at all.  1 death is MYLO, 2 deaths is LYLO.    And right now we are headed for that situation.  

Why the insistence on a certain number of mafia? Know something town doesn't. Afterall, from a town perspective arriving at a MYLO/LYLO conclusion this early on seems a bit extreme. Think about who has died thus far. We've had one lynch and two night kills, both from the same night. There was no Night 2 kills. We're effectively in a Day 2 position at the moment considering how many have died (although it does seems likely Stefl was supposed to die at the end of Day 2 since he was listed as being killed by poison so let's say we're at Day 2 and a half). Do you really think that Mario would have balanced the game for us to be looking at a potential MYLO situation after just two Nights? Seems a bit unfair if he has don't you think?

Well it will be Day 4 when we would hit that situation, the game would end in Night 4, which is not that abnormal.  Didnt last game end at day 4 itself, pretty sure it did, small games dont last long. So regardless of what it "feels like"with no mafia being lynched by now its not that early.  Its multiple missed opportunities.  Plus we lynched day 1,  which is not the norm so it actually feels like day 3 still.   

So no that situation is not that unfair.

I've never seen a VGC game where we haven't lynched on Day 1. We've had that debate many times and with the exception of a few who refuse to change their mind, the general consensus is that not lynching Day 1 is bad.

Also, you're ignoring the fundamental part of my argument, ie. we may be on Day 3 but we have 2 less deaths than expected at this point (no Day 2 lynch and no Night 2 kill). Just because we are on Day 3, doesn't mean we have the normal amount of deaths. You're effectively saying "Town does well to block kill but it means jack all because they're still going to lose Day 4 if they don't lynch a mafia."



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morenoingrato said:
benao87 said:

@moreno Do you have other suspects?

I don't like the rolefishers. Nacho and Vette, but Nacho is my prime suspect.

I have nothing on Trashleg, Radish or Noctis.

Yoshiya, you and Astro seem clear to me.

so your suspicions only consist on someone who suspect you and a popular wagon?

why aren't you voting me yet?



and voting vettermen for no cop is stupid without knowing all roles.



Yoshiya said:
Vetteman94 said:
Yoshiya said:
Vetteman94 said:

Lets face it,  a mislynch right now puts us at MYLO/LYLO situation the next day, depending on how many deaths there is tonight.  Only way out of it is no deaths happen tonight at all.  1 death is MYLO, 2 deaths is LYLO.    And right now we are headed for that situation.  

Why the insistence on a certain number of mafia? Know something town doesn't. Afterall, from a town perspective arriving at a MYLO/LYLO conclusion this early on seems a bit extreme. Think about who has died thus far. We've had one lynch and two night kills, both from the same night. There was no Night 2 kills. We're effectively in a Day 2 position at the moment considering how many have died (although it does seems likely Stefl was supposed to die at the end of Day 2 since he was listed as being killed by poison so let's say we're at Day 2 and a half). Do you really think that Mario would have balanced the game for us to be looking at a potential MYLO situation after just two Nights? Seems a bit unfair if he has don't you think?

Well it will be Day 4 when we would hit that situation, the game would end in Night 4, which is not that abnormal.  Didnt last game end at day 4 itself, pretty sure it did, small games dont last long. So regardless of what it "feels like"with no mafia being lynched by now its not that early.  Its multiple missed opportunities.  Plus we lynched day 1,  which is not the norm so it actually feels like day 3 still.   

So no that situation is not that unfair.

I've never seen a VGC game where we haven't lynched on Day 1. We've had that debate many times and with the exception of a few who refuse to change their mind, the general consensus is that not lynching Day 1 is bad.

Also, you're ignoring the fundamental part of my argument, ie. we may be on Day 3 but we have 2 less deaths than expected at this point (no Day 2 lynch and no Night 2 kill). Just because we are on Day 3, doesn't mean we have the normal amount of deaths. You're effectively saying "Town does well to block kill but it means jack all because they're still going to lose Day 4 if they don't lynch a mafia."

There was no lynch on day 1 in the  last game.  And in most of the games I played on here day 1 lynches were the exception not the rule.  obviously things may have changed on here since then, since the last game I played before Round 57 was Round 35 or something.   

Only ignoring it because you are assuming day 1 lynches are the norm, which I do not believe they are.  Which means we are actually only 1 death less than expected. 

Actually it would be Night 4 when we would lose, but yes without killing at least one mafia thats what i am saying.   



I still have to decide who to vote, but I'm already decided on this,

Vote: time limit

There are plenty of uncertainties, but we need to get things moving.

@Vette I get your point, but we also need to note that fortunately doctor was useful last night, and that 3rd party didn't make a move last Night (killed a townie). I understand the preassure on us, but we are the topics being discussed right now, won't really get us any more info, unless somebody makes a slip, and at this point of the day, I won't think we will be that lucky. Hopefully tomorrow will have more info, and hopefully we don't lose any important roles at night.



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Vetteman94 said:
Linkzmax said:

Miller strongly implies there is a Cop as Tracker and Watcher are unaffected by a Miller.

Let's try this again shall we. Night 1 Noctis visited me and I visited Nacho. Noctis is confirmed town, to me at least, due to his role, not mine.

A Tracker and a Watcher can still be useful for a Miller as a tracker can see if he goes anywhere,  and if a Watcher saw me show up at a persons house my Miller claim would be BS as I dont visit anyone.  Plus I never said their couldnt be a Cop,  just surprised at what seemed like alot of investigation roles coming up.   

You've played enough games to know that a Tracker is normally accompanied with a Watcher,  for me to make that assumption is not unfounded.  And to add a Cop also to that mix seems excessive regardless if there is a Miller or not, given that this game is only 13 people.   

Fine,  I was assuming Noctis to be town anyway.  

Now you're looking at it backwards. Miller is a counter to Cop as it gives them a false positive. The way you're talking about a Tracker or Watcher is in terms of busting a fakeclaim, which isn't a false positive. And I never said you didn't say there could be a Cop, but for your theory of there being too many invstigative roles it's quite suspect that you didn't assume there to be one, making the count even higher.

I've played enough to know that while it's not unusal to have both a Watcher and Tracker, it's hardly the norm that the existence of one implies the existence of the other. On the other hand, it's practically a gaurantee that a Miller means there is a Cop.



NoCtiS_NoX said:

What makes you think there is a lot of investigatve roles? Because I was confirmed by linkz? With all the information Linkz had I am pretty sure  he already knew what  my power is. It's already a mutual understanding. I'll stop here because I think I already give too much info.

The only question is if he is town.  I am still 50/50 about him.

Ahhh, I was wondering if you could successfully target scum as well. I suppose it would be too powerful if you could also infer alignment from your ability.



benao87 said:
radishhead said:
benao87 said:

Care to elaborate?

As I said, everyone has been doing pretty well at staying low this round, so it's just a feeling. But I don't want to instantly believe any "town" scan this game, because if it's as power-heavy as I think it could be, the Mafia are definitely going to have a few tricks to mess around with us. That's not to say I don't believe that Linkz is an investigative role necessarily - although that could be the case too.

Fair enough.

 

The whole miller/cop thing is interesting, but I'm not liking it. 

Vette has never really doubted the existance of a cop, it was brought up by linkz, and reinforced by yoshiya and noctis. Vette might be just hoping for a roleclaim, and it is backfiring him. Interest in roles is normal, but Vette might be pushing it too hard.

FoS linkz

FoS Vette

 

Oh yeah?

Vetteman94 said:

I was only role fishing for the people who seemed to be claiming they had knowledge on others alignments.  Because it seemed we had an abundance of investigative role for the town.    Thats why, but it has been clarified for me.   I was only questioning the exsistence of the number of investigation roles it seemed we had.   As I said to Linkz,  it is normal for a Tracker to be paired with a Watcher, and there are uses for it against a Miller.  What wouldnt be normal is adding a Cop.  Now its possible a Cop would replace the Watcher,  but its not the norm.  Which is what I am basing my situation on.  Maybe like you said the Watcher part is actually replaced by a JOAT, which includes cop ability as well.

Vette clearly has said that the fact that we have a Tracker means there's likely a Watcher but not a Cop.

 

benao87 said:
Linkzmax said:
Vetteman94 said:

Linkzmax 
Was visited by Noctis, and Linkzmax visited Nachomamma8 on night 1. With everyone having power roles it seems, this is probably quite common.  But was that scenario completely confirmed? Claims Noctis_Nox is town, how he knows this hasnt been explained.  Because Nachomamma8 isnt dead, we could assume that Linkz is town.  Was the purpose of your visit ever explained? No word on what he did night 2 

I visited everyone for the same reason, I thought they could be scum. Unfortunately, outside of a possible flavor hint it's unlikely I'll be able to confirm anyone unless it's later in the round.

What do you mean by "visited everyone"?

It does not mean I have targeted every player. It does mean that each target I visited, I chose because I didn't trust them.



radishhead said:
I think it's important to have an agreement on how many Mafia there could be, so we know what sort of situation we're dealing with here

This is a stupid idea. It's not like coming to an agreement would mean we're correct about it, or that knowing how many there are would magically out the scumteam.



Nachomamma8 said:
and voting vettermen for no cop is stupid without knowing all roles.

Are you paying attention or is this just a strawman defense? That's not why he's getting votes.

I pointed out that in his theory of too many investigative roles it was odd that he wasn't counting a Cop, which if he was a Miller he should be assuming exists.

He's since defended his stance with role meta, saying a Tracker implies a Watcher and that a Cop wouldn't be normal. Once again, it's not normal for there to be a Miller without a Cop. And no a JOAT doesn't really count. A probably 1-shot Cop ability would imply the lack of any false scans.