The following video is from Wednesday's installment of The Motley Fool's Weekly Tech Review, in which analysts Eric Bleeker and Jason Moser look at the biggest stories driving the tech sector this week.
This week, an analyst from Jefferies initiated coverage on Nintendo (NASDAQOTH: NTDOY ) at "buy." The analyst's buy thesis, says Eric, is that the company is going to miss upcoming earnings so badly -- thanks in large part to lagging Wii U sales -- that the company will be forced to change its strategy. Wii U has struggled out the gate as developers haven't flocked to the system -- choosing to develop for Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT ) and Sony's (NYSE: SNE ) consoles first.
The analyst reasons that once Nintendo changes strategy, it'll be able to succeed in other areas such as smartphones and tablets, as well as make better use of its intellectual property. Is this a crazy buy thesis? In the video, Eric and Jason examine Nintendo's prospects.
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/07/14/if-the-wii-u-fails-time-for-massive-changes-at-nin.aspx
Another summary from the Jefferies opinion
"In our view, it is highly unlikely that Nintendo will come even close to its FY3/13 forecast of ¥100b in OP. We believe that this could trigger a meaningful change. In our view, after having been seen as completely opposed to offer its games on mobile-platforms, it is not easy for the management to change its view. However, with its comments about ‚commitment‛ and about ‚responsibility‛, in our view, the management has elegantly set the stage for a change / turnaround. In a low- probability event (we assume 20%) that they can meet this year’s OP of ¥100b, the stock will likely rise and the management will get a bit longer rope. But in all probability (we assign 80%) Nintendo will miss its ‚commitment‛ by a wide margin. That will give the management an elegant way out to change direction / strategy. It will be able to say that it has tried its level best. And that it has no other choice left but to offer games on other platforms. That said, we don’t think that this acknowledgement will come before the year-end."
http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2013/07/08/nintendo-jefferies-starts-at-buy-massive-earnings-miss-will-prompt-change/
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=71101621&postcount=1










