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Forums - Gaming Discussion - In-depth analysis of industry, predictions

Aj_habfan on 02 February 2008
Username2324 said:
I'll tell you what's going to happen, the 360 will come in third, maybe topping 40 million (face it people, it had a full year start on the competition and MS wasted it, it's doomed). I would be surprised if the Wii broke 120 million, I think this generation will be much shorter for the Wii then most expect. 2008-2010 you will be seeing mass adoption of HDTV and HD Media something the Wii cannot do, so I will be surprised if it passes 120. (Here comes 100 people saying HD adoption is slow, WRONG) (Here come's the fanboy name calling) The PS3 however, did extremely well in its first year if you consider it had to go up against the Wii's momentum, and the 360's year ahead, as well as a high price point. Sony is making great strides to lower the cost of the PS3, and I can gaurantee another price cut before the year is out. Anyways the PS3 has the most technology in it to ensure a longer lifetime. The Cell still has great potential, and the Blu-ray drive will give it the longest lifetime. The PS3 has the most features to offer, and therefore it will be the raining king at the end of the generation, and will most likely live an end life similar to the PS2 (it will keep selling well after the next-gen consoles release).

1st. PS3, longest lifetime, most to offer.
2nd. Wii, affordable, a little exciting, but it will be shortlived (Nintendo should have tried to break the HD-barrier)
3rd. 360 MS screwed up big with rushing it to the market, with no innovation (Microsofts style).

Do you honestly believe what you just wrote?



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Username2324 on 02 February 2008

It's logical.



Avinash_Tyagi on 02 February 2008
Username2324 said:
It's logical.

 No it's not, historically it has no basis whatsoever



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Username2324 on 02 February 2008

I tell you what, to all that have no faith in my predictions, save my post, and read it again in 5 years. You'll see.



Doktor85 on 02 February 2008

January 1st, 2009 PS3 will be 20mln behind compared to Wii in your theory (sig)
Nintendo makes 1,8mln a month. 21,6 a year.



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Desroko on 02 February 2008

Anyone want to tell Username the last technological leader which became a market leader?



DSLover on 02 February 2008

That it be.



 

 

BengaBenga on 02 February 2008

One thing about WiiHD:

Nintendo always was top of the bill, technically.
SNES>Mega Drive
N64>>>>>PS1
Gamecube>>PS2 and in some ways beat the Xbox

Wii is a way to break out of the competition, which was necessary since Nintendo lost it a bit last gen, but I'm quite sure that Nintendo wants to have the best console, so that means also in horsepower. Especially with the enormous amount of money they're making they can develop a brilliant machine when the mass market is ready for HD.



Imthelegend on 02 February 2008

When are people logical.

Ps2 was the least powerful console last gen and by using your logic it should of come last. Using your logic the xbox should of won last gen.



 


 

Username2324 on 02 February 2008

Last gen was completely different from this gen, last gen the only real difference between consoles was the games, this gen its games and features.