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Forums - Sales Discussion - COMG! Japan Pre-order Chart Thread - Daily updates!

tbone51 said:
outlawauron said:
What are some expectations for FFX HD? I'm thinking that a 200k combined FW is likely.


Helllll Nooooo! More like 300k FW!

170k PS3

130k Vita (100k retail)!

 

LoZ should do 130k-150k. Both titles will have huge legs!

I was thinking more along the lines of 120k for PS3 and 80k for Vita (all versions combined).



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

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outlawauron said:
What are some expectations for FFX HD? I'm thinking that a 200k combined FW is likely.


You mean for both PS3 and PSV added together? Sounds low to me, KH 1.5 FW'd at 130k and I expect FFX to be more popular, earlier in the thread I did some comparisons and if FFX PS3 converts its points into FW sales at the same ratio as KH, it'll sell 170k and that's bearing in mind that we're in a very slow period for pre-orders where people are more likely just to go out and buy rather than reserve their copies. I'd still say 170k though just because I've been too optimistic lately

I know in that post I said 220k perhaps, but in retrospect that was too high I think

PSV? I have no bloody idea, it's all messed up with the different SKUs, but I think it'll do alright regardless

Also, some Zelda comparisons

[3DS] The Legend of Zelda: A Link Between Worlds - 86pts (assuming it matches SS pts ratio you get 86*960 = 82,560)

[Wii] The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword - 207pts - 198,719 / 364,853 = 1pt=960

[NDS] The Legend of Zelda: Spirit Tracks - 306,830 / 740,995

[NDS] The Legend of Zelda: Phantom Hourglass - 304,610 / 951,461

I don't think anyone would agree with the 82.5k number, I expect it will be in the region of 200-300k, probably about 260k (going by gut feelings, personally I don't think these previous Zelda numbers are that useful for working out how ALBW might do). Who knows though? I certainly don't



Kongfucius said:
outlawauron said:
What are some expectations for FFX HD? I'm thinking that a 200k combined FW is likely.


You mean for both PS3 and PSV added together? Sounds low to me, KH 1.5 FW'd at 130k and I expect FFX to be more popular, earlier in the thread I did some comparisons and if FFX PS3 converts its points into FW sales at the same ratio as KH, it'll sell 170k and that's bearing in mind that we're in a very slow period for pre-orders where people are more likely just to go out and buy rather than reserve their copies. I'd still say 170k though just because I've been too optimistic lately

I know in that post I said 220k perhaps, but in retrospect that was too high I think

PSV? I have no bloody idea, it's all messed up with the different SKUs, but I think it'll do alright regardless

FFXHD will be more popular than Remix, but that's why I said 200k. I think the Vita version will eat into some of the PS3 version possible sales.



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.

In my opinion the PS3 version should do at least 150k.



outlawauron said:
Kongfucius said:
outlawauron said:
What are some expectations for FFX HD? I'm thinking that a 200k combined FW is likely.


You mean for both PS3 and PSV added together? Sounds low to me, KH 1.5 FW'd at 130k and I expect FFX to be more popular, earlier in the thread I did some comparisons and if FFX PS3 converts its points into FW sales at the same ratio as KH, it'll sell 170k and that's bearing in mind that we're in a very slow period for pre-orders where people are more likely just to go out and buy rather than reserve their copies. I'd still say 170k though just because I've been too optimistic lately

I know in that post I said 220k perhaps, but in retrospect that was too high I think

PSV? I have no bloody idea, it's all messed up with the different SKUs, but I think it'll do alright regardless

FFXHD will be more popular than Remix, but that's why I said 200k. I think the Vita version will eat into some of the PS3 version possible sales.


We'll see, I can see where you are coming from because I expect the collected sales of the PSV games to be in 6 figures, it's Vita's big Japanese holiday title, has a hardware bundle. Also it's the first time a recent mainline FF has appeared on handhelds and X is one of the most popular entries in the series' history.

However, given how popular FF is and how committed parts of the fanbase are, I think there'll be plenty of double-dippers which will balance this out, plus PS3 has a big established PS3 fanbase, whereas PSV does not

Even if I am overstimating it, I still expect a respectable performance for both versions



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outlawauron said:
What are some expectations for FFX HD? I'm thinking that a 200k combined FW is likely.


I guessed around 180k combined FW in another thread, but I think I undershot it a bit because I forgot that the Vita version is split across 3 SKU's rather than 1.

My 180k was based around ~ 70k for Vita and ~ 110k for PS3, but now I'm thinking more along the lines of ~80k Vita and ~120k PS3 like you said in your other post.



About FFX/X-2 sales:

140k for PS3 and 100k for Vita.. remember vita games are sold apart too.. plus a console bundle limited edition.



 

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for me will be 220k combined. 140k for PS3



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I'll go with 180k ps3 and 150k for vita (SKUs combined) I know i'm being kind of optimist but i even hope for better, the game is ranking crazy on Amazon for a vita game on release date. #2 after SAO currently.



Goooooooooooo Kirby! I cant wait for this awesome game