It will be a very good year for Software in Japan.

Last year had Sun and Moon, which were the hottest selling games over there since Monster Hunter 4. But Final Fantasy and Yokai Watch underperformed, sadly.

This year they're getting a new main series multiplatform Dragon Quest, Pokemon Ultra Sun and Moon, Splatoon, and the release of the Switch really sparked some sales for Zelda and Mario Kart (both will probably crawl into the million mark, good!).

Add other well selling games such as Nier, and other big games that could make an impact such as Mario Odyssey, Monster Hunter XX, and Gundam Wing... And we'll probably see an improvement over last year.

I could definitely see the year end chart falling into place like this:

1. Dragon Quest XI
2. Pokemon Ultra Sun and Moon
3. Splatoon 2/Monster Hunter XX
4. Monster Hunter XX/Splatoon 2
5. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe

Edit: Monster Hunter XX was released this year. For some strange reason I thought it had been released last year.

Pokemon>Splatoon>DQXI

Splatoon>pokemon>DQXI  

 Crash looks so kawaii, dem animu eyes lol

Maybe, considering the 3DS is nearing the end of its life and US/UM are afaik just "expansions" on S/M, and Splatoon having a lot more time to sell than Pokemon.

yeah unless you dudes actually think pokemon ultra sun and moon has any chance of selling 3.5-4 million like Dragon Quest XI will, i would suggest reevaluating your predictions lol

Edit: oh and now that i think about it you better hope the switch moves 4.5 million units in japan in 2017 otherwise splatoon 2 has no chance either

Based on what we're seeing here at COMG, DQXI is definitely not guaranteed to do 3.5-4 million in 2017.

Seems like its gonna have a pretty damn strong opening according to japanese retailer info provided by hiska hun i think, if not then maybe that user horuhe on neogaf, and Dragon Quest XI PS4 and 3DS have remained at the #1 and #2 position on amazon japan ever since pre orders opened so in my opinion i can't see any scenario in which the PS4 sku nor the 3DS sku don't individually sell 1 million copies first week for a total of 2 million combined for Dragon Quest XI in its first week, and considering PS4 games actually seem to be capable of having some legs now that the PS4 sells a good amount every week in japan and the total install base is nearly at 5 million, with some examples of good legs being Nier Automata, Final Fantasy XV, GTA V and Rainbow Six Siege. Also its easily the most popular game that will be released on the PS4 from July until the end of the year and the largest game to be released on 3DS from July to Pokemon Sun and Moon in November. Not to mention i believe the PS4 will recieve a price cut in Japan this year which will of course continue Dragon Quest XI's legs on PS4 and 3DS has sold enough to guarantee good legs for Dragon Quest XI. All i typed are my reasons for believing the game will sell 3.5 to 4 million copies in 2017. But my predictions are no better than yours so i could be very wrong

So first FF and now DQ? Square Enix's franchises have fallen off a cliff.

Also Layton. Damn I remember the days it used to do a million in Japan!

My point was, I don't need to expect that Pokemon and Splatoon sell between 3.5 million to outsell DQXI, because I don't think DQXI will sell as much as 3.5 million.