That's not the case though. People have to preorder one of two options, not just any game. The two options are the most popular ofc. But anyone who preordered DQ Heroes, has also had to preorder Zelda or 1,2 Switch.

Edit: to be clear, I'm not completely agreeing with Kerotan. Just that I wouldn't expect an amazing ratio at COMG.

In case it gets brought up, preorder expectations =/= personal predictions.

Who's the one user?  

Personally looking forward to seeing sales in the coming years rather then launch which won't tell us much overall.  See the Wii U as case in point. 

You should compare it to the 3DS or Vita. Since you think its a handheld. 

Nioh is selling better than expected, some of us said it a few times already. The 35k prediction (from YSO) was based on pre-orders and pre-launch hype. Since word of mouth and sales rised up after launch this prediction will be missed by far. YSO already predicted 25k for second week, they adjusted up the numbers.

Comg has the game almost sold out, according to their Twitter. Next shipment will arrive tomorrow 14th.

【入荷情報】PS4「#仁王」ですが、明日14日に各店に入荷予定です！ 現在ほぼ完売となっておりますので、入荷分のご予約をおすすめします！

https://www.twitter.com/COMG_GAME/status/830977943497109504

Oh don't worry I will.  I was just using the Wii U to point out a console can have a fantastic launch but it doesn't guarantee a successful gen.  

I'll be comparing it to the 3DS, so to keep the same level of success gen over gen I feel the Switch needs to sell 70m+ which the 3DS looks set to do. Tough ask in today's current handheld market. 

Possibly a bit OT, but wanted to ask to horuhe and hiska-kun: since boxes for USFII have started appearing in retail stores, and given how they seem to look final (at least the back), doesn't that mean that the game is releasing soon enough (like, April)?

70mil...... the handheld market is dying. Look at the difference between the DS to the 3DS, and the PSP to the Vita......... Is there something about the Switch that you see that can bring this downwards to an upwards? 

The seventh gen was the very definition of anomolous.  We had 3 highly successful machines in the home console space, which has never happened, a non Nintendo handheld doing very well, which has never happened, and most importantly a growth gen on gen of a wopping ~180% from the GBA to the DS/PSP.  Imho, expecting subsequent gens to match thaf is ludicrous and I think in hind sight it is extremely obvious what happened:  A very large group of people not actually interested in dedicated gaming devices but rather in simple gaming experiences on the go bought in.  Now, however, that audience has moved to phones because, again, they were not looking for the substantial gaming options a dedicated handheld brings.  That was just their only or best option for a time.  The dedicated handheld consumers interested in just that: a dedicated handheld device, are still mostly here.  The 3DS is looking to land at 70million and the Vita at 16 million.  Thats 86 million.  Not an unhealthy number compared to the GBA and GB/GBC lines, especially when you consider how badly the early days of both were handled and how Sony just abandoned the Vita to die like less than 2 years in.  The decline from this point will likely be slow because the thing that kept it alive and mostly well this gen is still true: mobile devices thoroughly suck for serious gaming for numerous reasons.

It will be interesting though to see how the Switch swings this.  The Switch is, afterall, not a pure handheld.  In fact, if I were to make a console-to-handheld sliding scale, I would put it more to the console side due to numerous design decisions, decisions that negatively impact its viability as a handheld in practical terms.  We'll just have to see if practical terms=market terms.

Do I think Switch will continue the decline?  Yes I do.

Do I think it has no chance?  No I don't.  

One thing it has going is a unified library.  So it could potentially get a lot more games then the 3DS.  Potentially. 

Just remember,  people claimed the home console market was dead pre ps4/xb1 launch mainly because the Wii U bombed.  They claimed the pc was taking over.  

4 years later and the ps4 is the fastest selling Playstation console ever.  Sony pulled it off so I'm not counting Nintendo out.  Sony had and 85m target to beat last gen and now the Switch has a 70m target.  Will it do it?  See you in 5/6 years!