Minimum 250k. I thinkabout 320k-350k is safe. Would be amazing if it got to about 450k though, which idoubt

Comg Launch Point Comparison

[3DS] Etrian Odyssey 4 - 146pt [ 97,142 ]
[3DS] Etrian Odyssey 1 Remake - 148pt [ 92,566 ]
[3DS] Etrian Odyssey 2 Remake - 148pt [ ??? ]

[PSV] God Eater 2 - 696pt [ 258,826 ]
[PSV] Freedom Wars - 440pt [ 187,890 ]
[PSV] Toukiden - 343pt [ 127,744 ]
[PSV] Phantasy Star Nova - 334pt [ ??? ]

[PSV] Phatasy Star Online 2 - 107pt (Pre Orders) [56k] 

Smash Bros. Wii U opening 300K-400K, likely less than the US opening, maybe a bit higher than Mario Kart, but lesser legs.

Opening less than Mario kart would be a pretty big disappointment.

Not really^ Its a WiiU game, just look at other game launches. Besides most sales will come from legs. (SM3DW opened up with 99k for example).

If it does 320k FW, then i think we'll have a 800k-900k lifetime (if not bundled)

Edit: SM3DW did 100k and its currently at around 585k-590k excluding digital (though that doesn't matter). SSBU having legs will definitely paint a better picture. I dont think 300k-350k is a disapointment, well at least to WiiU standards :0

It would bother me. Launching Smash Bros. close to the holidays and with a bigger userbase, yet selling less than MK during summer... That's a bit bad IMO.

I am a mario kart fanboy but anyway gooooo gooooo smashhhhhhh!

That's why you shouldn't bother. After first week, the 4 biggest weeks of the year follow.

[Vita] Phantasy Star Online 2 Special Package - 160pt [55,879]

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=98078&page=1087

with this data is pointing to the 133k FW the analyst said.

I guess people aren't phased by Newkai's exemplary performance anymore.