90 or 100 million for that matter will only be reached if the market doesn't reach a point of saturation. Don't get me wrong, the DS has a very good chance of making those numbers, but just assuming it will once again sell just as much as last year is a bit presumptuous.

If Nintendo continues to have the same succes with it's casual titles like Brain training and can please the "hardcore" crowd with more games of a quality of Zelda, they have a good change of reaching identical sales or more to last years. The there are still unknown factors that can twist the faith of the ds, a factory burns down, some little kid swallows and chokes on that pen in America and some presidential candidate warns people about it. So many potential factors....

Just flat out assuming something in a fast changing market like the videogame industry opens up the path to a large margin of error.

I want to say no it won't hit that. Honestly it seems just way too high a number for it to ever hit. The DS has a way of surpassing reasonable expectations though. I am going to guess it will top out around 96-98ish million. I can't think of why it would slow down just yet.

I guess the DS won't have a bigger year then 07 this time... 08 will be around 07 in terms of sales (or slightly below it)

So im guessing it to get @ 88-92 million by the end of 08.

And 09 will be a slower year for DS (but still high)...

Then it will end slightly above the 100mil (103-107mil) mark...

And then climb to around PS2 numbers somewhere in 2010-2011. It will just pass the PS2 in terms of Hardware-sales. Making it the fastest- and bestselling game console/handheld of all-time! 

86 million +

No more than 92 million.

Quickie answer is "No". My reasoning:

1. Nintendo won't make enough units to hit 100M. They've been producing around 24M per year and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future.

2. Some of the 65M are old systems that were replaced with DS Lites. There will be no redesign this year to drive people to replace their old units or DS Lites.

3. Sales have been slowing down a bit in Japan and will continue to do so. While much of that slack may be picked up by the US and Europe, sales for the DS will probably be a bit lower than 2007.

What are you guys talking about? The DS has not been slowing down at all... http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=DS&reg1=Japan&cons2=DS&reg2=America&cons3=DS&reg3=All&weeks=178&weekly=1

Or look at it this way... DS had a big difference between launhes, but let us start at Japan release date, because then more than half of the gaming world was in.

First half year:

Total 4,906,678

Second half year:

Total 4,623,475

Third half year:

Total 12,113,939

Fourth half year:

Total 9,289,128

fifth half year:

Total 16,656,488

Sixth half year:

Total 12,483,330

That is NOT going much down lately, rather the opposite.

Those numbers give the intention that last year it dropped, but they didn't

http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=DS&reg1=All&cons2=DS&reg2=All&cons3=DS&reg3=All&start=39103&end=39467

They did have a small drop in Japan though, USA is steady and Total Other increasing.

http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=DS&reg1=All&cons2=DS&reg2=All&cons3=DS&reg3=All&start=39103&end=39467

Easily.

Like I told you in PM DS is expanding into new territories this year and we see how fast it's being taken up in places like South Korea. http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=13899

100,000,000 by end of 2008 is a safe bet.

Dragon Quest IX hasn't been released yet remember?

It is most definitely going to happen outside an Act of God.

John Lucas

I think it all really depends on how much Nintendo increases production.

I predict around 90 million, with 95 million being the max. 33 million units in one year is too much to ask. It will definitely be at 100 million units at some point in 2009 though.