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Forums - Sony Discussion - How well will FFXIII do in Japan?

FinalEvangelion on 25 January 2008
Mummelmann said:
ClaudeLv250 said:
Why do people keep claiming that it'sgoing to perform as well as FFXII with a fraction of the install base?

The PS barely had 8.5 million users when FFVII launched, yet that game did nearly 10 million LT sales and topped 2 million first week in Japan alone. FFXII is noted with just a little over half of FFVII's sales.

FFXIII is the series debut on a new platform, much like FFVII and is easily the most anticipated title for the PS3. Even new franchises on the PS3 with a little over 9 million users have 2-3 million sales some of them, so to assume that the most anticipated title will sell this well makes sense to most people.

And besides; a commonly used argument in here is that everyone who wants MGS, FF or GT allready own a PS3, so there's 9.44 million potential buyers... j/k

But still; you don't want anything good to happen to Sony, do you? Be a bit more subtle, it's getting old.


 Yep, FF7 and FF10 launched each with 5.2 million PS1s and PS2s in Japan.  PS3 base will be bigger by the time FF13 launches (still ways away)



"Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, IT IS THE LEADERS of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is TELL THEM THEY ARE BEING ATTACKED, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. IT WORKS THE SAME IN ANY COUNTRY."  --Hermann Goering, leading Nazi party member, at the Nuremberg War Crime Trials 

 

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Sullla on 25 January 2008

I think it really depends on the size of the install base when the game releases. Some comparisons:

FF7 sold 2.03m copies week 1 on an install base of 5.2m (LTD sales 3.93m)
FF8 sold 2.52m copies week 1 on an install base of 14.2m (LTD sales 3.64m)
FF9 sold 2.03m copies week 1 on an install base of 16.7m (LTD sales 2.80m)

FF10 sold 1.91m copies week 1 on an install base of 5.2m (LTD sales 3.02m)
FF12 sold 1.82m copies week 1 on an install base of 20.4m (LTD sales 2.42m)

One thing that jumps out is how ridiculously frontloaded all of these games were in sales. Everyone one did more than 50% of total sales in the first week (FF9 and FF12 both did almost 75% of total sales week 1!) Clearly, there is a dedicated audience of fans that buy these games instantly.

Secondly, both FF7 and FF10 had high attach rates, approaching 40% of the total system owners at the time of sale. This bodes well for the chances of Final Fantasy 13. Nevertheless, in all cases the Final Fantasy platform had over 5m consoles sold at time of launch, and both the Playstation and PS2 had already established clear market dominance at the time of release. How well Final Fantasy 13 does will be dictated in many ways by the overall success of the PS3.

Since we still don't know when this game is coming out, I can't possibly make any kind of sales prediction. If PS3 sales are below 5m when the game releases, however, it will be extraordinarily difficult to replicate the past success of the franchise simply for install base reasons.



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End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)

Words Of Wisdom on 26 January 2008

To me, most of Squeenix's most recent Final Fantasy offerings have been disappointing, however with any luck they may just be able to redeem themselves with these titles.