but FE is over 100k in digital, its kind of simple mathematics, just saying bro

Thank goodness you were just kidding, 250k was ridiculous.

But I agree. Until we have a clarification on how much these games actual sold over download (or any games for that matter) it's going to be quite hard to compare one to the other.

I don't think it's pointless to consider the digital sales of Fire Emblem specifically due to the large number of people having to download it because of physical copy restraints.  However, it is really hard to determine how many sales Fire Emblem has including digital because there's no real algorithm to determine how many copies are sold based off of reviews.  That is especially true when you can place a review down with a physical copy as well, and we don't have the hard numbers of any of the other titles on the eShop (digital sales).

TB Fair, FE imo is over 100k in Digital in the US(which is good cuz the others [Canada/etc] arent included). Excite Bike has 23k reviews which is only a downloaded title and only can be review if you bought it. This means the lowest possibility is 23k for FE since its ahead (currently at #11). Now how many people actually do that review? 10%?5%?20%? Whatever it is its not a quarter so multiply that x4 to 23k which is 92k. And thats if exactly 25% of people did a review on Excite bike! See wat i mean!!! Over 100k easy for FE!

@ bold, really?  If that's true, I feel that really throws a spanner in the works for working out any kind of digital sales.  

I can see where tbone is coming from with his figure.  I've tried similar stuff trying to work out Vita digital sales, by working out things like if it has x reviews on PSN and y% of people review the game, then it must've sold z.  But, that's all been based on the fact that you can only review a game on PSN if you've bought it digitally, and it's making a big assumption about how many people actually review digital copies.

I don't want to take anything away from Fire Emblem.  The first week sales are absolutely great, especially considering it's a niche series; physical copies were supply constrained etc.  And I'm sure it's true that it has sold very well digitally as well.  But it's enough to leave it at that, rather than trying to second-guess the digital sales at this point by making sweeping assumptions based on tenuous figures.  So I agree with you!

For future prediction threads, using physical sales would be better imo.  Even though I'm aware VGChartz figures can be off by quite a lot at times, at least we have a solid number of FW sales to compare to the predictions.  Once you throw in digital sales, it just confuses matters since there's no concrete figure there - it should be at least x but could be up to y - making things so much more difficult.