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Forums - Nintendo - Pikmin 3, Will it Succeed or Bomb?

 

How much will this game sell lifetime?

Under 800k 9 4.57%
 
800k+ 10 5.08%
 
1Mil+ 28 14.21%
 
1.25Mil+ 15 7.61%
 
1.5Mil+ 28 14.21%
 
1.75Mil+ 10 5.08%
 
2Mil+ 40 20.30%
 
2.5Mil+ 18 9.14%
 
3Mil+ 39 19.80%
 
Total:197

I suspect with this being the first big Nintendo game coming out for the system (after the 2 launch games of course) it could very well do better than its predecessors. I am a long term Nintendo fan but have never taken the time to purchase and/or play a Pikmin game - but plan to pick this one up launch week if not launch day, because of two things 1) Videos and screens I've seen of the graphics and art style (just beautiful) and 2) The mini-game in Nintendo land, if the big game is anything like that I'm sold.

I voted for 1.75+ just as a conservative prediction, that would mean a little more than the original but 2-3 Million or more would not surprise me, especially if it has some good legs like a lot of Nintendo games can.



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Jay520 said:



I'll take that bet. If you lose, your Sig has to say "My Little Pony wasn't worth making."

That's a good one Jay.

@Soleron Why do you despise Pikmin so much?



Soleron said:
Jay520 said:
Wait a minute, we need some concrete terms so we don't have to wait forever for it to sell 1 million.

What do you think? If it sells 6-700k in one year, it'll probably reach one million eventually. If it only does 200k, then it probably won't. What should the cutoff point be?

I'd hope we could agree on it honourably when the time comes, which would be fairer than an arbitrary cutoff. I will concede when the steady-state trend plus current sales looks like it would pass the target.



Fine by me. But it's fair I warn you first: I've never been known for my honor. Continue at your own risk.

spurgeonryan said:
If under 3 million is a bomb, then yes.

Are you being serious because I doubt it could make that. That's too high for a Pikmin title.



It'll do fine, better than the previous versions but nothing massive.

2mil I say.



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

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Maybe 2.5 million.



spurgeonryan said:
NintendoPie said:
spurgeonryan said:
If under 3 million is a bomb, then yes.

Are you being serious because I doubt it could make that. That's too high for a Pikmin title.



I have never made a sales joke in my life.

 

People will be clamoring for something big by then. It will do well globally. These are different times than when GC was in third place. Different system as well.

People will be clamoring for a new title but I doubt that many will find solace in Pikmin. It's not that big of a game.



Jay520 said:

I'll take that bet. If you lose, your Sig has to say "My Little Pony wasn't worth making."

That's not fair.

Considering your post history, I highly doubt you are a Pikmin fan, so losing the bet wouldn't be as hard on you as it is on him.



Because it is one of the only hyped Nintendo franchises at the moment, I'll say about 2.25 million at max.



2m+



    R.I.P Mr Iwata :'(