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Forums - Politics - What is worse? 20% across the board income tax cut or cutting medicare by 716 billion?

MDMAlliance said:
richardhutnik said:
MDMAlliance said:
Politics on the internet seem to always end the same. Almost no one is a qualified politician here, but we act like we are. We give sources, but only sources from one side. I'm starting to wonder the usefulness of debating politics here.

It is like a SuperNews clip on Twitter.  You want to believe the world receives your views and is enlightened by them, but you really don't care what other opinions people have.  For myself, I do want a range of opinions, and articles to go with it, so I can improve where I stand.

I am very likely, after this election, to step out even further from political office chat and maybe discuss things of greater practical value.


Sometimes their sources are complete BS.  Sometimes they misinterpret their own sources.  For real, a lot of people anywhere seem to not know what they really believe.  My parents are that way, and a large percentage of posts I see online involving politics are that way.  When evidence is provided that proves a point on the opposing side has validity, it is shot down vehemently.  They start acting as if they have all the qualifications to say that your evidence doesn't count.


To be fair... most people with basic statistical training should be able to shoot down 90% of the proof either side brings to an arguement.

It doesn't take a genius to spot obvious methodology errors.



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Kasz216 said:
MDMAlliance said:
richardhutnik said:
MDMAlliance said:
Politics on the internet seem to always end the same. Almost no one is a qualified politician here, but we act like we are. We give sources, but only sources from one side. I'm starting to wonder the usefulness of debating politics here.

It is like a SuperNews clip on Twitter.  You want to believe the world receives your views and is enlightened by them, but you really don't care what other opinions people have.  For myself, I do want a range of opinions, and articles to go with it, so I can improve where I stand.

I am very likely, after this election, to step out even further from political office chat and maybe discuss things of greater practical value.


Sometimes their sources are complete BS.  Sometimes they misinterpret their own sources.  For real, a lot of people anywhere seem to not know what they really believe.  My parents are that way, and a large percentage of posts I see online involving politics are that way.  When evidence is provided that proves a point on the opposing side has validity, it is shot down vehemently.  They start acting as if they have all the qualifications to say that your evidence doesn't count.


To be fair... most people with basic statistical training should be able to shoot down 90% of the proof either side brings to an arguement.

It doesn't take a genius to spot obvious methodology errors.


I'm talking about evidence like USA is a top oil producer and Russia is the top oil producer, and OPEC's main contributer is Saudi Arabia.  This ACTUALLY happened, where someone thought I was making this up.



Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:
Kasz216 said:

I'm less worried about borrowing from China then I am borrowing from ourselves.

Intergovernmental debt is a bigger deal and generally ignored. (Hence why Clinton was able to "balance" the deficit, yet still raise the hell out of the deficit.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/its_still_an_empty_lockbox/2011/03/17/ABPpoym_story.html?nav=emailpage

is a good article on it.


Essentially, the US will likely get it's act together on what it owes other people... but likely screw over those who invest in social security, medicare etc.   It's own people.

Hence why private social security is actually a GOOD idea. 

Because I know if i put my money somwhere privately, that the US government can't steal it to spend it on defense or other welfare programs or whatever...

and in this case it really is stealing since they are spending money that is supposed to be used for social security on other things, replacing them with IOUs.

Unless you end up having people put money besides Wall Street, privatization of Social Security becomes a bailout program for Wall Street.  If Wall Street again goes bat loco and hedges like idiots and takes down everyone's pensions and retirement savings as a result, there will end up being a mass cryout by the public to save Wall Street. 


Fair enough... but if there is.. the end result is that we are exactly where we are anyway.   People could always just have the government bail THEM out instead of Wallstreet and give them the benefits they would of got under Social Security.

While the best result is... this is not a problem anymore.

 

Alternativly we could be like every single other country in the world and privtise social security (and medicare funding etc) and put it in the hands of investors.

 

Which is actually the method I prefer most... however nobody is suggesting such a thing.   Nobody has since Al Gore... who kinda suggested it maybe?  I think he just wanted to dump actual cash into a reserve though, which didn't make sense to me.

Err ?

You obvisouly don't know much about how Western Europe  ( France for example) or Japan system works......



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

Ail said:
Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:
Kasz216 said:

I'm less worried about borrowing from China then I am borrowing from ourselves.

Intergovernmental debt is a bigger deal and generally ignored. (Hence why Clinton was able to "balance" the deficit, yet still raise the hell out of the deficit.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/its_still_an_empty_lockbox/2011/03/17/ABPpoym_story.html?nav=emailpage

is a good article on it.


Essentially, the US will likely get it's act together on what it owes other people... but likely screw over those who invest in social security, medicare etc.   It's own people.

Hence why private social security is actually a GOOD idea. 

Because I know if i put my money somwhere privately, that the US government can't steal it to spend it on defense or other welfare programs or whatever...

and in this case it really is stealing since they are spending money that is supposed to be used for social security on other things, replacing them with IOUs.

Unless you end up having people put money besides Wall Street, privatization of Social Security becomes a bailout program for Wall Street.  If Wall Street again goes bat loco and hedges like idiots and takes down everyone's pensions and retirement savings as a result, there will end up being a mass cryout by the public to save Wall Street. 


Fair enough... but if there is.. the end result is that we are exactly where we are anyway.   People could always just have the government bail THEM out instead of Wallstreet and give them the benefits they would of got under Social Security.

While the best result is... this is not a problem anymore.

 

Alternativly we could be like every single other country in the world and privtise social security (and medicare funding etc) and put it in the hands of investors.

 

Which is actually the method I prefer most... however nobody is suggesting such a thing.   Nobody has since Al Gore... who kinda suggested it maybe?  I think he just wanted to dump actual cash into a reserve though, which didn't make sense to me.

Err ?

You obvisouly don't know much about how Western Europe  ( France for example) or Japan system works......


That's exactly how Japan and France works.

http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T120811003538.htm

"The nation's kosei nenkin public pension program for corporate employees logged a surplus of 2.91 trillion yen in the balance of payments for fiscal 2011, the Health, Labor and Welfare Ministry said Friday.

The market value-based balance swung into the black from the previous year's red thanks to investment gains on a stock market recovery from the slump in the aftermath of the March 2011 disaster, ministry officials said."

 

France's Pension Reserve Fund works the exact same way.  Most countries take their surplus pension funds and invest them in the stock market and in bonds and hire successful investors to run their pension funds for them.

 

 

If you wanta  big source.

http://www.oecd.org/insurance/privatepensions/40194872.pdf



Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:
Kasz216 said:

I'm less worried about borrowing from China then I am borrowing from ourselves.

Intergovernmental debt is a bigger deal and generally ignored. (Hence why Clinton was able to "balance" the deficit, yet still raise the hell out of the deficit.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/its_still_an_empty_lockbox/2011/03/17/ABPpoym_story.html?nav=emailpage

is a good article on it.


Essentially, the US will likely get it's act together on what it owes other people... but likely screw over those who invest in social security, medicare etc.   It's own people.

Hence why private social security is actually a GOOD idea. 

Because I know if i put my money somwhere privately, that the US government can't steal it to spend it on defense or other welfare programs or whatever...

and in this case it really is stealing since they are spending money that is supposed to be used for social security on other things, replacing them with IOUs.

Unless you end up having people put money besides Wall Street, privatization of Social Security becomes a bailout program for Wall Street.  If Wall Street again goes bat loco and hedges like idiots and takes down everyone's pensions and retirement savings as a result, there will end up being a mass cryout by the public to save Wall Street. 


Fair enough... but if there is.. the end result is that we are exactly where we are anyway.   People could always just have the government bail THEM out instead of Wallstreet and give them the benefits they would of got under Social Security.

While the best result is... this is not a problem anymore.

Alternativly we could be like every single other country in the world and privtise social security (and medicare funding etc) and put it in the hands of investors.

Which is actually the method I prefer most... however nobody is suggesting such a thing.   Nobody has since Al Gore... who kinda suggested it maybe?  I think he just wanted to dump actual cash into a reserve though, which didn't make sense to me.

After the financial meltdown, look at who gets bailed out.  If the government bailed out people, they would of gone directly to people and got their mortgages stabilized.  But they didn't.  The Fed and U.S government decide to "stabilize" banks and give them bailout money and no interest loans, to make sure Wall Street was saved.  And then you have Santelli go on CNBC and rant against subsidizing "losers" when the idea of bailing out the people with the loans, and that rant became a rallying cry that birthed the GOP-cored Tea Party (contrast with Ron Paul tea partyers afterwards).  Tea Party principle is you have the losers die off, in order to provide a feedback to markets so bad things don't happen. 

http://www.theonion.com/video/paul-ryan-spending-final-day-of-campaign-reminding,30256

See the Santelli rant (don't subsidize the losers):



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richardhutnik said:
Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:
Kasz216 said:

I'm less worried about borrowing from China then I am borrowing from ourselves.

Intergovernmental debt is a bigger deal and generally ignored. (Hence why Clinton was able to "balance" the deficit, yet still raise the hell out of the deficit.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/its_still_an_empty_lockbox/2011/03/17/ABPpoym_story.html?nav=emailpage

is a good article on it.


Essentially, the US will likely get it's act together on what it owes other people... but likely screw over those who invest in social security, medicare etc.   It's own people.

Hence why private social security is actually a GOOD idea. 

Because I know if i put my money somwhere privately, that the US government can't steal it to spend it on defense or other welfare programs or whatever...

and in this case it really is stealing since they are spending money that is supposed to be used for social security on other things, replacing them with IOUs.

Unless you end up having people put money besides Wall Street, privatization of Social Security becomes a bailout program for Wall Street.  If Wall Street again goes bat loco and hedges like idiots and takes down everyone's pensions and retirement savings as a result, there will end up being a mass cryout by the public to save Wall Street. 


Fair enough... but if there is.. the end result is that we are exactly where we are anyway.   People could always just have the government bail THEM out instead of Wallstreet and give them the benefits they would of got under Social Security.

While the best result is... this is not a problem anymore.

Alternativly we could be like every single other country in the world and privtise social security (and medicare funding etc) and put it in the hands of investors.

Which is actually the method I prefer most... however nobody is suggesting such a thing.   Nobody has since Al Gore... who kinda suggested it maybe?  I think he just wanted to dump actual cash into a reserve though, which didn't make sense to me.

After the financial meltdown, look at who gets bailed out.  If the government bailed out people, they would of gone directly to people and got their mortgages stabilized.  But they didn't.  The Fed and U.S government decide to "stabilize" banks and give them bailout money and no interest loans, to make sure Wall Street was saved.  And then you have Santelli go on CNBC and rant against subsidizing "losers" when the idea of bailing out the people with the loans, and that rant became a rallying cry that birthed the GOP-cored Tea Party (contrast with Ron Paul tea partyers afterwards).  Tea Party principle is you have the losers die off, in order to provide a feedback to markets so bad things don't happen. 

http://www.theonion.com/video/paul-ryan-spending-final-day-of-campaign-reminding,30256

You do realize we are talking about a change in policy right.   Which means there would need to be... a  change in policy.

Though yes.  Money should of went directly to the people, like it should if Social Security gets tied up in the stock market.

Hell Obama could have had a lot of it go straight to the people but vetoed a deal between the Bush Administration and Senate Democrats.

 

Though yeah... the Tea Party is right... those banks should of died off.  It really is pretty damn simple.  You let the losing companies and investors die off while using any stimulus funds to keep afloat social programs like welfare.



Kasz216 said:
Ail said:
Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:
Kasz216 said:

I'm less worried about borrowing from China then I am borrowing from ourselves.

Intergovernmental debt is a bigger deal and generally ignored. (Hence why Clinton was able to "balance" the deficit, yet still raise the hell out of the deficit.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/its_still_an_empty_lockbox/2011/03/17/ABPpoym_story.html?nav=emailpage

is a good article on it.


Essentially, the US will likely get it's act together on what it owes other people... but likely screw over those who invest in social security, medicare etc.   It's own people.

Hence why private social security is actually a GOOD idea. 

Because I know if i put my money somwhere privately, that the US government can't steal it to spend it on defense or other welfare programs or whatever...

and in this case it really is stealing since they are spending money that is supposed to be used for social security on other things, replacing them with IOUs.

Unless you end up having people put money besides Wall Street, privatization of Social Security becomes a bailout program for Wall Street.  If Wall Street again goes bat loco and hedges like idiots and takes down everyone's pensions and retirement savings as a result, there will end up being a mass cryout by the public to save Wall Street. 


Fair enough... but if there is.. the end result is that we are exactly where we are anyway.   People could always just have the government bail THEM out instead of Wallstreet and give them the benefits they would of got under Social Security.

While the best result is... this is not a problem anymore.

 

Alternativly we could be like every single other country in the world and privtise social security (and medicare funding etc) and put it in the hands of investors.

 

Which is actually the method I prefer most... however nobody is suggesting such a thing.   Nobody has since Al Gore... who kinda suggested it maybe?  I think he just wanted to dump actual cash into a reserve though, which didn't make sense to me.

Err ?

You obvisouly don't know much about how Western Europe  ( France for example) or Japan system works......


That's exactly how Japan and France works.

http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T120811003538.htm

"The nation's kosei nenkin public pension program for corporate employees logged a surplus of 2.91 trillion yen in the balance of payments for fiscal 2011, the Health, Labor and Welfare Ministry said Friday.

The market value-based balance swung into the black from the previous year's red thanks to investment gains on a stock market recovery from the slump in the aftermath of the March 2011 disaster, ministry officials said."

 

France's Pension Reserve Fund works the exact same way.  Most countries take their surplus pension funds and invest them in the stock market and in bonds and hire successful investors to run their pension funds for them.

 

 

If you wanta  big source.

http://www.oecd.org/insurance/privatepensions/40194872.pdf


Neither country's system is privatized which was your big point.

And being french and having worked there I have a much better idea how the french system works..

You get guaranteed a certain percentage of your salary in retirement in france based on how many years you worked.

There is a retirement age ( much younger than in the US, around 63.5 I think now).

If you work the number of years required ( around 40) you get roughly 70% of your salary when you retire ( salary being determined on an average of what you made the last 5 or 10 years you were working).

No matter how good or bad the stock market does you get the same amount so the stock  market has no impact.........

The fund you mention for France is some recent fund that was set up to help cover the deficit in pension payment that is forecasted to happen later in this century.



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

Ail said:
Kasz216 said:
Ail said:
Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:
Kasz216 said:

I'm less worried about borrowing from China then I am borrowing from ourselves.

Intergovernmental debt is a bigger deal and generally ignored. (Hence why Clinton was able to "balance" the deficit, yet still raise the hell out of the deficit.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/its_still_an_empty_lockbox/2011/03/17/ABPpoym_story.html?nav=emailpage

is a good article on it.


Essentially, the US will likely get it's act together on what it owes other people... but likely screw over those who invest in social security, medicare etc.   It's own people.

Hence why private social security is actually a GOOD idea. 

Because I know if i put my money somwhere privately, that the US government can't steal it to spend it on defense or other welfare programs or whatever...

and in this case it really is stealing since they are spending money that is supposed to be used for social security on other things, replacing them with IOUs.

Unless you end up having people put money besides Wall Street, privatization of Social Security becomes a bailout program for Wall Street.  If Wall Street again goes bat loco and hedges like idiots and takes down everyone's pensions and retirement savings as a result, there will end up being a mass cryout by the public to save Wall Street. 


Fair enough... but if there is.. the end result is that we are exactly where we are anyway.   People could always just have the government bail THEM out instead of Wallstreet and give them the benefits they would of got under Social Security.

While the best result is... this is not a problem anymore.

 

Alternativly we could be like every single other country in the world and privtise social security (and medicare funding etc) and put it in the hands of investors.

 

Which is actually the method I prefer most... however nobody is suggesting such a thing.   Nobody has since Al Gore... who kinda suggested it maybe?  I think he just wanted to dump actual cash into a reserve though, which didn't make sense to me.

Err ?

You obvisouly don't know much about how Western Europe  ( France for example) or Japan system works......


That's exactly how Japan and France works.

http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T120811003538.htm

"The nation's kosei nenkin public pension program for corporate employees logged a surplus of 2.91 trillion yen in the balance of payments for fiscal 2011, the Health, Labor and Welfare Ministry said Friday.

The market value-based balance swung into the black from the previous year's red thanks to investment gains on a stock market recovery from the slump in the aftermath of the March 2011 disaster, ministry officials said."

 

France's Pension Reserve Fund works the exact same way.  Most countries take their surplus pension funds and invest them in the stock market and in bonds and hire successful investors to run their pension funds for them.

 

 

If you wanta  big source.

http://www.oecd.org/insurance/privatepensions/40194872.pdf


Neither country's system is privatized which was your big point.

And being french and having worked there I have a much better idea how the french system works..

You get guaranteed a certain percentage of your salary in retirement in france based on how many years you worked.

There is a retirement age ( much younger than in the US, around 63.5 I think now).

If you work the number of years required ( around 40) you get roughly 70% of your salary when you retire ( salary being determined on an average of what you made the last 5 or 10 years you were working).

No matter how good or bad the stock market does you get the same amount so the stock  market has no impact.........

The fund you mention for France is some recent fund that was set up to help cover the deficit in pension payment that is forecasted to happen later in this century.


Uness the pension fund goes bakrupt... in which case you lose your money.

Putting the money in the private sector... run by experts... aka privatising it.  Is the only thing that makes any common sense.

The American plan of "IOU's" was just an awful idea. 

That is my main point.



Kasz216 said:
Ail said:
Kasz216 said:
Ail said:
Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:
Kasz216 said:

I'm less worried about borrowing from China then I am borrowing from ourselves.

Intergovernmental debt is a bigger deal and generally ignored. (Hence why Clinton was able to "balance" the deficit, yet still raise the hell out of the deficit.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/its_still_an_empty_lockbox/2011/03/17/ABPpoym_story.html?nav=emailpage

is a good article on it.


Essentially, the US will likely get it's act together on what it owes other people... but likely screw over those who invest in social security, medicare etc.   It's own people.

Hence why private social security is actually a GOOD idea. 

Because I know if i put my money somwhere privately, that the US government can't steal it to spend it on defense or other welfare programs or whatever...

and in this case it really is stealing since they are spending money that is supposed to be used for social security on other things, replacing them with IOUs.

Unless you end up having people put money besides Wall Street, privatization of Social Security becomes a bailout program for Wall Street.  If Wall Street again goes bat loco and hedges like idiots and takes down everyone's pensions and retirement savings as a result, there will end up being a mass cryout by the public to save Wall Street. 


Fair enough... but if there is.. the end result is that we are exactly where we are anyway.   People could always just have the government bail THEM out instead of Wallstreet and give them the benefits they would of got under Social Security.

While the best result is... this is not a problem anymore.

 

Alternativly we could be like every single other country in the world and privtise social security (and medicare funding etc) and put it in the hands of investors.

 

Which is actually the method I prefer most... however nobody is suggesting such a thing.   Nobody has since Al Gore... who kinda suggested it maybe?  I think he just wanted to dump actual cash into a reserve though, which didn't make sense to me.

Err ?

You obvisouly don't know much about how Western Europe  ( France for example) or Japan system works......


That's exactly how Japan and France works.

http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T120811003538.htm

"The nation's kosei nenkin public pension program for corporate employees logged a surplus of 2.91 trillion yen in the balance of payments for fiscal 2011, the Health, Labor and Welfare Ministry said Friday.

The market value-based balance swung into the black from the previous year's red thanks to investment gains on a stock market recovery from the slump in the aftermath of the March 2011 disaster, ministry officials said."

 

France's Pension Reserve Fund works the exact same way.  Most countries take their surplus pension funds and invest them in the stock market and in bonds and hire successful investors to run their pension funds for them.

 

 

If you wanta  big source.

http://www.oecd.org/insurance/privatepensions/40194872.pdf


Neither country's system is privatized which was your big point.

And being french and having worked there I have a much better idea how the french system works..

You get guaranteed a certain percentage of your salary in retirement in france based on how many years you worked.

There is a retirement age ( much younger than in the US, around 63.5 I think now).

If you work the number of years required ( around 40) you get roughly 70% of your salary when you retire ( salary being determined on an average of what you made the last 5 or 10 years you were working).

No matter how good or bad the stock market does you get the same amount so the stock  market has no impact.........

The fund you mention for France is some recent fund that was set up to help cover the deficit in pension payment that is forecasted to happen later in this century.


Uness the pension fund goes bakrupt... in which case you lose your money.

Putting the money in the private sector... run by experts... aka privatising it.  Is the only thing that makes any common sense.

The American plan of "IOU's" was just an awful idea. 

That is my main point.


That pension fund you keeps mentionning isn't what pays for social security benefits.

The money in this recently created fund barely covers the expense of french social security in 1 year..

It was created to help covers these costs when they run over in 10 years and the principal source of funding of that fund is actually the selling of wireless spectrum to cellphone networks.....

If the amount of money that comes in every year doesn't cover the amount going out the french government will do as it has done in the past which is one of two things :

- raise retirement age which is currently 62-63 ( far lower than in the US for example)

- increase retirement contributions through taxes.

There isn't the wild disagreement on this topic in France that there is in the US. There is some disagreement but neither side is seriously promoting moving toward a private system....

 

And once again the big difference between the french system and any US system is that you know in advance how much you will get in retirement in france, it is a fixed percentage of the income you had when you were working....



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

Ail said:
Kasz216 said:


Uness the pension fund goes bakrupt... in which case you lose your money.

Putting the money in the private sector... run by experts... aka privatising it.  Is the only thing that makes any common sense.

The American plan of "IOU's" was just an awful idea. 

That is my main point.


That pension fund you keeps mentionning isn't what pays for social security benefits.

The money in this recently created fund barely covers the expense of french social security in 1 year..

It was created to help covers these costs when they run over in 10 years and the principal source of funding of that fund is actually the selling of wireless spectrum to cellphone networks.....

If the amount of money that comes in every year doesn't cover the amount going out the french government will do as it has done in the past which is one of two things :

- raise retirement age which is currently 62-63 ( far lower than in the US for example)

- increase retirement contributions through taxes.

There isn't the wild disagreement on this topic in France that there is in the US. There is some disagreement but neither side is seriously promoting moving toward a private system....

 

And once again the big difference between the french system and any US system is that you know in advance how much you will get in retirement in france, it is a fixed percentage of the income you had when you were working....

Again.  You are simply making my point for me.

Though yeah, any surplus in a pay go system should go into a privatised investment fund... so said cuts never have to happen.

Common sense.