Launching at 200$ would have some drawbacks but a lot of benefits. Drawbacks obviously being that they would leave money on the table in the short term and may have trouble to satisfy demand at this price. It's highly unlikely but I could see tham launching at this price because I think Nintendo is painfully aware that they really need to start strong and build a lead as high as possible before the other consoles launch. They just need the install base to have a chance at keeping third party support beyond 2013. Also a high install base will be beneficial in the long run because Nintendo can sell more software. Also, for a price of 200$ they pretty much undercut the PS360. There's no way Microsony can undercut Nintendo with their predecessors so it's pretty much guaranteed that Nintendo will have the place as the cheap mass market console, which is highly desirable because this console nearly always dominates.
Another benefit is that Nintendo would shit all over Pachters predictions...again. And that would be so so glorious.
I don't think they will launch at this price personally and I will buy the Wii U anyway, but for 200$ I would probably buy 2, one of each color...
Ongoing bet with think-man: He wins if MH4 releases in any shape or form on PSV in 2013, I win if it doesn't.












