theprof00 said: So we have Radish (non-voter) who said: This is his only post. He stuck around for a while and then logged off. This is also why I asked him if he was sure he was female (gambling that he might think I know he's not), because when I figured it out, I saw 6 people show up and only one not vote. He stuck out. Brienne seems genuine. It's a pretty solid claim and a main character with her own arc.
Smeags (voter) was talking about his character and hints he'd been leaving behind.
Rol says (voter) says,
Pezus (voter) was the counterclaimant. Some discussion as to who his character was by Kantor.
Kantor (voter) writes: However, he soon after writes this: Seemed a bit strange that his vote at least appears to be meant as pressure, but he closes with saying he hopes that when he comes back Baal has been lynched and is mafia. For what it's worth.
Wonk appears, (non voter) saying,
Hatmoza appears (non-voter) and says in response to Wonk, Follows up on Baalz, saying
Next, we have Wonk saying "are you trying to get modkilled?" Baalz also responds to this by saying that Pezus did the same thing but Wonk hadn't questioned him. Great question, imo.
Spurge comes back online, asks what a miller is, asks why Baalz would do such as thing as claiming out of the blue.
I say, something doesn't make sense here (it was almost immediately when I typed that that I realized what was going on). I also figure that if I was able to figure it out, no, if WONK was able to figure it out shortly after the fifth vote, then it's possible that mafia might also have figured it out at this point. In which case, any further votes might simply be just mafia running with the herd so as to not be left standing alone on the hill. :D
FF comes in saying This could be two things. It could be A) FF knows Baalz is town (mafia mindset), or B) FF was fishing for linkz to warn, thereby confirming Baalz. Hard to tell, but I have a pretty good town read on FF, unless he's figured out the metric I've used for determining his alignment from game to game.
Wonk responds to Happy.
So, Wonk responded to this saying Now, I don't like that he says he was trying to scumhunt and thanking happy for shooting it down. Seems like he's blaming a townie for scumhunting. Further, it could also be a tactic by wonk to find who everyone suspects so that going into the night, mafia have a good list of people to take out. Townies who suspect mafia might be targets while townies who are clueless might be left alone. It also would work in that if enough people think a single person is suspect, that person might be a good target to be the SK. Just my thoughts on this. I'm not saying Wonk is scum.
This is when I start pushing people to vote.
Wonk (non voter) says he hasn't voted because there are still things to discuss and doesn't want the day to end.
Mario (voter) comes in and starts posting. He will later say (after I question him) that he has read through the thread and is now responding to each individual post he finds. He says: "Either you and Pezus are telling the truth and we have two millers. (Unlikely because two millers seems far fetched)
Spurge apparently posts next. He was there the whole time just reading. Is that suspicious, yes. Is he scum? *shrugs, spilling some ale on the floor*
I then post my suspects. Two people who were online and didn't vote. Two who voted; One voted initially, one after the five. In my head, it was likely that by the time Mario arrived, scum had already figured it out, meaning that moving to vote was at that point a non-tell.
FF checks in again.
Important to note that Mario doesn't actually press Baal for anything solid, just flaky things like "who is your scumbuddies". Just a thought.
Noctis comes in..his post doesn't seem too important just reminding everyone that he's really busy.
I then use this opportunity to try to out Joffrey, under the assumption that if Robb stark is bad, Joffrey might be good. Mario counters by asking why I'm assuming things, saying that perhaps Robb is just a safeclaim.
DS then comes in saying he doesn't buy Baalz claim and that Baalz will get his vote soon enough (we will later find out that he can't bold on his phone so doesn't vote)
Insomniac comes in, first post, he votes.
Radish comes back, responds to my question about him being a woman (answered in a very non-defensive way, good answer) Radish says he would be willing to investigate this Baalz thing tomorrow (Game day 2?). Thing about Radish is that he's ALWAYS a very cautious player, so I can actually kind of understand him not putting a vote down when he doesn't understand the evidence. (but again, it's post-5)
I unvote to see who else we might be able to get to vote, under the assumption that the people coming in and voting are town, and the people holding back are mafia. This was more of a "let's just see what happens" since I knew at the 5 that we were likely entering WIFOM. (WIFOM: mafia knows, so act differently). Still some of the people who came in and voted seemed genuine, like insom, so I couldn't say it was worthless to continue this. After all, it's Baalz masterpiece, he decides when to end it.
Radish does some investigating. Mario tells him to re-read everything. Says Baalz claimed, was caught in a lie, and gave up. Similar to what Hat was saying earlier. Mario then says something interesting. Earlier, I said maybe Robb is bad and Joffrey is good. Mario came in and said "why would you just assume that. It's much more likely that it's a safeclaim. Here he says to Radish "Or maybe you just don't want to see a fellow scum mate lynched? I'm starting to think that names don't mean too much." Not sure how to interpret this. Either he actually believes that Baalz is scum, or is playing a heavy WIFOM game (ie; he knows that I know that he knows) Despite this, Radish, after being threatened that maybe Robb and Brienne are scum buddies, votes for Baalz. Very peculiar.
HD then comes in votes Baalz and HoSes Wonk and myself. At this point I don't think I can interpret the rest of the posts. I was already getting iffy on Mario's last post when I considered heavy WIFOM game.
But, that, in a nutshell, is the miller situation. Hope it doesn't make your eyes bleed. |
My eyes are bleeding, but I appreciate the work you put in nonetheless.
I'm somewhat suspicious of SuperMario, Radish, and (to a lesser extent) Final-Fan after everything that went down these past few hours.
Of course, for me Spurge is suspect number 1 (I see he's finally voted for Baalz), and I'm also suspicious of HappyD.
HoS:
SpurgeonRyan
RadishHead
HappyDolphin
FoS:
SuperMario128
Final-Fan