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Forums - General Discussion - Mafia Round 42 - Game of Thrones

pezus said:

Kantor, who will you protect?

"Protect", you mean. I'm open to suggestions here.



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective

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pezus said:
pezus said:
Kantor said:

Have you read as far as Storm of Swords? Because I want you to think about who is thinking exactly that.

i.e. he's lying and will not keep his word.

I do not quite get your meaning here. I have read the first four books. Are you talking about betrayal? The move of lynching Rol is so, so risky. It reveals nothing but we lose a potential killer. Why are you so absolutely certain he is lying? Who are your suspects?

Didn't see you answer this question

Must have missed that.

I am, indeed, talking about betrayal. As I've said multiple times, you're putting too much faith in Rol. I'm not certain that he is lying, but if he is lying, then we are going to lose. Lynching Rol may reveal nothing, but it essentially kills off one enemy of the town, who has a nightkill.

My suspects:

Mantle and Hatmoza for allegedly being guilty (though I'm not sure what the odds of two successive guilty investigations are, and page 41 was peculiar).

Noctis because everyone is saying he's Joffrey, though I don't really get why.

Korppi for going back to lurking again

Baalz and you as members of the Cartel.

 

That makes four members of the cartel, and four of the mafia.



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective

pezus said:

Uhm, ok, if you really think there are so many scum that makes it 8/20 being scum or a 40% chance to get a guilty scan if you're a cop and 16% twice in a row. Meanwhile, you protecting someone for real twice in a row is a 25% chance. If we say the scum are, what, 6? That makes it 30% to get a guilty scan once, and 9% twice in a row. Not entirely impossible, but not very likely either.

I've protected once and killed once, which has a 50% chance.

Of course, this night's actions are independent of earlier night actions, so that doesn't matter.



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective

Votals:  
Rol[L-5] - hatBaalzSteflmantleFinal-Fanradish, Kantor, Baalz, Stefl  
Danne[L-5] - Noctis, Stefl, Baalz, Final-Fan
hat[L-6] - Danne, pezus 
Kantor[L-6] - Rol, pezus
Baalz - Danne
pezus - mantle

happy - mantle


With 13 players alive, 7 votes are needed for a majority lynch.

23 hours, 45 minutes remain. Day ends Saturday 5PM EDT(9PM UTC)
http://www.timeanddate.com/counters/customcounter.html?msg=Night+3&month=06&day=23&year=2012&hour=17&min=&sec=&p0=179



Linkzmax said:

Votals:
Danne[L-4] - Noctis, Stefl, Baalz, Final-Fan
Rol[L-6] - hatBaalzSteflmantleFinal-FanradishKantorBaalz, Stefl 
hat[L-6] - Danne, pezus 
Kantor[L-6] - Rol, pezus
Baalz - Danne
pezus - mantle

happy - mantle


With 13 players alive, 7 votes are needed for a majority lynch.

23 hours, 45 minutes remain. Day ends Saturday 5PM EDT(9PM UTC)
http://www.timeanddate.com/counters/customcounter.html?msg=Night+3&month=06&day=23&year=2012&hour=17&min=&sec=&p0=179

Noctis didn't vote after unvoting.



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Fixed.



RolStoppable said:

Stannis Baratheon, Robb Stark and Joffrey Baratheon need to die.

Have you searched for Robb Stark in wiki? What does it say about him, what kind of person is he? Good, bad?



RolStoppable said:
mantlepiecek said:
RolStoppable said:

Stannis Baratheon, Robb Stark and Joffrey Baratheon need to die.

Have you searched for Robb Stark in wiki? What does it say about him, what kind of person is he? Good, bad?

Based on prof's flavor analysis, Robb is good, Joffrey is bad and Stannis could go either way. Therefore the targets aren't necessarily all of the same alignment. Stannis has been confirmed to be be town.

If that is the case, surely Robb Stark is town?

So the only reason you believe Danne is scum would be for you to not believe his name claim, right? But according to you Robb Stark is in this game.

So that means you think someone else is Robb Stark.

 

Who do you think is Robb Stark then?



RolStoppable said:
mantlepiecek said:

If that is the case, surely Robb Stark is town?

So the only reason you believe Danne is scum would be for you to not believe his name claim, right? But according to you Robb Stark is in this game.

So that means you think someone else is Robb Stark.

 

Who do you think is Robb Stark then?

Either noctis or insomniac. Both haven't commented on danne's nameclaim yet.

Since Stannis was vanilla, I would assume that Robb is as well, because it would make him a low priority target for the mafia and thus the cartel would be less likely to receive free help from the mafia.

That's interesting. Why do you think Pezus is town again?



RolStoppable said:
mantlepiecek said:

That's interesting. Why do you think Pezus is town again?

Because of his miller claim on Day 1.

Let's get this out of the way. You believe Pezus because he claimed miller. But you don't believe Danne when he claimed an important role of Robb Stark. When nobody else claimed either.

Why? Noctis has already given you the crown, and you seem to believe he is one of your targets. So that leaves insomniac. Let's see what he says then.