EDIT: See bottom of OP for latest updates.
I've been saying this, in essence, for awhile now and I think its becoming more and more clear. But lets break it down per company.
Apple
Hardware:
iOS has been continuously gaining gaming capabilities every year with every iteration of hardware and software. iPad3 is more powerful than the 3DS/Wii and almost at par with Vita. I'd put money on iPhone 5, coming this summer, being equal to Vita. This also puts it really close to PS360. Meaning that the next iterations in 2013 should be surpassing them all and closing in on next-gen hardware.
Controls:
iOS can sync with bluetooth controllers or have virtual controllers. So really, there's no reason a phone or tablet couldn't compete. Then we have the iTV set-top box and the rumored Apple TVs launching later this year. By 2013, these will also be at par with what's out now and maybe even next-gen hardware. However, next-gen hardware will probably be matched the following year.
Software:
3rd parties are already pushing their content on iOS. Then you look at OnLive streaming service and realize its also on iOS and bam you have it all. Further more, as the hardware increases annually, we'll see the exact same 3rd party software on iOS in 2013, without separate OnLive like services.
Microsoft
Hardware:
We already know the neXtBox or Durango is coming and it will be top-tier.
Controls:
We already know MS has their controller plus Kinect, as much as I think it isn't for pure gaming, is going to continue to advance and simply get better. Even allowing better UI for menu and other content outside of gaming. Basically allowing a virtual touch interface... or even a literal touch interface with integration with Win8 phones/tablets.
Software:
Windows 8. This is MS corner stone into all aspects of their hardware. From PCs to tablets to their set-top box... the next Xbox. MS wants to get back into competing with Apple and Google directly. PC OS is fine, but their multimedia and mobile OS has been lagging. Win8 is the game changer for them. It provides a solid OS for ALL platforms and MS is hoping the singular and thoroughly integrated UI will push PC customers to their phones, tablets, and of course the next Xbox. Here we'll see MS provide a fully PC/Media/Gaming system with Metro UI and Live network. You can already see this with the changes put in place in both beta Win8 for PCs and the last dashboard change in the X360.
Hardware:
Google supplies the software and pushes OEMs to build amazing hardware. There is no denying the various OEMs continue to push the boundaries and in the same path as Apple, will be dedicated console levels in 2013. Expect to see Samsung, LG, Sony (non-Playstation related), HTC, Motorola, Asus, etc all to have phones, tablets, and set-top boxes with Android that exceed PS360 in 2013.
Controls:
Similar to iOS, sync bluetooth controllers and you have the exact same experience. Plus additional inter-connectivity through touch and cameras.
Software:
Pretty much identical to iOS here as well. It is a little behind in some areas, however, Android also has OnLive and will continue to grow as its latest version has greatly helped developer screen issues. Combine that with Google's own statement during CES this year that 2013 will see a market push directly at gaming just like they moved into music and movies this past year.
Nintendo
Hardware:
We already know Wii U is coming and based on rumors (see my comparison thread), it will definitely compete directly with other consoles.
Controls:
Here is where Nintendo always excels. You'll get the same dual analog experience, plus motion, plus touch. Nintendo is clearly taking the full cross over approach to have all bases covered for any type of gaming.
Software:
Excluding Nintendo's market leading IPs, they should also be back in the 3rd party game as long as the rumors prove true and the hardware is close to its competitors. Additionally, we have the rumors and strong evidence that Nintendo will provide Android in some fashion to the device. This means Nintendo will effectively be an Android OEM. You'll get the same OS, apps, web, etc, plus Nintendo's uniqueness and first party content.
Sony
Hardware:
We already know a PS4 or Orbis is on its way. What we don't know is its power. Based on latest rumors it could be technically weaker then Wii U or more powerful and closer to the next Xbox. Either way it will be a player in the market.
Controls:
Sony will continue to be Sony. Dual shock controller and all. Plus the possibility of an improved Move or integration with Sony Vita or other Sony (or rooted Android) tablets and phones.
Software:
3rd party content will of course be there as will the multitude of Sony first party. The difference will be in the latest rumors. Direct integration with streaming content like OnLive and what is already being built out with Vita. OR Sony might take the Android approach since its an already mature OS and network and simply add their own OEM style skin and Playstation content.
Summary
What I hope I have demonstrated is that the dedicated console is effectively dead. Sony stated since PS1 days they wanted to make Playstation TV connected computer. MS took that as a thread and created Xbox and its Live network. Both companies this gen proved exactly this with a high level of network, computing, browsing, and inter-connectivity with PCs and other items. Nintendo lagged behind, but late in Wii's life started trying to add what it could and every rumor of Wii U points to them continuing this approach.
iOS and Android are clearly moving more and more into that same realm. They've already cornered mobile computing and dabbled in TV connected computing. They are already pushing further and further into core and mainstream gaming. There is no denying this.
What we'll see in 2013 and beyond is the transition and true future of gaming, computing, communications, etc. All of these markets have collided and will result in a continuation of what started in smartphones with iPhone's debut.
Next gen will be smart multimedia set-top devices, not gaming consoles. They will be OS branded and equal in importance to first party games. Casuals will buy them more for a few casual games and as natural extensions of their smartphones and tablets.
So what's your new banner? iOS, Win, or Android.
***** update 5/30
Some interesting developments from today.
Apple confirmed it will continue to move into TVs and not dedicated consoles. That it is already a big player in gaming and that will continue to grow.
Sony has new big rumors that its moving more to a streaming concept for gaming that what has been known as traditional consoles/retail. Add that to the PS4 spec rumors that are noticeably lower or similar to Wii U and Sony's smartTV and bluray business and you have a very real move to what is detailed in my OP. A Sony Playstation ecosystem that exists across all their smart products.
****** update 6/21
I decided to bump this thread due to Microsoft's 56 page slide show that proves exactly what I'm saying.
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=144506
In case you missed it, recently a powerpoint presentation from 2010 has leaked on the net. It foreshadows everything MS has done in 2011 and 2012 (smartglass) and gives a good indication of their plans for 2013 and beyond.
Slide 7 is very interesting as it talks about (in 2010) MS concerns of their competition to "Xbox 720". It specifically labels AppleTV, OnLive, GoogleTV, Wii2 (we now now is Wii U), and PS4.
It focuses on not only gaming, but all the other enhances services all these products provide. Smart TV, streamed gaming, price estimations (wiiu @249 and ps4 @399), and in particular it also list PS4 as having GoogleTV integrated.
Basically, MS is assuming the EXACT same ideas I've laid out in this thread/OP.
Then on the next couple slides it defines the experience 720 will offer. Kinect 2.0, full smart/Win8/Metro vision, DVR functionality, low cost (299), 6x increase over 360 (what I've been saying), i.e. essentially making 720 NOT a purely dedicated console, but a smartTV type device that also has strong gaming applications.
I won't make my "I was right all along" thread just yet as this document was their 2010 overall gameplan and it will be altered before 2013 when 720 launches. However, I think at this point many of you naysayers really need to think outside of the box and see what is clearly headed our way for next-gen.











I just worded it horribly.