I wouldn't count on 200k for Persona too, but I admit it's interesting to watch, who knows?

I said it before, it's feasible because it looks like it's the game they have to sustain sales. It's in a way (quite distant way) Vita's Mario Kart, the game that every new user will buy for quite some time. Not the perfect candidate (and not sure if it'll work out) but it's what they have. I woundn't be surprised if this game has some good legs, which is uncommon for Persona games.

They said it was double Persona 3, not 4. 

the 3ds is a beast in Japan.

[all from neogaf MC Thread]

Graphs bonanza:

Aaaaaand:

Japanese 2011 in a nutshell, MC top 1000

The Top 1000 accounted for 95.8% of all software sold in 2011 according to Media Create.

Media Create 2011 Top 1000 Stats
Note: Format is [subject] - [sales] - [# of titles in Top 1000]

Overall Software

1. PSP - 13,918,017 - 277
2. PS3 - 12,511,910 - 226
3. WII - 8,687,291 - 100
4. 3DS - 7,365,636 - 73
5. NDS - 7,275,021 - 203
6. 360 - 1,120,616 - 84
7. PSV - 496,808 - 18
8. PS2 - 209,404 - 19


Third-Party Software

1. PSP - 13,418,880 - 261
2. PS3 - 11,404,983 - 196
3. NDS - 5,265,649 - 169
4. 3DS - 3,689,402 - 62
5. WII - 2,932,352 - 67
6. 360 - 945,822 - 74
7. PSV - 322,471 - 15
8. PS2 - 201,327 - 18


First Party Software

1. WII - 5,754,939 - 33
2. 3DS - 3,676,234 - 11
3. NDS - 2,009,372 - 34
4. PS3 - 1,106,927 - 30
5. PSP - 499,137 - 16
6. 360 - 174,794 - 10
7. PSV - 174,337 - 3
8. PS2 - 8,077 - 1


By Publisher

1. Nintendo - 10,243,490 - 66
2. Namco Bandai Games - 8,640,464 - 130
3. Square Enix - 4,957,290 - 67
4. Capcom - 4,737,308 - 68
5. Konami - 3,726,126 - 74
6. SEGA - 2,311,111 - 48
7. Koei-Tecmo - 2,188,396 - 34
8. Level 5 - 1,959,039 - 17
9. SCEI - 1,784,157 - 49
10. Nintendo/Pokemon Co. - 1,197,055 - 12

Others - 9,840,267 - 435

3DS will be boosted a lot in all those categories in a short time, thankfully - never going to reach DS levels, though

First party: Mario, Animal Crossing, even Luigi's Mansion will help a bit
Third Party: DQ and Monster Hunter (among others)

I have a feeling that due to pokemon (both bw2 and conquest), DS will sell more software than Vita this year. Merits to pokemon or demerits to Vita?

De-merit to Vita, I'd say.

Yeesh. This might help explain the Vita's difficulties going forward.

Well, you're right, but this trend continues for 2012 and shall continue for a while a least. Only first party titles Vita seens to have an advantage, but this is expected, as there are simply no first party PSP games anymore.

I'm looking at the proportions of first-to-third party stuff. Not surprisingly, both systems rely extremely heavily on third-parties. The PSP makes it clear that this was the case for that system from start to finish. This makes turning the Vita around even harder for Sony, since third parties don't appear to be lining up to do its job for it.

Basicallay, if their strategy is to increase sales using better first-party support (i.e. the kind they can most directly control), they've got an even steeper trek than I'd thought.