Final-Fan said: [edit: Included quote-nest. I kinda wanted to keep the size down but I REALLY don't want anyone to lose track of things...]
Eomund, I just want to say two things in response to your most recent post:
1. It seems to me that almost all of your explanation can be boiled down to "the tax will be collected by/from businesses who won't cheat and will be easier to watch anyway" (please do correct me if this is wrong) which flies in the face of the reality of VAT evasion in Europe. How do you explain this discrepancy? (Especially since the VAT is more evasion-resistant than a simple retail sales tax.) I also do not see any rebuttal to my assertion that, if there is a 10% evasion rate on a 6% sales tax, there is likely to be a much greater evasion rate on a 30% sales tax, due to the 400% greater incentive to cheat.
2. You continue to say that prices would not rise very much. This is FLAT-OUT IMPOSSIBLE since the amount of taxes currently collected via the income tax and other taxes currently not incorporated into the price of goods is going to be tacked on to the price of goods. (I don't buy the argument that the personal income taxes (as opposed to, say, corporate income taxes) are part of the "embedded cost". After all, it's YOU that pays that tax, not any supplier.) You can say that the inflated prices will be compensated for by inflated paychecks, but (tax-inclusive) prices WILL rise. |
Good questions again Final. But before I can properly answer I will need to research the VAT. As I currently understand it, raw materials are taxed very little or not at all, and finished goods are taxed at the full rate. Now what is stopping consumers from buying unfinished goods, with less tax, and finishing them on their own? This is probably naive to think that is how VAT is being avoided, but my current lack of understanding does not stop me from understanding the FairTax.
There will be evasion, there will always be evasion. That is no excuse for not offering an explanation as to why I think evasion will be down under the FairTax. Firstly, in order to buy goods above the retail level, you need a permit allowing you to buy them FairTax free. If you do not have the permit you cannot purchase goods FairTax free. Now will some business employees try to buy things from a vendor and not pay taxes on it, but if they get caught the business gets fined and has to repay the FairTax owed with interest. A small business would not want to take that chance, and if they did anyways they have a much greater chance of being caught.
Now so far I have just reiterated your concern from 1. Now the evasion rates you [edit: alluded (thanks Final)] to. You assert that there is 10% evasion for a 6% sales tax. My questions regarding that are, which state is it in? Is the sales tax inclusive or exclusive? How high are the wages? Are there other types of taxes on the goods embedded? Are there any other type of price controls people would want to get around?
Here is an excerpt of a response to the evasion attack from Neal Boortz:
2. Tax avoidance would skyrocket. Boortz claims the FairTax would eliminate tax avoidance. Wrong! Here's a simple example. Let's say I'm Neil Boortz and I want to buy a $200,000 yacht. Under the FairTax plan, I'd need to pay at least $60,000 in taxes to buy that yacht if I purchase it in the US. But if I go to the Bahamas and buy it, I don't pay any tax. Let's see, do I be a good citizen and pay the $60,000, or do I vacation to the Bahamas, buy the yacht there and pocket the $60,000? Gee, tough decision, but I know what ol' Neil would do. Same thing with expensive jewelery, vacations (why ski in Colorado and pay taxes on lift tickets, hotel and restaurants when you can ski tax free in Canada), you name it.
Once again ... either an intentional lie or honest misrepresentation. Nowhere in The FairTax Book do we say that "the FairTax would eliminate tax avoidance." In fact, we say just the opposite. We note that some degree of avoidance is a certainty ... just as it is under out present system. What was it that Kepner said? Oh ... I think it was something like "When they lie about the rate, how can you trust them with anything else?" Well .. here's another Kepner lie. What does that say about the rest of his critique? Now ... about that $200,000 yacht. First problem. $200,000 doesn't buy much more than a mid-sized Boston Whaler fishing boat. Pricing aside, If I were to go to the Bahamas and buy that yacht, as soon as I bring it into this country I pay the tax. Ditto for trying to buy an airplane in Switzerland, a car in Germany, Diamonds in South Africa ... whatever. I guess Mr. Kepner hasn't heard of the U.S. Customs Service. Not surprised. Also .. since when is Canada tax free?
(Source: http://boortz.com/nuze/200508/08032005.html )
His whole response to the guy who reviewed his book is an interesting read, and classic Boortz. Here are more questions and responses from Boortz on the same issue.
4. More tax avoidance. Remember, businesses aren't subject to the FairTax for their "investments". So I set up an LLC, buy a vacation home, and rent it out a couple nights a year. Bingo! It's now an "investment". No tax. Hey, why don't I do the same thing with my primary residence? After all, there won't be any IRS looking over my shoulder, will there Neil? In fact, maybe everything I buy from now on (clothes, restaurant meals, cars) will be for my LLC. Hey, good thing there won't be any IRS around to make sure these aren't for personal use.
That's called tax avoidance, Hayden. It's illegal now .. it will be illegal then. That same tax avoidance scheme is available to you right now. Why don't you get out there and try it? Let us know how it works out. It seems that Hayden Kepner's critique gets weaker as we go along.
5. Even more tax avoidance. Is a drug dealer going to pay taxes on the drugs he sells? What about deli's or retaurants that operate a cash business. Are they suddenly going to report all of their sales and pay taxes on them? Uh, let me guess.
These delis (there's no apostrophe, Hayden) and restaurants (that's the proper spelling) can do that now. Do they? Yes ... some do. Most don't. Again, there will be enforcement of the rules and regulations of the FairTax. Running out of steam, aren't you Mr. Kepner?
There will obviously be attempts to fraud the FairTax, but they will are all available to people today. The reason they don't try them en masse is because there are oversight agencies, like the IRS and the State. Each state will still be watching over businesses in their jurisdiction, and there will be a smaller FairTax supervising agency. The "FairTax Agency" would not be obtrusive in normal citizen's lives, but would ensure that the collection of the FairTax was happening properly at the retail level.
I admit there are issues regarding compliance and collection from businesses, there are currently and there always will be. However, this does not mean that the FairTax is a broken idea. It will take enforcement, yes. It will take a bit of honesty, yes. It will also take more than one person to cheat it, it takes at least two people to evade the FairTax. That will keep evasion down in and of itself. The penalties for cheating the FairTax will not be pleasant and can be caught. If you make the penalties high enough, fewer people will want to risk cheating and taking that penalty.
Ahh yes, I nearly forgot your second point. This is a fair question you ask, but one that I have pointed out before. Prices already include the taxes of businesses and their employees. Now lets see if I can effectively setup a model here. Lets create a fictional business together.Final-Fan and Eomund, Inc. lets call it.
We are in the market of say, making bookmarks and other printed items. We sell these items directly to the public. Now we have 100 employees, besides ourselves. These employees are paid $10.00 an hour. They all work 40 hours a week. The total price of wages comes to 100(e) x $20.00(w) x 40(t) or $40,000 weekly (e= employees, w= wages, t= time worked). So if we pay $80,000 in wages how much do our employees take home? Each employee would take home about $619.10 weekly (7.65% Social Security and Medicare taxes + ~15% Federal Withholding Tax [sources: http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/taxRates.html and http://www.yourmoneypage.com/withhold/fedwh2.cgi ]). The total take home wages of our employees would be $61,910, just as a reference. We are stingy and don't provide any other benefits at the moment.
Lets assume our supplies for creating the product cost us $10,000 weekly as well (we will leave out the embedded taxes from our supply, at least for now). We also had to buy the printing and cutting presses for our product, to do that we took out a loan of $150,000 at 8% over 20 years or 120 months. Now we have to pay the loan every month @ $1254.66. We also have to have a building to do business and rent costs us another $2500 monthly. Our costs have quickly added up. Monthly expenses are ($80,000+$10,000+$1254.66+$2500) = $93,754.66 without taxes. So we need to sell at least $93,754.66 just to cover expenses pre-tax. Now lets assume that we sell $100,000 on average. That means that we are making a profit of $6245.34! Wahoo! O wait, just a minute. The government just taxed that income @ 39%. (soruce: http://www.smbiz.com/sbrl001.html ) So we actually only made $3809.66... But wait there are more taxes to be paid. The payroll taxes need to filed and paid. That is an additional 7.65% of wages (matching payments) + State and Federal Unemployment Taxes of 6.2% (since we are a startup business we don't get any credit source: http://www.alllaw.com/articles/tax/article5.asp ). That means 7.65+6.2=13.85% of $80,000 is another $11080 from our coffers. So profit of $3809.66- payroll taxes of $11080 = Net loss of $7270.34. We are actually operating at a loss!!! So we have to raise prices to cover the costs of business. We will have to make another $10,000 to cover costs.
As you can see from this lengthy example that taxes are figured into prices. We can't pay our employees less, they have make enough money to survive, so the price of our product actually gets hit for the full amount of taxes @ 36.5% (adding up all taxes for employee income). Now that is a hefty amount and is assumig no deductions. Now also think about the income tax on our revenue as a business. This is not even including the money it would cost us to hire accountants and tax lawyers to ensure our own compliance with current tax laws. This is a huge burden for our little business to pay. And since we want to make a profit, we have to raise our prices to include our tax burden.
Therefore our prices include our taxes paid, aka embedded taxes. When we strip out the taxes our business pays, we have much less overhead. The FairTax would replace the current taxes already embedded in the price (in our business model, the FairTax is much less than the taxes we already pay). This is why I can say that prices would not be any higher than they currently are, not to mention market forces driving the prices down to the lowest point possible while still maintaining a profit.
PS. sorry for the length of this post, but I was trying to make complete models and answers to your questions.
NOTE: I edited all the links to make them work.