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Forums - Sales - Are more people gaming now than 5 years ago? trend analysis info

Simple answer is - yes. The reason? More of the early gamers from the late '70s-early '80s are now parents, homeowners and business owners - and have grown up with gaming. Now, their children are keeping the trend going. While I don't have hard numbers for you, I do have an article I can give you a link for to confirm what I am saying.

I'll track it down.



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Ive heard reports that the market hasnt actually been getting bigger since N64



"Like you know"

Like i mean revenue up yes bc of inflation and more sales, xbox live, downloads etc. but actual hardware numbers havent substancially increased since PS1 and N64



"Like you know"

 

  Console    
4th Generation SNES Genesis Other1 Total   % Change from Previous
Japan 17.15 3.59 2.5 23.24   -
America 23.35 17.8 5 46.15   -
Other 8.58 9.36 4 21.94   -
Total: 49.08 30.75 11.5 91.33   -
5th Generation N64 Saturn PS Total    
Japan 5.55 5.74 32.59 43.88   88.81%
America 20.63 1.87 40.78 63.28   37.12%
Other 6.75 1.15 40.12 48.02   118.87%
Total: 32.93 8.76 113.49 155.18   69.91%
6th Generation GameCube PS2 Xbox Dreamcast Total  
Japan 4.02 25.42 0.53 2.32 32.29 -26.41%
America 12.81 47.68 16.42 4.6 81.51 28.81%
Other 4.76 44.79 7.81 2.21 59.57 24.05%
Total: 21.59 117.89 24.76 9.13 173.37 11.72%
7th Generation Wii PS3 Xbox360 Total    
Japan 4.5 1.64 0.53 6.67    
America 8.18 3.36 10.13 21.67    
Other 5.84 3.41 5.03 14.28    
Total: 18.52 8.41 15.69 42.62    

 

1 This contains many consoles, and is estimated (based on reports of sales of the NeoGeo and PCE, and is not 100%).
4th through 6th Generation figures according to VGChartz "Worldwide Hardware Shipments"  
7th Generation figures according to VGChartz, week ending 22nd Dec, using VGChartz "Hardware From Launch"

From this table, you can see how, through the generations, the console gaming market has grown. What's interesting is the growth in the "Others" region with the release of the PS, but also how the Japanese market has shrunk during the last generation (compared to the previous one). Since this current generation is not yet complete (and even some of the last one, since the PS2 is still selling), you can't tell how the market will grow/shrink yet, but for that, we can look at some first year sales compared to last generation first year sales:

 

  First Year Totals1      
  GameCube PS2 Xbox Dreamcast2 Total % Change from Previous
Japan 1.58 3.94 0.37 1.29 7.18 -
America 2.68 4.87 3.62 2.11 13.28 -
Other 1.68 4.46 2.14 1.01 9.29 -
Total: 5.94 13.27 6.13 4.41 29.75 -
  Wii PS3 Xbox360 Total    
Japan 3.88 1.27 0.19 5.34   -25.63%
America 6.29 2.34 3.48 12.11   -8.81%
Other 4.68 3.41 2.09 10.18
9.58%
Total: 14.85 7.02 5.76 27.63   -7.13%

 

1 First full year in each region, using VGChartz "Hardware from Launch" set to 52 weeks for each region.
2 America and Other numbers are based on Japan's percentage of lifetime sales to first year sales (roughly 50%)    
NOTE: PS3 has only been out in the Others region for roughly 40 weeks*  

* Except for Hong Kong and Taiwan, where the PS3 was released around the same time as Japan, but during those 18 weeks, only 13,000 units were sold.

Since the PS3 hasn't been out a full year in most of "Others", and as long as it sells 150,000 or so units a week from now until then (March 27th I believe), which is very likely, we'll be right on pace to have the same amount of sales as last generation.

Obviously this isn't the greatest research ever (I simply took all the information from this site basically and put it together in Excel), but it helps show how much the PS brand has expanded the industy, and how, without the Wii, this generation would be falling short of the previous generation.

 

Edit: Those tables hate me