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Forums - Politics - So, anyone have any plans to create 500,000 American jobs a month over next 5 years?

HappySqurriel said:
Creating jobs is easy, fixing the economy so that good jobs are created is more challenging ...

If you simply eliminated all forms of government welfare (including personal and corporate welfare), returned to a small but effective regulatory system while drastically reducing bureaucracy, drastically cut taxes while simplifying the tax code, and eliminated the minimum wage 10 million jobs would appear overnight. Most of these jobs would be created by individuals and businesses that were "exploiting" people who had limited options because they were suddenly very affordable labor, and most of the people with limited options would tolerate these jobs because the threat of starvation is a powerful motivator to settle.

Now, being that in an environment like this new jobs would be created at a rate far faster than population growth this "exploitation" would actually be fairly short lived and few people would be working for a wage that was lower than the current minimum wage.

In order to create good jobs you need to create an environment where investment is going into making employees more productive and/or to develop new knowledge based industries. This requires freeing up investment capital that is currently allocated towards government debt (by paying down government debt) and consumer debt (by reducing total consumer debt).

Assuming of course a business actually needs people.  That is a kicker.  A business would even be iffy to employ people for free.  You could run stuff like in Mexico where people bag tips for groceries, but if there isn't demand there for more labor, then it isn't going to happen.  Try walking into some store and offer them help, and they will say no.  This doesn't discount that Gamestop would likely employ fanboys for free, if they could get away with it.  But, you see a bum on the street come up and start do your windshield, do you accept that or find it a problem?  And then, there is a need to factor in specialization of labor in some areas, where you can't just employ everyone.  Businesses also can turn down some technology due to labor reasons.  I know one business that refused to switch over to S.A.P out of fear that they couldn't keep workers.  And in the area of IT, the skills needed have gotten far more diverse, and at the same time, they are demanding people have am absurd mix of skills, just for a 3 month contract.  

This video goes into symptoms of this today:

http://money.cnn.com/video/news/2011/08/04/n_big_business_jobs_cash.cnnmoney/

Over $1.5 trillion sitting in the reserves of large companies, not circulating or doing anything, nor being used to hire.  Business won't do anything, unless it sees it is necessary.



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richardhutnik said:

This video goes into symptoms of this today:

http://money.cnn.com/video/news/2011/08/04/n_big_business_jobs_cash.cnnmoney/

Over $1.5 trillion sitting in the reserves of large companies, not circulating or doing anything, nor being used to hire.  Business won't do anything, unless it sees it is necessary.

As opposed to expanding a business when not needed?  Hiring unnecessary workers?  Forcing a business to use its money against its will?

Did we not just learn about the problem with bubble economies?



The rEVOLution is not being televised

richardhutnik said:
HappySqurriel said:
Creating jobs is easy, fixing the economy so that good jobs are created is more challenging ...

If you simply eliminated all forms of government welfare (including personal and corporate welfare), returned to a small but effective regulatory system while drastically reducing bureaucracy, drastically cut taxes while simplifying the tax code, and eliminated the minimum wage 10 million jobs would appear overnight. Most of these jobs would be created by individuals and businesses that were "exploiting" people who had limited options because they were suddenly very affordable labor, and most of the people with limited options would tolerate these jobs because the threat of starvation is a powerful motivator to settle.

Now, being that in an environment like this new jobs would be created at a rate far faster than population growth this "exploitation" would actually be fairly short lived and few people would be working for a wage that was lower than the current minimum wage.

In order to create good jobs you need to create an environment where investment is going into making employees more productive and/or to develop new knowledge based industries. This requires freeing up investment capital that is currently allocated towards government debt (by paying down government debt) and consumer debt (by reducing total consumer debt).

Assuming of course a business actually needs people.  That is a kicker.  A business would even be iffy to employ people for free.  You could run stuff like in Mexico where people bag tips for groceries, but if there isn't demand there for more labor, then it isn't going to happen.  Try walking into some store and offer them help, and they will say no.  This doesn't discount that Gamestop would likely employ fanboys for free, if they could get away with it.  But, you see a bum on the street come up and start do your windshield, do you accept that or find it a problem?  And then, there is a need to factor in specialization of labor in some areas, where you can't just employ everyone.  Businesses also can turn down some technology due to labor reasons.  I know one business that refused to switch over to S.A.P out of fear that they couldn't keep workers.  And in the area of IT, the skills needed have gotten far more diverse, and at the same time, they are demanding people have am absurd mix of skills, just for a 3 month contract.  

This video goes into symptoms of this today:

http://money.cnn.com/video/news/2011/08/04/n_big_business_jobs_cash.cnnmoney/

Over $1.5 trillion sitting in the reserves of large companies, not circulating or doing anything, nor being used to hire.  Business won't do anything, unless it sees it is necessary.


I make no assumptions that corporations will be the ones who create these jobs ...

I know there are countless jobs that individuals do on a daily/weekly basis that they would gladly pay someone else to do if they could afford to, and if the artificial pay-floor created by welfare and minimum wage was removed individuals who didn't have a job or decent prospects for a job would probably be willing to work for the amount of money these people were willing to pay. As an example, for $5 per hour (probably) 75% of people in North America would be willing to pay someone else to do their house cleaning for them, but if people can earn more than that sitting at home there is no incentive for them to take this housecleaning job.



richardhutnik said:
Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:


The complete episode can be seen here:

http://video.pbs.org/video/1479100777/

Is the average american home lavaproofed?

Which was the point, the assets were only overleveraged because the risk management matehmatics didn't take into account a nation wide housing slump.  Something that was considered impossible by people and by the numbers.

Under normal market circumstances, there would of never been a nation wide housing slump where prices go down nationwide practically EVERYWHERE.

The housing bubble was protected from crashing because they grouped a number of derivatives in different markets versus each other which greatly lowered risk since the chances of ALL of them being in down markets and defaulting was thought to have been impossible because it had never happened before.

and more or less was until the US made a giant drive for increasing home ownership which ended up crashing the market in so many sectors at the same time.

They found a way to make neither red nor black appear on a roulette wheel that wasn't sporting any green.

As such, it caused the chain reaction meltdown.


It took government to create a match so inconceivable, nobody planned against it.  Is it really risk modlers fault that government created a negative enviroment that nobody thought could even happen?

And yes, no one happened to either see that Madoff also was doing stuff no one could see either.  Shame that the government was responsible for him and put a gun to people's head and order them to invest with him.  Same with Long-Term Capital Management.  Yep, the government was all behind that.  And all those Ponzi schemes, autosurfs and other nonsense that the government is behind these big bad entities to the extent that NO ONE has the power to stop it, because the government forces such leveraging.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long-Term_Capital_Management

The idea of a hedge fund, and what derivates are supposed to do is protect you not against the normal, but against the really odd stuff that is catastrophic.  That is what it will do, but when you end up with inane groupthink, that happens in markets, as is CLEARLY show in the experiment, then it doesn't work.  You aren't using hedging as a chance to minimize loss, you are using it to take risks you wouldn't normally, because you believe the math is foolproof, or you need to keep up with the Joneses, because if you don't show the same absurd rate of return as others are doing, then end result is that lose your job.  Well, the guys who ran this overleveraging make out like bandits and take down the banking system.

But hey, keep believing the government did it, and ONLY is the one to cause it to happen.  No way EVER do bubbles happen which aren't due to government holding guns to people's heads and telling them to leverage.

The thing about moral hazards is the people who do them still did the stupid thing.

If you want to lay fault on the government here, it is for providing a climate where there was too much money floating about that drove people to dumb things.


So in otherwords, you have no actual way to argue the point and are trying to bring in unrelated pyramid scams to try and conflate the arguement to support your point.

Again, the math failed because of a state of the market hereto thought impossible.

You instead are blaming the market, for not prepairing for something that just about everyone would of agreed was unniversally impossible before it happened....

rather then government for creating such an occurence.

That's not even blaming the market for lava insurance.

It's more like blaming the market for having over leveraged in the case of dragon attack.


Though if you want to blame the market for that sure, they could of not levereaged vs the hereto thought impossible thing, then we'd of never had the crash because the economy wouldn't of even been as good as it is now, so there would be nothing to correct against since derivatives are the only reason the global economy was able to drive so high in the firstplace, the derivatives market being worth more then the actual cash of the nations in the world.

You think it's bad when 1.5 trillion is in buisnesses unused?   How about when many more trillions don't even exist anymore or never did.



HappySqurriel said:
richardhutnik said:
HappySqurriel said:
Creating jobs is easy, fixing the economy so that good jobs are created is more challenging ...

If you simply eliminated all forms of government welfare (including personal and corporate welfare), returned to a small but effective regulatory system while drastically reducing bureaucracy, drastically cut taxes while simplifying the tax code, and eliminated the minimum wage 10 million jobs would appear overnight. Most of these jobs would be created by individuals and businesses that were "exploiting" people who had limited options because they were suddenly very affordable labor, and most of the people with limited options would tolerate these jobs because the threat of starvation is a powerful motivator to settle.

Now, being that in an environment like this new jobs would be created at a rate far faster than population growth this "exploitation" would actually be fairly short lived and few people would be working for a wage that was lower than the current minimum wage.

In order to create good jobs you need to create an environment where investment is going into making employees more productive and/or to develop new knowledge based industries. This requires freeing up investment capital that is currently allocated towards government debt (by paying down government debt) and consumer debt (by reducing total consumer debt).

Assuming of course a business actually needs people.  That is a kicker.  A business would even be iffy to employ people for free.  You could run stuff like in Mexico where people bag tips for groceries, but if there isn't demand there for more labor, then it isn't going to happen.  Try walking into some store and offer them help, and they will say no.  This doesn't discount that Gamestop would likely employ fanboys for free, if they could get away with it.  But, you see a bum on the street come up and start do your windshield, do you accept that or find it a problem?  And then, there is a need to factor in specialization of labor in some areas, where you can't just employ everyone.  Businesses also can turn down some technology due to labor reasons.  I know one business that refused to switch over to S.A.P out of fear that they couldn't keep workers.  And in the area of IT, the skills needed have gotten far more diverse, and at the same time, they are demanding people have am absurd mix of skills, just for a 3 month contract.  

This video goes into symptoms of this today:

http://money.cnn.com/video/news/2011/08/04/n_big_business_jobs_cash.cnnmoney/

Over $1.5 trillion sitting in the reserves of large companies, not circulating or doing anything, nor being used to hire.  Business won't do anything, unless it sees it is necessary.


I make no assumptions that corporations will be the ones who create these jobs ...

I know there are countless jobs that individuals do on a daily/weekly basis that they would gladly pay someone else to do if they could afford to, and if the artificial pay-floor created by welfare and minimum wage was removed individuals who didn't have a job or decent prospects for a job would probably be willing to work for the amount of money these people were willing to pay. As an example, for $5 per hour (probably) 75% of people in North America would be willing to pay someone else to do their house cleaning for them, but if people can earn more than that sitting at home there is no incentive for them to take this housecleaning job.

How about bagging groceries for tips?  We could have businesses install showers in back for people so they don't stink, and individuals bag groceries for tips all day, just like they do in Mexico?  Well, that is assuming that automated check outs and people bagging their own groceries doesn't become the norm.  

How low should jobs go for people in society?  Should every single possible thing be an option?  Like pay people $1 an hour to wait in long lines?  We could also have people have on their job application they are professionals recyclable bottles off the side of the street, or dumpster divers.  Heck, and yes make prostitution viable profession also.  If you have no choice, sell your body.  And organ donor, that works to.  Sell off all your body parts while still alive.



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richardhutnik said:

How about bagging groceries for tips?  We could have businesses install showers in back for people so they don't stink, and individuals bag groceries for tips all day, just like they do in Mexico?  Well, that is assuming that automated check outs and people bagging their own groceries doesn't become the norm.  

How low should jobs go for people in society?  Should every single possible thing be an option?  Like pay people $1 an hour to wait in long lines?  We could also have people have on their job application they are professionals recyclable bottles off the side of the street, or dumpster divers.  Heck, and yes make prostitution viable profession also.  If you have no choice, sell your body.  And organ donor, that works to.  Sell off all your body parts while still alive.


In an economy where you have (probably) 10% of people who are unemployed in a non-temporary/cyclic fashion, and there are several times as many households willing to pay above the current level of minimum wages to do several tasks (cleaning, maintenance, yard work, running errands, etc.) why would you assume that there would be significant supply of labour at wages below current minimum wage?



richardhutnik said:

People think legalizing drugs and prostitution will result in 30 million jobs being created over a 5 year period? Is someone going to open up a McHooker's chain, which will employ millions?  Yes, we can go to the world of Idiocracy, where you go to a Starbucks and get a little extra with your order.


Do you know how hard it is to find a good, clean prostitute?  And what prostitute wouldn't jump at the chance to sell her body for stable work, days off, and healthcare benefits (not to mention not being pimp smacked)?



Only one state has replaced jobs since the recession hit.

I would suggest doing what they do.

- De-regulate
- Lower taxes
- Kick the EPA out
- Keep state/federal spending to a minimum

That works very well in the countries that are creating jobs and modernizing at a fervent pace. It'd take a few years, but we would eventually get there, as such changes have had significant positive effect in the past.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

Kasz216 said:


So in otherwords, you have no actual way to argue the point and are trying to bring in unrelated pyramid scams to try and conflate the arguement to support your point.

Again, the math failed because of a state of the market hereto thought impossible.

You instead are blaming the market, for not prepairing for something that just about everyone would of agreed was unniversally impossible before it happened....

rather then government for creating such an occurence.

That's not even blaming the market for lava insurance.

It's more like blaming the market for having over leveraged in the case of dragon attack.


Though if you want to blame the market for that sure, they could of not levereaged vs the hereto thought impossible thing, then we'd of never had the crash because the economy wouldn't of even been as good as it is now, so there would be nothing to correct against since derivatives are the only reason the global economy was able to drive so high in the firstplace, the derivatives market being worth more then the actual cash of the nations in the world.

You think it's bad when 1.5 trillion is in buisnesses unused?   How about when many more trillions don't even exist anymore or never did.

In a sane world where derivatives are used to minimize risk that occurs in the line of performing regular business, they are fine.  The problem is that derivatives, and excessive faith in them, plus quantitivate analysis, results in people taking far more risks than they normally would.  This, in turn, produces a culture where everyone is driven to take excess risks, and then when the unthinkable happens, then the you have a crash far larger than would occur before.  In the past, we had the savings and loan crisis, with housing, and it didn't take down the entire economy as this last one did.  

A reason why I don't blame the government completely and fully for the crisis, while I can fault them for a good chunk of it, is that blaming the government ends up being an excuse to justify individuals in t he market for taking too many risks, and presuming their are bulletproof, and screwing things up.  What one has to realize is the markets ARE risky and you can just magically make the risks go away.  I would also suggest that things be done to eliminate "too big to fail".  But hey, it is convenient to bring up loss of jobs whenever you want to get a bailout from government.  Too much big business will cry loss of jobs whenever they want their government pork.



richardhutnik said:
Kasz216 said:


So in otherwords, you have no actual way to argue the point and are trying to bring in unrelated pyramid scams to try and conflate the arguement to support your point.

Again, the math failed because of a state of the market hereto thought impossible.

You instead are blaming the market, for not prepairing for something that just about everyone would of agreed was unniversally impossible before it happened....

rather then government for creating such an occurence.

That's not even blaming the market for lava insurance.

It's more like blaming the market for having over leveraged in the case of dragon attack.


Though if you want to blame the market for that sure, they could of not levereaged vs the hereto thought impossible thing, then we'd of never had the crash because the economy wouldn't of even been as good as it is now, so there would be nothing to correct against since derivatives are the only reason the global economy was able to drive so high in the firstplace, the derivatives market being worth more then the actual cash of the nations in the world.

You think it's bad when 1.5 trillion is in buisnesses unused?   How about when many more trillions don't even exist anymore or never did.

In a sane world where derivatives are used to minimize risk that occurs in the line of performing regular business, they are fine.  The problem is that derivatives, and excessive faith in them, plus quantitivate analysis, results in people taking far more risks than they normally would.  This, in turn, produces a culture where everyone is driven to take excess risks, and then when the unthinkable happens, then the you have a crash far larger than would occur before.  In the past, we had the savings and loan crisis, with housing, and it didn't take down the entire economy as this last one did.  

A reason why I don't blame the government completely and fully for the crisis, while I can fault them for a good chunk of it, is that blaming the government ends up being an excuse to justify individuals in t he market for taking too many risks, and presuming their are bulletproof, and screwing things up.  What one has to realize is the markets ARE risky and you can just magically make the risks go away.  I would also suggest that things be done to eliminate "too big to fail".  But hey, it is convenient to bring up loss of jobs whenever you want to get a bailout from government.  Too much big business will cry loss of jobs whenever they want their government pork.

In a "sane world" where derivatives are only used to minimize risk, the global economy wouldn't nearly be as big as it is now... currently.  Post recession.

I think you underestimate how much derivatives have ran and grown the world wide economy.