richardhutnik said:
In a sane world where derivatives are used to minimize risk that occurs in the line of performing regular business, they are fine. The problem is that derivatives, and excessive faith in them, plus quantitivate analysis, results in people taking far more risks than they normally would. This, in turn, produces a culture where everyone is driven to take excess risks, and then when the unthinkable happens, then the you have a crash far larger than would occur before. In the past, we had the savings and loan crisis, with housing, and it didn't take down the entire economy as this last one did. A reason why I don't blame the government completely and fully for the crisis, while I can fault them for a good chunk of it, is that blaming the government ends up being an excuse to justify individuals in t he market for taking too many risks, and presuming their are bulletproof, and screwing things up. What one has to realize is the markets ARE risky and you can just magically make the risks go away. I would also suggest that things be done to eliminate "too big to fail". But hey, it is convenient to bring up loss of jobs whenever you want to get a bailout from government. Too much big business will cry loss of jobs whenever they want their government pork. |
In a "sane world" where derivatives are only used to minimize risk, the global economy wouldn't nearly be as big as it is now... currently. Post recession.
I think you underestimate how much derivatives have ran and grown the world wide economy.








