In NA specifically, there will probably still be sales in Japan and maybe Others.

1.8million month=> 0.45 million week OOOF that will be a hard drop
if all stockpiles are gone

With THAT I agree, leo-j (assuming you're talking about PS3 overtaking Xbox360 not Wii)

You all might think im crazy, but with a game like FFXIII exclusively advertised for the PS3, and at a price point of 299, I think the PS3 could be pushing near Wii numbers in the US.

Next years Christmas commercials will have (hopefully) FFXIII, KZ2, LBP, GT5, and MGS4 all in one commercial. All exclusive. Not only are those 4 of the best games to date, but they cover the RPG communities favorite game, racing communities favorite game, a shooter that has the potential to be the best technically ever, and the finale of the greatest action-shooter of all time.

IF (big if) all goes according to plan for Sony next year software-wise, and IF they have a price drop to 299, is it wrong to assume that they will be moving near 6 million consoles in the last 4 months of the year?

If the Wii proves anything positive for the PS3, it proves that if they spark enough interest, they can sell as many PS3's as they can make at the 299 price point.

All the consoles will fall next week, not just the Wii. The PS3 could fall the most simply because demand isn't there, despite all the supply ad infinitum.

My predictions are almost spot on. Only X360 was of by 400k :)

@Jandre02

1. FFXIII - worldwide popular
2. MGS4 - America & Others (although you're a criminal - 'action shooter' ? WTF?)
3. GT5 - worldwide popular
4. LBP - minimal worldwide
5. KZ2 - little interest in America & Others

So you think that while Sony enjoys its exclusives and sell all around Nintendo will be hitting flies and closing their warehouses?!?! In a year with Mario Kart Wii (worldwide popular), SSBB (worldwide popular), Monster Hunter 3 (Japan craze), WiiFit (worldwide craze), Tales of Symphonia (little interest ww), etc?!

Sony will certainly rise cosiderably, but Nintendo isn't going anywhere...

I seriously doubt a handful of sequels are going to guarantee PS3 sales going through the roof, definitely not to the kind of levels that the Wii experiences. Every title listed there appeals to a narrow demographic of gamer, and while they will sell well, I don't see any of them being true "system sellers".

FF13 has a lot of stigmata working against it with pre-FF11 fans who don't like the shift the series has taken; I know I for one am not looking forward to it, in spite of having gotten all but FF11 of the previous mainstay FF games. Killzone 2 has plenty of competition as it is and had an underwhelming prequel; it's going to have to sell on hype alone. Gran Turismo 5 is largely going to appeal to the graphics-lovers and racing fans (which make up decidedly less than a majority of the gaming market, even combined); unless it gets bundled like GT4 did, I don't see it getting the kind of sales that even FF13 will. Little Big Planet is so very niche, I suspect another "Eye Toy" debacle may occur, ie. massive hype and low sales. MGS4 is definitely hyped, but so delayed that it's probably lost more than a few sales (definitely to the ones who are hoping on a 360 version).

Of all those listed, MGS4 has the most potential to move systems, and it's got the "wait to see if there's a 360 version announced" crowd working against it. I could be completely wrong on all of these, of course. But evidence against them being the system sellers people hope they will be is there.

I will assume you are talking Home console with that, because the DS is larger in Eu, and although there is nothing for it on this website i believe the Sega Master system bombed everywhere but Europe.

Also, amazingly, if the PS2 keeps it's trends after the holiday rush dies down, "other" PS2 may outsell America PS2, there is less than 1 million difference.