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Forums - Sales Discussion - 9 mln. PS3 by the end of 2007? =)

Here are my calculations:

Today:
7.75 mln. PS3.
To hit 9 mln. PS3 needs 1,25 mln.

75k + 75k - Japan.
350k + 250k - Europe.
300k + 200k - USA.
The numbers can differ for a region.

725k + 525k -> 1,25 mln. TOTAL.

Last 2 weeks of December 2001 for PS2:
1,334,201 + 851,807
Last 2 weeks of December 2002 for PS2:
1,775,427 + 1,427,817
Last 2 weeks of December 2003 for PS2:
1,465,908 + 1,311,850
Last 2 weeks of December 2004 for PS2:
849,425 + 535,041
Last 2 weeks of December 2005 for PS2:
1,193,700 + 470,809
Last 2 weeks of December 2006 for PS2:
894,944 + 321,737

So what do you think? =)



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

Around the Network

Don't see it happening ... The PS3 will average 500,000 to 550,000 units over those two weeks and end up with8.75 to 8.85 Million consoles



nope.



Almost unlikey, unless ps3 sales surpass 300k in OTHERS, and rises to atleast 220k in North america, with sales at 60k in japan for those two weeks it wont get 9M.

It has too sell atleast 1.2M ww in 2 weeks not impossible but very unlikey.



 

mM

I think it might. But it will be very, very close.



Around the Network

8 million? Very likely!

8.5 million? Somewhat likely.

9 million? Very unlikely!



I dont think so

note ; for your PS2 example you should have shown the 3 last weeks of december, and not only the 2.



Time to Work !

Good luck with that...



Close, but won't happen. Sales for the 2nd week will drop around 20% from the previous week (if not more) - so I think you are looking at around 1.6-1.8x the sales of last week for the next two weeks.

...

Although you could technically count the EXTRA week (week ending 5th Jan?) as an '07 week - or at least 30% of it.



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see my predictions in my sig.



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