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Forums - Microsoft - Sooo.. 65M by 2012?

Chibi.V.29 on 07 January 2011

I has a chance... but i think it might need maybe a small price cut or something to guarantee it.



Yeah i know my spelling sucks but im dysgraphic so live with it :3    

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Conegamer - I say that the PS3 will beat the DS next week in Japan  (for hardware sales) Forfeit is control over others avatar for 1 week.

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thx1139 on 07 January 2011
Month Sales
January 2010 749,509
February 2010 746,116
March 2010 (5 weeks) 761,782
April 2010 476,226
May 2010 424,623
June 2010 (5 weeks) 812,735
July 2010 956,648
August 2010 740,312
September 2010  (5 weeks) 990,127
October 2010 763,394
November 2010 2,275,228
December 2010 4,579,332
Total 14,276,032

That is a month by month look. Think it is very likely that the 1st 1/2 of 2011 360 will track ahead of 2010. July, September and November will be the tricky months.  I expect that ultimately 360 will beat 2010 in 2011.  With continued Kinect success and the ability for MS to make substantial price change at any time they are setting up the 360 for its peak year.



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.

damndl0ser on 07 January 2011
Mummelmann said:
kowenicki said:
Mummelmann said:
superchunk said:

Until 2010, x360 was barely reaching 10m/year. It currently stands at 51m. That means it needs about 14m units to hit 65m. Considering 2010 was its best year ever with a slim model launch and a surprisingly (to me) successful Kinect and it just reached 14m for the year, I think I'd bet on it not reaching 65m.

More than likely there will be a price drop. I think Kinect will still be successful, but not continue to sell at this rate now that xmas is over. I think by the end of this year we'll be hearing rumblings about next gen.

All of this to me means x360's best result is back to around 10-12m in 2011. Thus, it should break 60m, but not 65m; IMHO.


Sounds about right. Save for a price cut there isn't a whole lot left to drive sales and the console itself is already more than affordable. I don't think it will sell as well as 2010 this year, the last quarter was insane and I can't see it pulling several million weeks in the holiday season again.

All three consoles will be down yoy I think.

so basivally you are saying kinect is a one year wonder? 

If it isnt a one year wonder and it behaves more like a console, as I believe it will, then it will def have a better second xmas than first.

One year wonder? No, not quite but I don't expect it to move anywhere near as well this holiday season as it did in 2010. The current gen consoles are getting old, Kinect or not and the new generation is probably right around the corner. We may even hear announcements of new consoles in 10-15 months imo.

There is almost no chance of the 360 announcing a new console in 10-15 months.  If Microsoft decides they want to bring out a new console around a year after its most successful year ever they are idiots.   Were at least 2 years away from any kind of announcement.  Unless of course the 360 crashes and burns (under 8 million sales).  And I don't see that happening any time soon.  If anything this year will see sales pretty close to last years, if not a few more.



"If you've got them by the balls their hearts and minds will follow."

Quote by- The Imortal John Wayne, the original BADASS!

 

 

 

Mordred11 on 07 January 2011

It will do it,a price-cut and Kinect will be more than enough to bring it up YoY,enough to reach 65M.



d21lewis on 07 January 2011

Stan wouldn't have made this thread.  You're notStan, huh?



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superchunk on 07 January 2011
d21lewis said:

Stan wouldn't have made this thread.  You're notStan, huh?


wow... that's all I have to say on that.



NotStan on 07 January 2011
d21lewis said:

Stan wouldn't have made this thread.  You're notStan, huh?


I Shall facepalm myself in response :p

I've heard 'em all on XBL, especially from the Americans, when they get a rightly deserved asswhooping on COD x)



Disconnect and self destruct, one bullet a time.

Metallicube on 07 January 2011

That number seems a little high, considering as of now Gears 3 is the only significant heavy hitter that will move hardware, at least exclusive.



thismeintiel on 07 January 2011
Mummelmann said:
superchunk said:

Until 2010, x360 was barely reaching 10m/year. It currently stands at 51m. That means it needs about 14m units to hit 65m. Considering 2010 was its best year ever with a slim model launch and a surprisingly (to me) successful Kinect and it just reached 14m for the year, I think I'd bet on it not reaching 65m.

More than likely there will be a price drop. I think Kinect will still be successful, but not continue to sell at this rate now that xmas is over. I think by the end of this year we'll be hearing rumblings about next gen.

All of this to me means x360's best result is back to around 10-12m in 2011. Thus, it should break 60m, but not 65m; IMHO.


Sounds about right. Save for a price cut there isn't a whole lot left to drive sales and the console itself is already more than affordable. I don't think it will sell as well as 2010 this year, the last quarter was insane and I can't see it pulling several million weeks in the holiday season again.

All three consoles will be down yoy I think.

While I think a price cut will give it a nice little bump, the fact is the 360 isn't going to be the only console to get one next year.  On the HD side, Sony is definitely going to cut the PS3 by at least $50.  This will either be their move first and MS will respond in kind, or MS will cut first and Sony will respond.  Either way, a price cut is going to benefit the PS3 greatly more than it will the 360, as it will be the first time the PS3 has been available at $249.  Heck, even the Wii might drop to $99-$129 holiday season '11 to help recreate the holiday seasons of these past few years.



 

thx1139 on 07 January 2011
Metallicube said:

That number seems a little high, considering as of now Gears 3 is the only significant heavy hitter that will move hardware, at least exclusive

360 will get plenty of software to keep the sales goin. 



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.