With both Sony's PlayStation Move and Microsoft's Kinect camera now on the market, the stage is set for a big motion controls showdown. Kinect launched a few weeks later than Move, but it's quickly managed to sell through a million units worldwide and Microsoft says it's on track to sell 5 million. Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Michael Pachter agrees with the forecast, essentially noting that Kinect will outsell Move by 67% through January (the end of GameStop's fiscal year).

"By our reckoning, Microsoft is likely to sell 5 million Kinect units by the end of GameStop’s January quarter, and Sony is likely to sell 3 million Move units," he said. "We expect Microsoft’s U.S. sales to be around 3 million, evenly split between standalone Kinect units at $150 and Kinect console bundles at an average sales price of $350; we anticipate that international sales will be around 2 million, also evenly split at around the same price points. We expect Sony’s U.S. sales to be around 1.2 million Move units by the end of GameStop’s January quarter, evenly split between standalone Move units at $100 and Move console bundles at $400; we anticipate international sales of 1.8 million units, also evenly split at the same price points."

Pachter added that GameStop should be one of the main beneficiaries of the motion control trend. "GameStop should compete favorably for 30% allocation of the U.S. units and for 10% of international units, resulting in dollar sales of around $110 million in accessories and $300 million in hardware. If the new peripherals see an attach rate of two software units, GameStop is likely to see software sales of $165 million," he explained.

The last official sales update from Sony indicated that the company had sold 1 million in the Americas and 1.5 million in Europe. SCEA maintains that momentum has remained strong and that Move "greatly exceeded expectations."

http://www.industrygamers.com/news/kinect-to-outsell-playstation-move-by-67-through-january-says-pachter/

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What do you think? Educated guess or a Wii HD?

3 million Move sounds amazing, only 2 million away from the new Gen's leader. 

And people accuse VGChartz of guessing up numbers.... seriously and they call this guy an analist? I got a prediction, after a intense market research, i predict Kinect will outsell PS Move by 82%. Can i get payed now?

Do we really have to see all these babblings from Uebermoron Pachter?

Most of his numbers aren't even remotely correct - he should at least get the facts right before taking his drugs. This guy is really a pain in the **s. Why doesn't this moron even try to contact manufacturers to check the numbers? Is this really the state of education and level of competence in the USA?

Pachter gets more stuff right then people give him credit for.

I don't understand why so much hate for him, do you guys envy his job or what?

Uh!

5M? I don't wanna be the flamer, but seriously i have to.

We have sales for the first 10 days in America and 3 days in EMMA and it is very likely that... what?

And further: "evenly split between standalone Kinect units at $150 and Kinect console bundles"

Just dreaming or any facts to support that expectation?

Ahh, Kinect and Move could sell 100M and more, but at this point of time WE DON'T KNOW

ahhh

I just don't like these type of Hype

sorry

hum

are those guy saying that HALF of the move/kinect sales come with a console hardware ?

suggesting that kinect will move 2.5 M console and move 1.5M WW ?

that look FAR too high IMO

1 example, please

Out from the top of my head:

- X360 slim releasing this year, not being called slim and not having a pricecut, being bundled with Kinect.

- 3DS having a 3D screen without need of glasses and massive support from third party hardcore devs.

There must be others I can't remember right now plus I know a bunch we stil have to see (X720 having no blu-ray, 3DS to be massively supply constrained for two years, FPS to dominate at least another five years etc...).

OK

I missed these. Really? Slim version perhaps, but 3DS?

That can't be true, i am here at VG every day.

Please link!