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Forums - Sales - SONY expects PS3 to BEAT its 15 Million Fiscal Year Projections!!!

 

SONY expects PS3 to BEAT its 15 Million Fiscal Year Projections!!!

Is SONY living in the sam... 155 45.19%
 
Yeah it'll happen for sure! 187 54.52%
 
Total:342
unknown_soul89 said:

Seems like alot of people are missing one key word, FISCAL

Why? Fiscal is fiscal... for now just 2.4 from Q1 and Q2 will be out in the next days (or weeks).



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ethomaz said:
unknown_soul89 said:

Seems like alot of people are missing one key word, FISCAL

Why? Fiscal is fiscal... for now just 2.4 from Q1 and Q2 will be out in the next days (or weeks).

People seem to be thinking the end of the year as in December 31



Squilliam said:
Reasonable said:

 

Move by its nature is very hard to break down from unit sales to install base, as you rightly note - but not just for us, for Sony, too.  They sell to retailers, and only retailers have the actual individual transactions and these are almost never shared.  So Amazon.co.uk know I bought 2 Wands and a Navi as one customer, but all they're report back to Sony is the total, not the individual transaction that does reveal install base.

You wrote a lot... I deleted it. Anyway boiling it down to this one single point, the whole 'am I reasonable' question anyone in your position asked. It is a philisophical question. The likely answer is of course that it is likely PSN connected PS3s phone home at certain intervals. So of course they would know what ratio of hardware people are buying because they need to pass this information on developers who need to know how many Move, Nunchuck and Dual Shocks there are and what ratio in order to stipulate an appropriate number to use for multiplayer or single player. Like for instance, developers may want to know how common dual Move controllers would be.


That's an interestning idea - I know, because I work in retail, that they won't get the sales data from the retailers, but if they can capture this (not sure if they can, I guess I'd need to see if you agree to allow them to do this) then they might get an idea of what controllers you use and in what configurations.  Packs are normally defined based on estimates of sales profile then adjusted based on observed demand, but of course if they could create profiles through captured info they would get a fair idea of controller configuration.

There would still be noise though, my kids all take controllers to each others houses, so I've had lots of different dualshocks connected and my son took our two Move wands to his friends for a party, but I guess if they did get this info they could try and weed out common devices vs temporary ones.

I'm not sure they really do get this level of info regarding what you do, and of course what if you don't use PSN or are offline?  That would affect accuracy, too.

Nah... I still reckon getting a handle on true Move install base is going to be very tricky, although this could - if they do this - get closer than anything else.



Try to be reasonable... its easier than you think...

Reasonable said:
Squilliam said:
Reasonable said:

 

Move by its nature is very hard to break down from unit sales to install base, as you rightly note - but not just for us, for Sony, too.  They sell to retailers, and only retailers have the actual individual transactions and these are almost never shared.  So Amazon.co.uk know I bought 2 Wands and a Navi as one customer, but all they're report back to Sony is the total, not the individual transaction that does reveal install base.

You wrote a lot... I deleted it. Anyway boiling it down to this one single point, the whole 'am I reasonable' question anyone in your position asked. It is a philisophical question. The likely answer is of course that it is likely PSN connected PS3s phone home at certain intervals. So of course they would know what ratio of hardware people are buying because they need to pass this information on developers who need to know how many Move, Nunchuck and Dual Shocks there are and what ratio in order to stipulate an appropriate number to use for multiplayer or single player. Like for instance, developers may want to know how common dual Move controllers would be.


That's an interestning idea - I know, because I work in retail, that they won't get the sales data from the retailers, but if they can capture this (not sure if they can, I guess I'd need to see if you agree to allow them to do this) then they might get an idea of what controllers you use and in what configurations.  Packs are normally defined based on estimates of sales profile then adjusted based on observed demand, but of course if they could create profiles through captured info they would get a fair idea of controller configuration.

There would still be noise though, my kids all take controllers to each others houses, so I've had lots of different dualshocks connected and my son took our two Move wands to his friends for a party, but I guess if they did get this info they could try and weed out common devices vs temporary ones.

I'm not sure they really do get this level of info regarding what you do, and of course what if you don't use PSN or are offline?  That would affect accuracy, too.

Nah... I still reckon getting a handle on true Move install base is going to be very tricky, although this could - if they do this - get closer than anything else.

It's virtually impossible. At best you could come up with a fairly broad, ball park figure that really couldn't even be confirmed by sales of the first (if such a thing will actually be released) killer app for Move compels PS3 consumers to buy a controller(s) and a PSEye by making Move required to play. The userbase for the PS3 is already too broad and splintered for a game on the platform to appeal to the majority of current owners.

It would be a somewhat useful bit a data to know how many basic Move controllers have been sold, but even this says little about the overall userbase as a big chunk of that userbase has an extra controller if not more. But, it would still provide the basic data of rate of adoption as production numbers for the base controller are adjusted up or down.



Ping_ii said:
bannedagain said:
Ping_ii said:
bannedagain said:
Ping_ii said:
bannedagain said:
Ping_ii said:
FF_Fanatic said:
Ping_ii said:

Its funny:

first PSmove is a flop

then come sony statement of 1.5m sold in EU ALONE

SONY are liers

AHAHAHAHAHAHA!!! I love it when this happens brings out the true colors of posters here.

 


rofl those 1m moves never happened, shush, they got lost with the 1m of ps3's that never got added to sales

ITS A CONSPIRACY I TELL YOU!!!!! CONSPIRACY!!!!!

SONY LIES!!!!!!


who's the one with the conspiracy? You or VGChartz?I find it hard to believe a company that has been doing this for years has screwed up so bad. Each controller is counted as a sale, so 4 controllers plus 2 sub controllers in one house has turned into 6 houses owning it.  Maybe you should try on the tinfoil! Only people trying to spin the numbers would not think of this.

 


you have solid proof that  majority  of the Move sold is from ppl buying 2-4 of them??

give me a link otherwise GO MAKE UP SOMEMORE CONSPIRACY.

Im not even saying 1.5 is all SOLD I know its shipped, Im just making fun of the fanboys who said PSmove is a flop then we get some official numbers that are pretty good all of a sudden the excuse is ITS A LIE LMAO.

It's common sense that more then one person is gonna want to play move, It's kinda a casual thing.

Just wanted to join into the big o stroke fest you where all having. Your buddy up there is convinced ps3 is 1 million undertracked as well.

I don't need a link because I have VGchartz and you have your buddy to go back and forth with. I will stick with the professionals, you go with your tinfoil pic and talk of conspiracy. Which is funny because thats actually what your doing is supporting a conspiracy against vgchartz.

All these people in here constantly saying ps3 is undertracked is annoying and a conspiracy theory that you go by.By the way elvis is alive, tupac as well and the U.S. didn't land on the moon. All things you can add to your list.

TRUTH: elvis died on the toilet, Tupac ran his mouth and got shot and the russians watched us land and if they didn't witness it they would have called bull first.




LOL you have VGC we have SONY OFFICIAL NUMBERS.

the only conspiracy theory in here is fanboys claiming  SONY IS LYING which they can't because thats illigal for any company to lie and I already said I know 1.5m  is SHIPPED.

On the other hand you failed to give me a link to what you claim that most PSmove buyers are buying  multiple units, not like it matters since PSmove sold is still SOLD despite it being by the same person its still money for sony.

run along now back to your conspiracy theories, till you find me a link don't even bother replying  to me with those assumption of yours.


BLAH,BLAH,BLAH,BLAH............  BLAH.    I got your link right here.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyWsFfd9pqE&feature=related

Shipped is not sales and no products on the shelf is not the same thing. I see you choose to look at it in this way due to there situation.

 I never said sony lied. What, two people said they lied. Mostly what people said is that they stuffed the channels, which does happen.

now I'm done with you! THANK YOU PLEASE DRIVE THROUGH.


LOL whats wrong no link to back your conspiracies?

Didn't I tell you not to bother till you have a solid link?

VGCHARTZ IS RIGHT ON WITH THERE SALES DATA.
heres your link.
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=117935&page=1&str=2004024507#

 Move is another situation where you just can't prove if it is multiple people owning a controller or one person owning multiple controllers. So You can't prove how many own the product in there homes. SO you have not proof either.



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bannedagain said:
Ping_ii said:
bannedagain said:
Ping_ii said:
bannedagain said:
Ping_ii said:
bannedagain said:
Ping_ii said:
FF_Fanatic said:
Ping_ii said:

Its funny:

first PSmove is a flop

then come sony statement of 1.5m sold in EU ALONE

SONY are liers

AHAHAHAHAHAHA!!! I love it when this happens brings out the true colors of posters here.

 


rofl those 1m moves never happened, shush, they got lost with the 1m of ps3's that never got added to sales

ITS A CONSPIRACY I TELL YOU!!!!! CONSPIRACY!!!!!

SONY LIES!!!!!!


who's the one with the conspiracy? You or VGChartz?I find it hard to believe a company that has been doing this for years has screwed up so bad. Each controller is counted as a sale, so 4 controllers plus 2 sub controllers in one house has turned into 6 houses owning it.  Maybe you should try on the tinfoil! Only people trying to spin the numbers would not think of this.

 


you have solid proof that  majority  of the Move sold is from ppl buying 2-4 of them??

give me a link otherwise GO MAKE UP SOMEMORE CONSPIRACY.

Im not even saying 1.5 is all SOLD I know its shipped, Im just making fun of the fanboys who said PSmove is a flop then we get some official numbers that are pretty good all of a sudden the excuse is ITS A LIE LMAO.

It's common sense that more then one person is gonna want to play move, It's kinda a casual thing.

Just wanted to join into the big o stroke fest you where all having. Your buddy up there is convinced ps3 is 1 million undertracked as well.

I don't need a link because I have VGchartz and you have your buddy to go back and forth with. I will stick with the professionals, you go with your tinfoil pic and talk of conspiracy. Which is funny because thats actually what your doing is supporting a conspiracy against vgchartz.

All these people in here constantly saying ps3 is undertracked is annoying and a conspiracy theory that you go by.By the way elvis is alive, tupac as well and the U.S. didn't land on the moon. All things you can add to your list.

TRUTH: elvis died on the toilet, Tupac ran his mouth and got shot and the russians watched us land and if they didn't witness it they would have called bull first.




LOL you have VGC we have SONY OFFICIAL NUMBERS.

the only conspiracy theory in here is fanboys claiming  SONY IS LYING which they can't because thats illigal for any company to lie and I already said I know 1.5m  is SHIPPED.

On the other hand you failed to give me a link to what you claim that most PSmove buyers are buying  multiple units, not like it matters since PSmove sold is still SOLD despite it being by the same person its still money for sony.

run along now back to your conspiracy theories, till you find me a link don't even bother replying  to me with those assumption of yours.


BLAH,BLAH,BLAH,BLAH............  BLAH.    I got your link right here.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyWsFfd9pqE&feature=related

Shipped is not sales and no products on the shelf is not the same thing. I see you choose to look at it in this way due to there situation.

 I never said sony lied. What, two people said they lied. Mostly what people said is that they stuffed the channels, which does happen.

now I'm done with you! THANK YOU PLEASE DRIVE THROUGH.


LOL whats wrong no link to back your conspiracies?

Didn't I tell you not to bother till you have a solid link?

VGCHARTZ IS RIGHT ON WITH THERE SALES DATA.
heres your link.
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=117935&page=1&str=2004024507#

 Move is another situation where you just can't prove if it is multiple people owning a controller or one person owning multiple controllers. So You can't prove how many own the product in there homes. SO you have not proof either.

 


As Kowenicki mentioned in the other thread 38 million could mean anything from 37.5-38.49 million. And the report is likely as of the end of last quarter, a week ago in the data. Seriously, some people just try way too hard. Wait for earnings reports before claiming any over or undertracking. And that comic is really freaky.



Proudest Platinums:
1. Gran Turismo 5
2. Persona 4 Arena
3. Wipeout HD
4. Ninja Gaiden Sigma 2
5. Super Street Fighter 4

Reasonable said:
Squilliam said:
Reasonable said:

 

Move by its nature is very hard to break down from unit sales to install base, as you rightly note - but not just for us, for Sony, too.  They sell to retailers, and only retailers have the actual individual transactions and these are almost never shared.  So Amazon.co.uk know I bought 2 Wands and a Navi as one customer, but all they're report back to Sony is the total, not the individual transaction that does reveal install base.

You wrote a lot... I deleted it. Anyway boiling it down to this one single point, the whole 'am I reasonable' question anyone in your position asked. It is a philisophical question. The likely answer is of course that it is likely PSN connected PS3s phone home at certain intervals. So of course they would know what ratio of hardware people are buying because they need to pass this information on developers who need to know how many Move, Nunchuck and Dual Shocks there are and what ratio in order to stipulate an appropriate number to use for multiplayer or single player. Like for instance, developers may want to know how common dual Move controllers would be.


That's an interestning idea - I know, because I work in retail, that they won't get the sales data from the retailers, but if they can capture this (not sure if they can, I guess I'd need to see if you agree to allow them to do this) then they might get an idea of what controllers you use and in what configurations.  Packs are normally defined based on estimates of sales profile then adjusted based on observed demand, but of course if they could create profiles through captured info they would get a fair idea of controller configuration.

There would still be noise though, my kids all take controllers to each others houses, so I've had lots of different dualshocks connected and my son took our two Move wands to his friends for a party, but I guess if they did get this info they could try and weed out common devices vs temporary ones.

I'm not sure they really do get this level of info regarding what you do, and of course what if you don't use PSN or are offline?  That would affect accuracy, too.

Nah... I still reckon getting a handle on true Move install base is going to be very tricky, although this could - if they do this - get closer than anything else.

You bastard! You said you were a programmer! How dare you lie to me like that! Now I find out you work in retail, how can any be reasonable working in retail?!

The quantity of analytics available this generation are quite staggering. Developers like Lionhead for instance know that people playing the game for the most part didn't use more than half of the features inside the game. Anyway there probably wouldn't be a significant difference between the offline and online population and they can adjust their figures because of already known data like the number of DS3 and Sixaxis controllers sold thus far against the total reported as being synced to the PS3.

Sure there would be a little bit of controller sharing but as a whole compared to the entire userbase this would be insignificant. With a know number of Move controllers and PsEyes and Nav controllers shipped and a known number of reorders as well as analytics from PS3s phoning home to say they have Move controllers attached they would have a very good picture of how many Move controllers the average person has, how common the navigation controllers are and how many non Move attached PsEyes out there.

 

 



Tease.

Squilliam said:
Reasonable said:
Squilliam said:
Reasonable said:

 

Move by its nature is very hard to break down from unit sales to install base, as you rightly note - but not just for us, for Sony, too.  They sell to retailers, and only retailers have the actual individual transactions and these are almost never shared.  So Amazon.co.uk know I bought 2 Wands and a Navi as one customer, but all they're report back to Sony is the total, not the individual transaction that does reveal install base.

You wrote a lot... I deleted it. Anyway boiling it down to this one single point, the whole 'am I reasonable' question anyone in your position asked. It is a philisophical question. The likely answer is of course that it is likely PSN connected PS3s phone home at certain intervals. So of course they would know what ratio of hardware people are buying because they need to pass this information on developers who need to know how many Move, Nunchuck and Dual Shocks there are and what ratio in order to stipulate an appropriate number to use for multiplayer or single player. Like for instance, developers may want to know how common dual Move controllers would be.


That's an interestning idea - I know, because I work in retail, that they won't get the sales data from the retailers, but if they can capture this (not sure if they can, I guess I'd need to see if you agree to allow them to do this) then they might get an idea of what controllers you use and in what configurations.  Packs are normally defined based on estimates of sales profile then adjusted based on observed demand, but of course if they could create profiles through captured info they would get a fair idea of controller configuration.

There would still be noise though, my kids all take controllers to each others houses, so I've had lots of different dualshocks connected and my son took our two Move wands to his friends for a party, but I guess if they did get this info they could try and weed out common devices vs temporary ones.

I'm not sure they really do get this level of info regarding what you do, and of course what if you don't use PSN or are offline?  That would affect accuracy, too.

Nah... I still reckon getting a handle on true Move install base is going to be very tricky, although this could - if they do this - get closer than anything else.

You bastard! You said you were a programmer! How dare you lie to me like that! Now I find out you work in retail, how can any be reasonable working in retail?!

The quantity of analytics available this generation are quite staggering. Developers like Lionhead for instance know that people playing the game for the most part didn't use more than half of the features inside the game. Anyway there probably wouldn't be a significant difference between the offline and online population and they can adjust their figures because of already known data like the number of DS3 and Sixaxis controllers sold thus far against the total reported as being synced to the PS3.

Sure there would be a little bit of controller sharing but as a whole compared to the entire userbase this would be insignificant. With a know number of Move controllers and PsEyes and Nav controllers shipped and a known number of reorders as well as analytics from PS3s phoning home to say they have Move controllers attached they would have a very good picture of how many Move controllers the average person has, how common the navigation controllers are and how many non Move attached PsEyes out there.

 

 


I am a programmer - or well I was.  I tend to focus higher level now on what should be designed, deployed, etc.  Retailers have programmers too you know!

I agree on the analytics from games.  I'm just not sure what Sony do.  I was thinking retail analytic data sharing, which actually isn't that great generally, but if they really can grab what controllers, etc. you hook up and play with then I guess they could work out who has exactly what.

I know Valve collect a ton of gameplay stuff, for example.

It would be interesting to know what Sony might actually be able to grab from your PS3 use.  To be fair I'd be curious what MS and Nintendo grab too, if anything.



Try to be reasonable... its easier than you think...

well I for example already owned an EYE cuz of eyepet, and bought 2 Move controllers, but NO game for now :) waiting for the good ones!



Reasonable said:
Squilliam said:

You bastard! You said you were a programmer! How dare you lie to me like that! Now I find out you work in retail, how can any be reasonable working in retail?!

The quantity of analytics available this generation are quite staggering. Developers like Lionhead for instance know that people playing the game for the most part didn't use more than half of the features inside the game. Anyway there probably wouldn't be a significant difference between the offline and online population and they can adjust their figures because of already known data like the number of DS3 and Sixaxis controllers sold thus far against the total reported as being synced to the PS3.

Sure there would be a little bit of controller sharing but as a whole compared to the entire userbase this would be insignificant. With a know number of Move controllers and PsEyes and Nav controllers shipped and a known number of reorders as well as analytics from PS3s phoning home to say they have Move controllers attached they would have a very good picture of how many Move controllers the average person has, how common the navigation controllers are and how many non Move attached PsEyes out there.

 

 


I am a programmer - or well I was.  I tend to focus higher level now on what should be designed, deployed, etc.  Retailers have programmers too you know!

I agree on the analytics from games.  I'm just not sure what Sony do.  I was thinking retail analytic data sharing, which actually isn't that great generally, but if they really can grab what controllers, etc. you hook up and play with then I guess they could work out who has exactly what.

I know Valve collect a ton of gameplay stuff, for example.

It would be interesting to know what Sony might actually be able to grab from your PS3 use.  To be fair I'd be curious what MS and Nintendo grab too, if anything.

To be honest, its probably anything and everything they think is relevant. In any case thats why they get you to agree to a 2nd EULA before you can go on PSN / Live.

Nintendo probably gathers a lot of gameplay statistics, I would assume things like what you play, how long you play for, how many people at once etc. Sony would be more than that and Microsoft would probably know whether or not your brushed your teeth during a gameplay session!



Tease.