@eugene

once again my friend

USA isn't the world

& the wii is kicking 360 A$$ in EU & Japan

& so is the Ps3 in Japan & partially in EU

in the US that is....we are talking about worldwide.

I understand the majority here is from US, but why rub it in the face of the rest of us? 

Rol, didn't you also say the Wii would easily beat the Xbox 360's NA sales, and have a counter for the past few months, taking it down when it was deemed vastly impossible?


No system has ever, ever, started out with a decent marketshare, and gone on to totally dominate the marketshare %, expect *maybe* the PS1, since it had the Saturn to compete with in the beginning.

Not only this, global marketshare for the Wii has been about 40-45% since the beginning of October. Yes, the Wii might have more supply next year, but why do you just assume the PS3 and X360 will roll over, and never have anything to compete next year? You do realize the Wii has a very weak Western lineup (from what I've seen) for 08, don't you? The X360/PS3 have Fallout, Army of Two, GTAIV, Silent Hill 5, RE5, and about 30 other mid-sized games that aren't coming out on the Wii, not to mention other exclusives (but the Wii games cancell that out).

So with huge multi-plat games like GTAIV, with the Wii having absolutely no comparible 3rd party game, why is the Wii going to suddenly increase it's marketshare? If games matter, then the Wii will see decreased marketshare vs. a more competitive field with reduced price X360s and PS3s next year vs. a Wii that's seen the bulk of it's cards on the table by mid-08 (atleast for the rest of the year).

@mrstickball

GTA IV can completely turn around the console war...such is the power of it

I know the 360 has the advantage due to the extra downloadable content but MS will have to market that cus I know people who want a Ps3 for GTa, cus they've always played GTA on TEH PS!

so shockingly, maybe Ps3 will benefit more...

_____________________________________-

In short GTA IV can turn things round for PS360 in NA/EU

& FFXIII in JAP for PS3

I see the 360 remaining steady and the ps3 and the wii increasing sales next year. However it is far too difficult still to determine who will gain the largest market share.
And like many people have said, whoever comes out on top will still likely not dominate to the extent that the ps1 and ps2 were able to. Simply too much competition which is good for everyone in the end.

I think Rol is going by the "winner takes all" logic of the PS1 & 2 eras, where the winning system had a huge % of market share. I think it still is a valid view. However, your view is justified as well, as we have to linked but still different markets here (blue ocean), where two systems might sell well due to their different product placements. 

If I was speaking of just Amercia, then Xbox 360 + PS3 >>>> Wii, but I was speaking of world wide of course. Xbox 360 + PS3 > PS3

"I think the black friday week is a good guestimation of how the console wars will play out till the end. That was everyone's best week and a good idea of the the mindshare each console has on the general public."

Two words: Supply limited

@rol

once again

the Ps3 has NOTHING comparable to wii EXCLUSIVES

please don't give me that

@rol

so according to you

GT 5 ( a franchise that has almost always sold 10 million + units) is suddenly not AS important as SSBB or Mario Kart

FFXIII (In the end a "NEW" final fantasy game" isn't as important as SSBB or Mario Kart

& finally

MGS4 isn't as important as SSBB or mario kart