Which Game Will Sell More HW On Release Reach Or GT5?

TIPS

Release Dates

Reach 9/14/10 and JP 9/15/10

GT5 US 11/2/10 US 3rd EU and JP 4th Ausie

Prior WW HW Boosts

Halo3 230K up 40% from prior week

ODST 146K up 14% from prior week

MW2 437K up 41% from prior week

360 Slim launch about 400k wen calculated WW

GT5P about 160k when calculated WW

U2 266K up 10% from prior week

GOW3 230k up 0% from prior week

MW2 400k up 26% from prior week

FF13 about 443k when calculated WW

The Bundles

Bundle Releases WorldWide

NA $399

EU £249.99

JP 39,800

Releases

Only in JP as of now 35,980

      I've been reading alot of posts saying Reach HW boost will own next week, bye bye Wii being on top and PS3 is doomed even some gifs of it too.  I've also made a few GT5 threads here on VGChartz all with many posts saying that we shouldnt expect alot from GT5.  I believe though that Reach will cause a massive spike for 360s HW but it won't be as massive as PS3's spike when GT5 releases.

So will 360 HW on Reach release be greater than PS3 HW on GT5 week?

Post what you think

*note BHR-3 has intentionally left out some very important TIPS please post with caution

Unless there is some major surprise GT5 is almost sure to sell more.  360 has seen 2 full Halo FPS titles plus an RTS spinnoff vs one GT prologue on PS3.  Both are typically huge sellers, but GT5 is almost certain to have more impact at this stage of the consoles lives and weighed against prior releases of the franchise so far this gen.

In NA Reach moves more consoles than GT5 BY MILES.

In EMEAA GT5 moves much more hardware than Reach

So really I think it'll be close.  I still don't think GT5 will be as big as older versions of the game.

GT5 will sell alot more hardware , it won't even be close.

"So will 360 HW on Reach release be greater than PS3 HW on GT5 week?"

Well, to answer just that question: No.

Here's why:
Reach launches in 2 weeks time, during a relatively slow time of year.
GT5 will launch in November, when sales should have picked up considerably.
As such, PS3 sales should be higher at that time of year that 360 sales in September, regardless of releases.

Now, I assume you mean the spike caused by both releases. I would expect the spike for GT5 to be bigger than Reach (unless we get a price cut or something, which would skew the numbers). I say this because there hasn't been a full GT5 launch this generation, whereas there has been for Halo. Halo Reach will have fewer new buyers, but I think a portion of the difference in new buyers will be made up by replacement buyers (i.e. current owners purchasing the new 360s with Halo Reach). Regardless of these, I'd expect the PS3 to see a bigger spike, thanks in part to the release of the special bundle in Japan. If special bundles release elsewhere (especially motorsports-loving countries like the UK, Spain, Germany etc) I can see GT5's spike being huge for a week or two, before settling into a relatively minor long term sales boost (1-3k above the norm).

First of all!

Bear>Shark

It depends if GT5 gets bundled with PS3. I think a lot of people interested bought their PS3s years ago when Prolouge came out.

First of all

Dogs > Bears > Cats > Bad Clowns

___________

I think GT5 will move more!!!!!!

GT5 launches in November, where consoles are seeing week on week rises rather than static sales.

So for that reason alone, the bump will be bigger for GT5 week, unfortunately for you, you won't be able to tell how much of that bump is actually tied to GT5

You guys all know that the true system seller is Ar Tonelico, and are just ignoring it because its sells more than GT and Halo series combined.

it even makes Mario look niche.

I expect a number of about 250k for Reach's first week. Not a mega huge increase but a bit of a spike none the less.

However as indicated above when GT5 releases sales of all consoles naturally increase towards the holidays to the point it will be hard to tell how much of a bump happened.

Personally i still think the 360 will outsell the PS3 worldwide for the week of GT5's launch. Reason for me thinking that is whatever happens 360 is going to be up year over year on it's 7th november 2009 sales. Which was 311k. There is no way we are going to see the yoy increase drop to nothing in just a couple of months. The console is still getting 180k a week a few months after the re-model, and that is the supposed quiet period.

However the PS3 sold 316k for the same week the previous year. Logically you have to think it will be down year over year. Those numbers came off the back of a price cut and a re-model. It is already down yoy in some regions i.e europe. The question is will GT5 give the PS3 a potential 100k-200k boost in hardware to put it beyond that 316k figure to be up year over year?

So i think GT5 will shift more consoles then Halo Reach does initially but the numbers will get lost in the natural increased sales towards the holidays. But i don't think it will give it a boost to get it above the 360 for that week. Thus won't really get seen as a boost at all.