Nothing specific. I simply B_3_L_I_3_v_3!

*snicker*

So the previous best for the series was 2.54m for GT4 in late 2004/early 2005? The PS2 had a userbase of over 80m by that point.

It will be amazing if GT5 matches that (never mind surpassing it) on a userbase of 37m (plus whatever it sells between now and release).

hmm only mw2 is the only game so far on the ps3 to selll over 3 million in its first week, so it might be possible but i wouldn't hold my breath on it. If final fantasy coundn't do it, then I don't know if GT5 can. 2 million definately.

turuis, yeah true but FF13 has had a poor reception imo, i think it will be about 2 - 2.5mil. it depends on the reviews and advertising as well imo. i think if Sony advertise well in Europe, then its possible.

Is this based on historical sales data or is it a prophecy?

first week 2 mil tops

I think there are two very important factors as to why GT5 won't be as successful as previous GT games.

1. GT has real compitition now. Even GT3 and 4 didn't have high quality racing sim games to compete with. Now there are several, Forza, Dirt, NFS Shift to name a few. Racing fans have already gotten their sim fix and are less likely to feel the need for more speed.

2. Racing games aren't as popular as they used to be. Sure there are still plenty of die hard racing fans, but the casual racing fans who drove GT sales on the PSone and PS2 have either moved on or found solance in other racing games of equal quality.

I'm not going to venture a guess as to what GT5's sales will be in it's first week, but I think it's unlikely that it will outsell GT3 or even GT4.

bhr is the next pachter, but this time he uses some data. so its like a prophecy insipired by sales data.

if it reaches exactly 10 million it will post gt1 and i think gt2(im not sure at its sales numbers)

it wont pass gt4 but it wont fail.

probably 2 million world wide -

japan 500,000

America 750,000

Europe 1,250,000