zgamer5 said:
Michael-5 said:
zgamer5 said:
like you said at 25k a week it would reach it in 9 weeks, yes the 20k-30k halo boost would help , but the arcade is going to do much, it already had a release in some countries, also its not the us where its xbox>ps3, in emmeaa its ps3>360(im talking about brand populatiry), the only thing the arcade will do is keep the 360 in the 70s region next week. by the time reach comes the 360 would have been in 60k region and after reach launches the ps3 will be ahead of it with some help from move. even if move wears off fast ps3 was outselling the 360 in emmeaa by 20k weekly before the slim, and after the slim effect wears off it should stay that way. i think that its going to be close but after move launches the slim effect would have wared off and ps3 would be on top again. as for kinect it will move more units then move in emeaa but that doesnt mean that the 360 will pass the ps3 on weekly sales their, your forgetting that the ps3 has gt5 bigger brand recognition and that before kinect launches im sure that the ps3 will be ahead in emeaa weekly sales, kinect alone cant remove that.
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Well first of all sales generally pick up in september due to the holidays approaching, but I agree with the that the difference will shrink. I agree with you about GT5 (Top Gear is promoting it a bit now on their website), and I agree with you about the PS3 being the more popular brand in EMEAA.
However I disagree with you on a couple things. After the 360's Slim effect wears off, I don't think the sales difference in EMEAA will be 20k weekly like it used to. I mean PS3 is still receaving boosted sales from it's Slim model (2010 sales are stronger then 2009 sales, and 2009 will have been PS3's peak sales). PS3 was only selling so much better then the 360 in EMEAA because it was the Slim PS3 versus the Clunky 360. Even in Americas, sales for PS3 and 360 only slightly favored 360 because PS3 was Slim and 360 was not.
The other thing I disagree with you on is on how long the 360 will take to phase out. Actually, I'm too tired right now to care, I don't think the Move will impact EMEAA gamers any more or less then Halo (hence a small impact), and I think 360 will hold dominant sales until Kinect/GT5. Then GT5 will probably push EMEAA sales over to PS3 (but not Worldwide), and thats my opinion. However your logic makes sence too, so were going to have to wait and see.
I do still agree that PS3 will outsell the 360 due to brand preference, but I don't think it will happen until at least GT5, and I think after the holidays the difference in sales will be less then it was for 2009
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fixed and agreed.
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What was the EMEAA weekly sales difference in 2009? Also I presume you refer to 2009 pre-PS3 Slim, but wasn't 360 dominant in Europe pre-PS3 Slim?
Looking at various 2009 weeks, I predict 2011 will be very similar in terms of sales difference, to 2009 in EMEAA. I see that the 360 still had a 10k weekly lead from January to March, then the difference started to drop, it was like 3-4k weekly in April, May it was basically equal, July the sales difference was in favor of PS3 by 3-5 k weekly, and July-August it was 7-10k difference in favor of PS3.
Now that I definatly see as an accurate prediction for 2011 EMEAA sales, and I definatly agree to it, but what about fall 2010? I still think that the Slim 360 will boost 360 sales over PS3 in EMEAA simply because it's a newer sleeker product, but GT5 will defineatly overturn that in Europe (unless Kinect really takes off). It's definatly going to be an interesting fall, especially in EMEAA where total sales are almost on par.
