Heh, actually, maybe I will. It still won't be as high as others, but Vette has convinced me to be a little more optimistic. So I'll adjust up slightly, with a footnote that my predictions will change depending on things like pre-order numbers. For now, I think 5.1 lifetime fits for me, as they goes up to about 14% of console owners buying it, which is above average for most games.
Week 1
NA: 700k. Japan: 300k. Others: 1.1m. Total: 2.10m
Week 10
NA: 1.4m. Japan: 500k. Others: 1.9m. Total: 3.8m
LTD Prediction
NA: 1.9m. Japan: 600k. Others: 2.6m. Total: 5.1m
My reasonings:
Week 1: NA typically doesn't sell as well as Europe/Others, while Japan's numbers have always been a little more conservative comparitively. 2.1m first week is better than most other starters, so I feel this is valid.
Week 2: Not much to say here except that 9 weeks later seems like NA might double itself. A lot of us tend to hang back and see how others like it first. I think most of the sales there will be over time instead of first week.
Week 3: Again, aiming low here. but I figure 5.1 counts for about 14% of the current total, which is actually pretty high penetration. This is, of course, subject to change as the release date draws closer.
I think these ones are slightly fairer than my first numbers.
