Serious?

Note to self: Watch out for leo-j 

lol, nice!

Lol actaully i agree with BHR PS3 will edge out the 360 in the holdiays, but as to 360 dominating in August we shall see:):)

I am looking forwards to it either way, it will be exciting to see if natal is the next big thing or if GT5/PS move/3D will kill 360's chances??

Funny coincidences.

Regardless of how it turns out, should be fun to dig up this thread, just to see whether these 'facts' have some X-filesish effect on the truth :p

Whatever happens, this are very interesting times to sit back and watch it. I'm really intrigued to see how the market is gonna react to the offering of the three console manufacturers from now on.

I don't know which will sell more, but I feel that even when each one will have motion control, sales will be quite independent from each other, each console has a "personality" defined enough, by now, that it sells based on its own features and SW offer (and saturation of its own potential market), without "stealing" users or being "robbed".

Even Wii shouldn't be "robbed", if Move and Natall succeed they'll have found a new market that didn't want a Wii anyway, otherwise those people should have already got one spending less than to buy a PS3 Move or a XB360 Natal.

I'm recalling BHR-3's Uncharted 2 sales prediction thred and the smack people laid on him there. and I'm looking at the responses here and seeing people being a lot more wary of dismissing the predicitons based on what appear to be inconsequential associations.

Here's a counter coincidence though. Sony > 360 in 2007 and 2009 (odd numbered years). 360>PS3 in 2008 even numbered year. 2010 is an even numbered year. Also the current pattern is that PS3 and 360 alternate in terms which systems sells the most in a given year. There are coincidences in favour of PS3>360 and coincidences in favour of 360>PS3.

Another factor: BHR-3 lost his PS3 predicting mojo slightly at the end of 2009 by predicting 2 x 1 million HW sales weeks for PS3 in Holiday '09 which (disappointingly) didn't happen, though it did get within the margin for error for 2 weeks. So the mojo was not completely lost.

I'm yet to really get a sense of how Natal will be received by the wider not gaming obsessed public (i.e. those who are not gaming forum dwellers). But I am certain that Natal will be the deciding factor between whether BHR is right or wrong on this. But the success of Natal isn't only predicated on it having wider appeal than Move, it's also predicated on it substantially shifting interest away from the Wii (Move is the same). But PS3 sales momentum isn't as dependant (I think) on Move as 360's is on Natal.

I think PS3 hasn't got a hope in hell of making its 15 million for the FY unless there is a price drop of some description this holidays season (i.e. I think there will be a PS3 price drop of some sort this year) so I don't think price differential will be a factor this year, unlike 2008.

Hard to say who own the holiday season.

My prediction:

360 will crush (Slim and Natal) the PS3 in America.

PS3 will crush (Move and slight price drop) 360 in Japan.

PS3 will win slightly in Europe.

Overall PS3 will slightly loose against 360 this year and holiday season.