omgwtfbbq said: MontanaHatchet said: The race with Halo 3 IS OVER.
Don't even get me started.. |
Super Mario Galaxy Launch sales 1) 260,993 2) 78,563 3) 44,750
Launch sales 1) 689,270 2) 417,301
Launch sales 1) 207,021 2) 165,553 3) 162,420
Apart from in Japan, SMG launched way better than NSMB. The NSMB numbers in Europe and America are about 50% of the total sales, for a quite respectable 5 million sales. Remember that NSMB launched to a much bigger user base. I would say that Galaxy will outperform NSMB in America and Europe, and underperform in Japan. Overall, I expect the SMG sales to be lower than NSMB but not by much. Halo 3 is looking like charting very similarly to Halo 2 (but slightly higher). With a larger overall 360 userbase than Xbox, Halo 3 should outperform Halo 2. Remember that NSMB sold 11.33 million and is still selling quite strongly, while Halo 2 sold 8.39 million and is still charting but much weaker. I wouldn't call the battle between Halo 3 and SMG over quite yet... |
It's definitely not over. Halo 3 had a much stronger start, but terrible legs. Last week, SMG sold: 162,420 + 38,492 + 188,325 = 389,237 units in a single week. It's only the third week, and clearly SMG is just getting warmed up.
What about H3 in its third week: 78,465 + 4,702 + 252,596 = 335,763. Relative to SMG, it had an extremely hard dropoff. Consider that it started with much higher sales and fanfare, and three weeks in it was already selling more slowly than SMG!
And last week? Halo 3 sold: 62,409 + 1,075 + 54,417 = 111,901. Don't expect numbers this low from SMG anytime soon.
Let's compare SMG at 25 weeks to Halo 3 at 25 weeks and see how they look. If Halo 3 is still up by more than 1.5 million units, I will be extremely surprised. I expect total units sold to converge around December 2008.
SMG is a bigger experience than Halo 3. It's newer, it's fresher, and it's accessible to more people.