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Forums - Sales - PS3 to surpass X360 in HW sales by March 2011

numonex on 13 May 2010
Squilliam said:

1. This thread is based upon the assumption that Xbox 360 sales will continue to decline whilst Sony PS3 sales will meet their shipment targets. Thats an assumption based off of an assumption and only one of those has to be wrong before the whole prediction falls off the rails. It is inconceiveable that Microsoft will do nothing this year in regards to the price of the Xbox 360 and that leaves out whatever impact Natal, Reach etc have on overall sales. The release of a 10M + selling franchise always impacts the fortunes of a console.

2. Its funny that the PS3 was supposed to outsell the Xbox 360 in 2007 then 2008 then 2009 then 2010 then 2011. So now people are just as confident as they were back in 2006. Are people really going to start being a little more conservative with these predicitons? Im sorry to say it but this is one area where the term delaystation fits like a glove. The date where the PS3 is going to magically surpass the usurper Xbox 360 is always being pushed backwards. Im not all all confident that its not going to be delaystationed back to late 2011 or even 2012.

+100. Best post in thread. Oh the truth hurts.



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andremop on 14 May 2010

This is good news?

Well, SOny will have to sacrifice a little more to make it happen. More = 100 dollar price cut.



Seece on 14 May 2010

Did you actually think before posting this thread? and put any actually bias aside for one second?



 

jesus kung fu magic on 14 May 2010
Seece said:
Did you actually think before posting this thread? and put any actually bias aside for one second?

That wouldnt be the gil we all know and love.....



N64 is the ONLY console of the fifth generation!!!

Seece on 14 May 2010
Gilgamesh said:

Sony is expecting to ship 15 million PS3's by the end of the next fiscal year (March 2011). The gap is currently around 5 million so the big question is will X360 outsell it's 2009 fiscal year (10 million by the end of March 2010), now that seems unlikely that this will happen, it seems as though the X360 has already peak and at best I'd say it'll do is around 8 - 9 million shipped from April 2010 - end of March 2011. This is it's 5th year out so it's very unlikely it'll outdo 2009.

If that's the case then Sony will ship about 5 - 6 million more PS3's then X360's by March 2011 which would surpass the X360 for hardware sales.

lmao, I didn't see this bit.

During a nothing period for the 360 September - May 2010 has only seen an elite sku converted into pro sku, Mass Effect 2 and Forza 3/ODST. The PS3 had it's first major price drop, a hardware redesign, GOWIII, Uncharted 2 and FFXIII released in Japan and has managed to outsell the 360 by around 3.5 million units.

Yet you expect the PS3 to outsell the 360 by FIVE - SIX million, when at best Sony can sustain sales this year and Natal, slim 360, price drop, massive marketing and Reach will do ... nothing?

Did you really THINK before posting this? I implore you to do that in the future.



 

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ShadowSoldier on 14 May 2010

Depends if we see a price drop. I don't think NATAL alone will be enough.



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STEKSTAV on 14 May 2010
Seece said:
Gilgamesh said:

Sony is expecting to ship 15 million PS3's by the end of the next fiscal year (March 2011). The gap is currently around 5 million so the big question is will X360 outsell it's 2009 fiscal year (10 million by the end of March 2010), now that seems unlikely that this will happen, it seems as though the X360 has already peak and at best I'd say it'll do is around 8 - 9 million shipped from April 2010 - end of March 2011. This is it's 5th year out so it's very unlikely it'll outdo 2009.

If that's the case then Sony will ship about 5 - 6 million more PS3's then X360's by March 2011 which would surpass the X360 for hardware sales.

lmao, I didn't see this bit.

During a nothing period for the 360 September - May 2010 has only seen an elite sku converted into pro sku, Mass Effect 2 and Forza 3/ODST. The PS3 had it's first major price drop, a hardware redesign, GOWIII, Uncharted 2 and FFXIII released in Japan and has managed to outsell the 360 by around 3.5 million units.

Yet you expect the PS3 to outsell the 360 by FIVE - SIX million, when at best Sony can sustain sales this year and Natal, slim 360, price drop, massive marketing and Reach will do ... nothing?

Did you really THINK before posting this? I implore you to do that in the future.

Confirmed success!? Awesome!

I'd recommend not suggesting people to think prior to posting crap, and later go on and post the same standard bs hype as the next guy :) I get what you're saying, and i agree. But there's a right way and a wrong way of geting your point across.



Seece on 14 May 2010
STEKSTAV said:
Seece said:
Gilgamesh said:

Sony is expecting to ship 15 million PS3's by the end of the next fiscal year (March 2011). The gap is currently around 5 million so the big question is will X360 outsell it's 2009 fiscal year (10 million by the end of March 2010), now that seems unlikely that this will happen, it seems as though the X360 has already peak and at best I'd say it'll do is around 8 - 9 million shipped from April 2010 - end of March 2011. This is it's 5th year out so it's very unlikely it'll outdo 2009.

If that's the case then Sony will ship about 5 - 6 million more PS3's then X360's by March 2011 which would surpass the X360 for hardware sales.

lmao, I didn't see this bit.

During a nothing period for the 360 September - May 2010 has only seen an elite sku converted into pro sku, Mass Effect 2 and Forza 3/ODST. The PS3 had it's first major price drop, a hardware redesign, GOWIII, Uncharted 2 and FFXIII released in Japan and has managed to outsell the 360 by around 3.5 million units.

Yet you expect the PS3 to outsell the 360 by FIVE - SIX million, when at best Sony can sustain sales this year and Natal, slim 360, price drop, massive marketing and Reach will do ... nothing?

Did you really THINK before posting this? I implore you to do that in the future.

Confirmed success!? Awesome!

I'd recommend not suggesting people to think prior to posting crap, and later go on and post the same standard bs hype as the next guy :) I get what you're saying, and i agree. But there's a right way and a wrong way of geting your point across.

Define success. I was wrong to put slim in there (but the chances of it are high) but there is no reason to believe if all of that came true, it would do nothing. I never said it would set the world on fire. So yeah, not crap.

And I really don't need you lecturing me about putting a point across correctly, you're pretty awful at that.



 

nightsurge on 14 May 2010
Gilgamesh said:
nightsurge said:
Just so you know, PSP's estimate for last year was 15 million, too, before they adjusted it down 5 million to just 10 million after the Go flopped. They are simply way overestimating what affect PS Move will have. Also, MS doesn't do estimates, but I expect they are set to sell at least 12-13 million if not more thanks to Slim + Price Cut + Natal + Halo + Gears + Fable all coming in the next fiscal year.

Also, I believe this is the first time a PS3 estimate has not had to be adjusted down in order to be met so you shouldn't assume it will be correct based on one good year.

"but I expect they are set to sell at least 12-13 million if not more thanks to Slim + Price Cut + Natal + Halo + Gears + Fable all coming in the next fiscal year."

The most the X360 has sold in a year was 11 million which was in 2008, your saying it's going to sell 1 - 2 million more then that?!

Yes, it will.  I mean, it reached 11 million with JUST a price cut.  It's still $300 so it has plenty of room to cut price and boost sales quite a bit.  Once it reaches mass market price for the main selling SKU it will see huge sales.  This time we are also getting the redesign which is as confirmed as it can be before an official E3 confirmation by MS.  If you honestly believe there won't be a 360 redesign after the leaked info you are nuts.  All that combined with 3 of the biggest games on 360 will move plenty of consoles.  Not every Halo fan has a 360, we all know this.  In fact, I can think of tons of friends of mine that love halo but don't have a 360 or any console yet for that matter.  Halo is like a universal game everyone with a 360 plays when friends are over.  Halo: Reach, being a new storyline for halo, will move plenty of consoles to Halo holdouts that didn't want to join in mid/late into the main trilogy storyline.

Also, care to comment on any of the other stuff?  Like how the PS3 estimates were always adjusted way down in the past and the only reason it made the 2009 estimate was from a $100 cut and slim redesign?  Do you expect it to cut another $100 and do another redesign?  Because other than that there is no chance for it to reach those numbers.  Sony is way overestimating the effect of Move and GT5.  It's normal practice for them with past PS3 and PSP estimates.  That is all.



STEKSTAV on 14 May 2010
Seece said:
STEKSTAV said:
Seece said:
Gilgamesh said:

Sony is expecting to ship 15 million PS3's by the end of the next fiscal year (March 2011). The gap is currently around 5 million so the big question is will X360 outsell it's 2009 fiscal year (10 million by the end of March 2010), now that seems unlikely that this will happen, it seems as though the X360 has already peak and at best I'd say it'll do is around 8 - 9 million shipped from April 2010 - end of March 2011. This is it's 5th year out so it's very unlikely it'll outdo 2009.

If that's the case then Sony will ship about 5 - 6 million more PS3's then X360's by March 2011 which would surpass the X360 for hardware sales.

lmao, I didn't see this bit.

During a nothing period for the 360 September - May 2010 has only seen an elite sku converted into pro sku, Mass Effect 2 and Forza 3/ODST. The PS3 had it's first major price drop, a hardware redesign, GOWIII, Uncharted 2 and FFXIII released in Japan and has managed to outsell the 360 by around 3.5 million units.

Yet you expect the PS3 to outsell the 360 by FIVE - SIX million, when at best Sony can sustain sales this year and Natal, slim 360, price drop, massive marketing and Reach will do ... nothing?

Did you really THINK before posting this? I implore you to do that in the future.

Confirmed success!? Awesome!

I'd recommend not suggesting people to think prior to posting crap, and later go on and post the same standard bs hype as the next guy :) I get what you're saying, and i agree. But there's a right way and a wrong way of geting your point across.

Define success. I was wrong to put slim in there (but the chances of it are high) but there is no reason to believe if all of that came true, it would do nothing. I never said it would set the world on fire. So yeah, not crap.

And I really don't need you lecturing me about putting a point across correctly, you're pretty awful at that.

Like i said, i agree with you. No need to get all emotional ;D